Skip to comments.Kristi Noem (R) moves into Lead
Posted on 11/02/2010 8:34:16 PM PDT by Future Useless Eater
Kristie Noem (R) was loosing ground consistently in the first 250 precincts counted, but then turned around and has been (mostly) gaining in remaining precincts.
NOW MOVES INTO THE LEAD.
pcts pcts Repub Dem Noem's /791 pct Noem Sandlin Lead 32 4.0% 7053 7507 -454 60 7.6% 10731 10248 483 100 12.6% 20064 21438 -1374 124 15.7% 23119 24503 -1384 145 18.3% 26358 27474 -1116 194 24.5% 37547 40129 -2582 215 27.2% 41107 44058 -2951 238 30.1% 46754 50545 -3791 292 36.9% 58202 61425 -3223 333 42.1% 64990 67491 -2501 386 48.8% 76764 78787 -2023 434 54.9% 86721 87357 -636 492 62.2% 100359 101281 -922 553 69.9% 121897 118843 3054
Good, one less Soros plant state to worry about if she wins.
I REALLY hope Noem holds on. This would be a nice trophy seat for the GOP. Herseth-Sandlin is considered one of the Dems rising stars, and she has no business representing an R+20 district.
How can i move this to front page news?
Ahem, Rules!(Humor me. me and by FRiends in MA got kicked in the nuts tonight)
Nice work in MS Excel there F.U.E.!
This is “Oats for Votes Country” that the DemocRats bought off
there, fixed it for ya :)
This is not exact. And Democrat vote fraud comes at the end from late reporting Democrat counties throughout the state once they know how many votes to fake. That's how Tom Dashle and Tim Johnson were elected.
So as the western SD vote comes in Kristi should do well. It's just a matter of whether she does well enough to exceed the margin of fraud.
Could you please UPDATE this title?
The S O S has called it for Kristi Noem with ALL RESULTS IN and she maintained a lead of 7222 votes.
Sweet! Congrats on the clean sweep!!
Thank God...was worried about this about 2 hrs ago. Chalk another one up!
I’d have to disagree a little. When Noem was up by about a thousand votes with half the precincts reporting it was over. Even with reservation fraud a dem has to be at least even and usually a few thousand ahead coming out of east river country. I told my wife to expect Noem’s lead to slowly widen for the rest of the night, just like I told nervous GOP friends to relax when Thune was down a bit coming out of East River 6 yrs ago.
Remember how Daschle needlessly kept us up late? He knew dang well he was toast before a single west river vote was counted, and so did miss perky tonight. It had to be painful for perky to pretend she could win this race for all those hours tonight, just as it was for old Tom. I popped champagne early that night and tonight as well. I’m one ecstatic west river ex-pat right now.
Two down, one to go...
PS : I was going by the rolling Fox numbers, which differed from those listed at the start of this thread.
And another attractive Conservative female takes power. The Dems must just be squirming...
Problem with SHS is that she represents Washington and not the people of SD. She’s another Tom Daschle and will be selling the house in Brookings and setting permanent residence in DC.
My points for non-South Dakotans were;
1. Because of SD’s geographic/philosophical/time difference, early voting returns will normally be Democrat heavy. Republican votes weigh in later.
2. Because of the historic late returns of certain Democrat counties, close elections in SD cannot be “called” until vote fraud has been eliminated from the equation.
Our views do not oppose each other. Rather, yours are more refined than mine. And though your SD voting observations may be too detailed for non-South Dakotans, I will certainly use them in watching future elections.
Very glad that Kristi won. Will be good to have a South Dakotan representing us for a change. And when Miss Perky has to leave the gravy train, I'm sure it won't be to live in South Dakota. She'll be unpacking he designer carpet bags elsewhere.
As you say; “Two down, one to go...”
Yes, my post was meant to complement and tweak your own observations, not disagree with them. And they are indeed probably mainly of interest to keen (obsessed?) observers of SD politics.
Your basic principles — East vs West, potential for fraud in certain precincts, are spot-on and essential for understanding South Dakota. What is unique to South Dakota, (or at least I haven’t seen it in other states) is that the voting tendencies aren’t just separated by regions of the state (that’s pretty common,) but very neatly by time-zone.
So, as we both said, all of the most Dem friendly vote comes in first, scaring people who don’t realize that the best stuff won’t start coming in until an hour later. This is just one more close election that shows that if a Pubbie is behind by only a few thousand in East River, he/she is going to win.
Noem won the same way that Thune did — running just a bit closer than expected in just about every precinct out east, and then blowing it wide open out west.
Now if we can just find someone willing to take on Tim Johnson and do the same.
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