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To: Zionist Conspirator
After looking at some of the background information last night, I realized there was no way in hell the Republicans were going to win the Senate without a major miracle at work.

Look at it this way (as I posted on a thread last night):

Not only did the Democrats have a 59-41 edge in the U.S. Senate coming into 2010, but they had a huge advantage in the way the six-year Senate terms came up for election in 2010. There were 40 Democratic seats in the U.S. Senate where there was no election this year, while the Republicans only had 23.

Based on that fact alone, this should have been an opportunity for the Democrats to make big gains in the Senate. But that party is in such terrible shape that they've had a hard fight just to hold onto their seats -- while the Republicans successfully defended all of their incumbents and added a few more.

2012 will be a very different story -- and will be a much better opportunity for the GOP to win the Senate. Of the 33 Senate seats up for election in 2012, only 10 are now Republican seats and 21 are held by Democrats (the other 2 are the Democratic-leaning "independents" in Vermont and Connecticut). There are quite a few vulnerable Democrats in 2012 -- and by "vulnerable" I mean Democrats running in states that either supported GOP presidential candidates in at least two of the last three presidential elections or had strong GOP showings in 2010. By my count, these would include:

Bill Nelson (FL)
Claire McCaskill (MO)
Debbie Stabenow (MI)
Jon Tester (MT)
Ben Nelson (NE)
Jeff Bingaman (NM)
Kent Conrad (ND)
Sherrod Brown (OH)
Jim Webb (VA)
Joe Manchin (WV)*
Herb Kohl (WI)

I put an asterisk (*) by Manchin's name because I don't even consider him a Democrat for the sake of this discussion. He's on such a short leash as a Senator for West Virginia over the next two years that he'll probably oppose his fellow Democrats on most policy issues. If Obama goes into the 2012 election cycle with very low popularity ratings, look for Manchin to publicly announce that he's joining the KKK in a desperate attempt to distance himself from the Obama administration.

By my count, the only really vulnerable Senate Republicans in 2012 are Scott Brown of Massachusetts and Olympia Snowe of Maine, with John Ensign of Nevada and Bob Corker of Tennessee also somewhat vulnerable because of scandals and/or close races in their last election bids.

15 posted on 11/03/2010 9:19:39 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("Let the Eastern bastards freeze in the dark.")
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To: Alberta's Child; Zionist Conspirator

I suggest replacing the 20th as it now exists with the start of a new Congress moved to 1st Mon in Dec for the Congress, Tue following for the Electorial College, and then Pres on Thursday following.

Also, there would be no session of the old Congress so a lameduck situation could not occur


18 posted on 11/03/2010 9:33:49 AM PDT by SonsOfCollins_Wallace ("... if yah ken behr eit" OR "where yah goin William ?.... ")
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To: Alberta's Child
“...If Obama goes into the 2012 election cycle with very low popularity ratings...”

As it has been posted in so many threads here at FR,
Zero will not be able to run in 2012 primaries or do anything but try to stay out of jail in next 2 years because there are at least 20+ states that will have laws in place to make certain that those states must certify that a candidate for POTUS or any election be a verifiable US citizen and meets ALL requirements for the position in question.
Zero's illegibility will never go away so he is as of now a lameduck illegal officeholder.

20 posted on 11/03/2010 9:41:08 AM PDT by SonsOfCollins_Wallace ("... if yah ken behr eit" OR "where yah goin William ?.... ")
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