When it comes to undecided races, NC District 4 [?] ought to be included here too — Etheridge (D) vs. Ellmers (R). Ellmers upset Etheridge by 2099, but the next morning Sampson County “found” enough “early votes” to close the margin for Etheridge to call for a recount. Ellmers holds a 1600+ vote lead — but this is typical for NC Democrats — they steal elections this way (Chicago has NOTHING on them). This race CANNOT be counted as a “sure thing” and must be regarded as “undecided.” Not sure where it falls in these numbers.
It's NC-2:
I'm pretty confident Ellmers will hold on to her win over Bob ("Who are YOU?") Etheridge. And I'm also confident that the newly elected, Republican-controlled for the first time in more than a century General Assembly (NC Senate and NC House) will make her district safer when they redraw the lines next year -- most likely by removing that "finger" jutting into minority-heavy southeast Wake County, and attaching it to a Dem district.