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To: MillardFillmore

Good work (((((((((applause))))))))) for your efforts.


2 posted on 11/07/2010 1:22:32 PM PST by sodpoodle (Despair; man's surrender. Laughter; God 's redemption.)
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To: sodpoodle

I predict +63, but +64 is very possible.

WA-2, VA-11 and KY-6 are lost unless a huge error is found.

CA-20 very unlikely that Vidak can hold on. The remaining counties are breaking 60/40 for Costa.

CA-11 Harmer has a small chance to overcome his deficit, but absentees seem to breaking for McNerney.

IL-8 Walsh has a 50/50 chance. Bean has been outperforming in Cook county absentees, but it’s not clear how many are left to be counted.

NY-1 Altschuler’s lead likely to shrink a little because the absentees have a slight Democratic tilt - GOP registration is +%5% but the absentees only +3%.

NY-25 Buerkle should win. The absentees are proportional between Dem and GOP areas.

The last 4 really depend on the relative effectiveness of the parties’ absentee programs.


5 posted on 11/07/2010 1:37:39 PM PST by nbenyo
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