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The Early-Voting News Is . . . No News, or Little New [Actually A Lot of Great News]
NRO ^ | 11/01/10 | Jim Geraghty

Posted on 11/02/2010 1:25:49 PM PDT by freespirited

There hasn’t been much shift in the early-voting numbers since the last update I posted; a percentage point or two shift since then.

All of the figures below are from the United States Elections Project at GMU as of this morning; it is important to remember we are discussing the registered party affiliation of early voters, not how they actually vote. Of course, it seems safe to presume that most Republicans will vote for the GOP candidate, and most registered Democrats will vote for the Democrat.

Colorado:

Early voting in 2008: 37.7 percent Democrat, 35.9 percent GOP, 26.4 percent independent.

Early voting in 2010: 35.4 percent Democrat, 41.1 percent GOP, 23 percent independent.

Florida:

Early voting in 2008: 45.6 percent Democrat, 37.3 percent Republican, 17.1 percent independent.

Early voting in 2010: 36.5 percent Democrat, 49.2 percent Republican, 14.3 percent independent.

Iowa:

In 2008, early votes split 46.9 percent Democrat, 28.9 percent Republican, 24.2 percent other.

In 2010, it is 43.7 percent Democrat, 38 percent Republican, 18.2 percent independent.

Louisiana:

In 2008, the state’s early vote was 58 percent registered Democrats, 28.7 Republicans, and 13.3 percent other.

This year, so far, it is 46.7 percent Democrat, 42.3 percent Republican, 10.6 percent other.

African-Americans were 35.6 percent of early voters in 2008; this cycle, so far, they make up 21.3 percent.

Maine:

In 2008, the early vote split 41.1 percent Democrat, 27.7 percent Republicans, 31.2 percent other/independent.

So far in 2010, it is 37.6 percent Democrat, 35.6 percent Republican, 24.9 percent independent.

Nevada:

Clark and Washoe Counties break down their vote by party registration.

In 2008, Clark was 52 percent Democrat, 30.6 percent Republican, 17.4 percent other.

In 2010, it is 46.2 percent Democrat, 37.4 percent Republican, 16.4 percent independent.

In 2008, Washoe was 47.1 percent Democrat, 35.3 percent Republican, 17.5 percent other.

In 2010, Democrats are at 40.3 percent, Republicans lead with 44.7 percent, and independents are 15 percent.

North Carolina:

Barack Obama shocked the nation by winning North Carolina in 2008, and he was helped by an early vote that split 51.4 percent Democrat, 30.2 percent Republican, 18.5 percent none or other. This year the N.C. early vote splits 46.4 percent Democrat, 36.4 percent Republican, 17 percent independent.

African-Americans were 26.5 percent of North Carolina’s early votes in 2008; they are 20.9 percent so far this year.

There have been no changes to the numbers in Pennsylvania (very small number of early voters, heavily GOP), West Virginia (good for Democrats), and Wyoming (good for GOP).


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: earlyvoting; midterms
Florida: Early voting in 2008: 45.6 percent Democrat, 37.3 percent Republican, 17.1 percent independent.

Early voting in 2010: 36.5 percent Democrat, 49.2 percent Republican, 14.3 percent independent.

Methinks Sink is sunk.

1 posted on 11/02/2010 1:25:52 PM PDT by freespirited
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To: freespirited

Yes, please. Hope this holds up.


2 posted on 11/02/2010 1:30:05 PM PDT by BunnySlippers (I love BULL MARKETS . . .)
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To: freespirited

Dems under 50% in Clark County Nevada. This is certainly not good news for Reid.


3 posted on 11/02/2010 1:30:09 PM PDT by GonzoGOP (There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
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To: freespirited

AP The Associated Press
RT @MikeBakerAP: Just finished interviews at a few polling sites. Lots of voters saying they cast straight-party ballot. #APVote2010
3 minutes ago


4 posted on 11/02/2010 1:31:08 PM PDT by Berlin_Freeper (If Obama was the answer---that must have been one stupid question!)
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To: freespirited

1 hour and 37 min. Before the first polls close!


5 posted on 11/02/2010 1:31:41 PM PDT by Red_Devil 232 (VietVet - USMC All Ready On The Right? All Ready On The Left? All Ready On The Firing Line!)
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To: freespirited

Good...except W. Virginia.


6 posted on 11/02/2010 1:32:42 PM PDT by SMCC1
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To: freespirited
AMERICAN LIE

A long long time ago...
I can still remember
How the Bullshit used to make me smile.
And I knew if I had my chance
That I could make those people dance
And, maybe, they'd be happy for a while

But then November made me shiver
With every whopper I'd deliver,
Bad news on the doorstep;
I couldn't take one more step.

I can't remember if I cried
When I read about the turning tide,
But something touched me deep inside
The day the gravy died.

So, Bye bye miss american lie,
Took the people to the budget
But the budget was dry.
And them good old boys were drinking whiskey and rye
Singin' "this'll be the day that I die
This'll be the day that I die."

7 posted on 11/02/2010 1:38:12 PM PDT by Publius6961 ("In 1964 the War on Poverty Began --- Poverty won.")
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To: GonzoGOP

Wonder why the independent voter numbers are depressed.


8 posted on 11/02/2010 1:41:23 PM PDT by traderrob6
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To: freespirited

Sink’s looking for her replacement makeup artist, and her iPhone... “Quick, call 9-1-1”


9 posted on 11/02/2010 1:43:21 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Now there ARE 1,000,000 regrets - but it may be too late.)
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To: freespirited

“.....Barack Obama shocked the nation by winning North Carolina in 2008,......”

Obama did not win NC in 2008. The 25,000 voters who voted for Barr gave it too him.

Look for the Libertarians to help “Who are you” Bob defeat Ellmers.


10 posted on 11/02/2010 2:01:09 PM PDT by PeteB570 (Islam is the sea in which the terrorist shark swims. It aids & comforts the shark on it's journey.)
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To: freespirited

2.2 million did early/absentee voting in Florda. Scott has over a million votes in the bank.


11 posted on 11/02/2010 2:03:14 PM PDT by libbylu
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To: traderrob6

Wonder why the independent vot numbers are depressed.
____________________________________________________

Many have probably registered as Reps since the last election.


12 posted on 11/02/2010 2:08:57 PM PDT by CARTOUCHE (Election lawyers to the ready!! Let the games begin.)
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To: traderrob6

This is only early voting. The vote is on for “independents” on election day.


13 posted on 11/02/2010 2:50:19 PM PDT by parisa
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To: Publius6961

Excellent!!!!!!!!


14 posted on 11/02/2010 3:03:32 PM PDT by freespirited (This tagline dedicated to the memory of John Armor, a/k/a Congressman Billybob.)
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