Skip to comments.Exit Polls: the surprise in Delaware (Sorry, trolls: Mike Castle probably would've lost to Coons)
Posted on 11/03/2010 11:31:04 AM PDT by Qbert
(CNN) The thing about Delaware is: it's no Kentucky. The Tea Party's first Senate loss of the night may be no big surprise - the only question heading into tonight's been how big a victory margin Chris Coons would capture over Christine O'Donnell. But the exit polls lay out the political and demographic roadblocks facing any Tea Party favorite here.
If GOP voters are feeling any buyer's remorse, they may take some solace in one surprising stat: despite pre-election polls that showed longtime Republican Rep. Mike Castle handily beating Coons in a hypothetical matchup, the voters who turned out today said they would still probably have sent Coons to Washington over Castle, backing him 44-43 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com ...
Exit polls are rarely even close to accurate. And with a one point differential in this case, no one can really claim to know what the result would have been with Castle as the candidate, particularly in the absence of a Castle campaign which would have changed the outcome to be sure. Democrats are more apt to answer exit polling according to experts. So this 1 point difference really says nothing.
No surprise. Given a choice between a RINO lib and Dim lib, they’ll take the real thing every time.
You will also snag the WarshDC metro-area GAY SCENE because they do a lot of that.
Not that the out of towners vote in Delaware, but they do get polled on what they think.
The Republicans who view Delaware as a "hobby" tend to stick to the summertime polls to guide them, so that's why the primary came out askew from their polling.
Wasn't a Republican year in Delaware ~ maybe next time.
Hey, a liberal replaced a liberal. Nothing changed.
Of course he would. Why vote for a liberal lite when you can get the real deal with Coons.
Speculation at best but destiny may well have been on Coons side in this election. 44-43 percent is closer than 57-40 which was actual.
I’d rather have seen O’Donnell lose than Castle win .. but had Castle been the GOP candidate, you would not have seen Obama and Biden rushing to DE every week, and Coons would never have seen the $$$ he received. Christine was made the GOP pinata by the GOP establishment, THE person to fear and to beat. Had Castle won the GOP nomination, that race would have received absolutely no serious attention, or funding.
I can't explain the logic because libtards are not logical. Does anyone care to try?
Just by her winning the nomination as a CONSERVATIVE in Delaware is a MAJOR accomplishment and she is to be praised. We cant win every seat, but we have to start to change the whole process at the state level... little by little, bit by bit...
Saul Alinsky tactics on full throttle. Identify, isolate, freeze and escalate.
With news media outlets on board how could any conservative win?
Bill Maher a legend in your own mind.
If Castle had, in contrast to O'Donnell, been running a competent campaign for the weeks running up to the election he could very likely have made up that one point.
O'Donnell began 20 points behind, was given $4 million to waste, and still ended up 20 points behind.
What this poll tells us about the race is that Castle began with a lead of several points, no one heard from him for almost two months, and he wound up polling just a point behind.
44-43 is a heck of a lot closer than what O’Donnell got, 56-40.
but I could care less.....they had a choice between a decent person and a ruling class elitist and they choose the elitist..
Believe what you will.
So now we LIKE exit polls?
O’Donnell was an awful candidate who didn’t deserve to win. Doesn’t mean Coons deserved to win, but she didn’t either. (I just would have prefered if she did.)
If we want to keep bragging that we’re the party of responsible adults, we can’t nominate people who talk responsibility but don’t pay their bills, sue for $6.9 million when they don’t get promotions, and who run campaigns by paying money to go on the air to announce “I’m not a witch.”
She was supported here as she should have been, but the election’s over. O’Donnell was a horrible candidate, a three-time loser, and she needs to go back to whatever it is she can do well, since running for office as one who doesn’t just talk the talk but lives by conservative principles ain’t it.
“Libtards hated Ronald Reagan, our last conservative president. But they hated the RINO father and son Bush team even more.”
Yeah, that is really odd. I don’t know- Reagan had a lot of Hollywood friends who personally respected him, even though they disagreed politically- and he obviously was a much more personable and humorous guy than the Bushes. So, maybe that had something to do with it.
Why O’Donnell lost:
-Delaware is a very blue State;
-O’Donnell got the Palin treatment from the oh-so-tolerant libs;
-in addition, O’Donnell got blindsided by some of her Republican cohorts.
But it still would have been a loss.
And it FORCED the democrats to spend a LOT of capital to keep a conservative out.
Better to go down fighting. Makes the war shorter.