Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Election 2010: An Inconsistent Wave
RealClearPolitics ^ | November 9, 2010 | Sean Trende

Posted on 11/09/2010 8:31:20 AM PST by neverdem

One of the most striking aspects of the 2010 election is how uneven the wave was. Rather than striking down Democrats across the land, it spared most Democrats on the coasts and in cities. In New England, Republicans will pick up only two congressional districts, no Senate seats, and will actually lose ground in governorships. On the West Coast, the GOP finds itself picking up one or two congressional districts, and will be shut out of governorships and Senate seats.

And while the GOP performed well in congressional races nationally, and very well in state legislative races, the Democrats clearly beat the spread in top-of-the-ticket races. Harry Reid and Michael Bennet defied the polls to win, and in governor races Democrats won victories in places like Oregon, Illinois, and California, states that looked like lost causes earlier in the cycle. Tom Tancredo looked like he was closing in Colorado. He lost by 12. This isn't quite what you'd expect in a wave year.

I think the first phenomenon is easily explained, and starts to explain the second. It isn't at all surprising that the wave failed to wash up on our coasts. People forget just how deeply blue California, Washington, and New England have become. As I noted here, Senate Republicans pulled off a pretty remarkable feat by even making races in these states competitive.

Think about it this way: in states that "lean Republican" - as measured by their PVI - the GOP won every Senate race but one (West Virginia.) In states that lean toward Democrats by two or more points, Republicans won half of the Senate races this year. Republicans simply aren't supposed to win races in D+7 states like California or Connecticut these days...

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections; US: Colorado; US: District of Columbia; US: Illinois; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2010election; election2010
I linked the printer friendly version which didn't have the maps that were mentioned. The regular webpage with those maps are at the following link:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2010/11/09/election_2010_an_inconsistent_wave_107894.html

It will open in a new window.

1 posted on 11/09/2010 8:31:24 AM PST by neverdem
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: neverdem

all that tells me is that as you move towards the top of the pyramid the races become easier to buy with union funding and other corrupt money.


2 posted on 11/09/2010 8:35:50 AM PST by Buckeye McFrog
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

The “Coasts” and those on the Chablis circuit always go “Progressive” The workers in fly over country are conservative ‘cause its their freedom and money that are being scarfed up by the non producers.


3 posted on 11/09/2010 8:37:45 AM PST by Don Corleone ("Oil the gun..eat the cannolis. Take it to the Mattress.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

One way to look at it rather than a wave is a “Shot across the bow”. This is a warning shot to those that look to destroy our country. The next shot will be a direct hit. Our politicians need to understand that there are over 300 million people in this country. Many of which are willing to take their place in the next election.


4 posted on 11/09/2010 8:39:35 AM PST by RC2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: neverdem
Rather than striking down Democrats across the land, it spared most Democrats on the coasts and in cities.

That's because all the fraud takes place in inner-city precincts where Whitey is not allowed to go.

5 posted on 11/09/2010 8:40:23 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum ("Government has no other end, but the preservation of property." --John Locke)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: neverdem
The important factor that the author doesn't mention:

The places where Democrats are doing well are declining, or holding steady. The places where Republicans are doing well are growing.

This will be reflected in the 2010 Census, and therefore the apportionment of Congressional districts and electoral votes.

6 posted on 11/09/2010 8:46:48 AM PST by justlurking (The only remedy for a bad guy with a gun is a good WOMAN (Sgt. Kimberly Munley) with a gun)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

The establishment types were quick to blame the Tea Party for the loss of Delaware. Ok wise guys, if you know so much, who are you going to run against FEINSTEIN in Calif in 2012?


7 posted on 11/09/2010 8:47:33 AM PST by Enterprise (As a disaster unfolds, a putz putts.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Born Conservative; airborne; smoothsailing; Dr. Scarpetta; martin_fierro; Coop; Tribune7; ...

I thought it had interesting analyses of statewide races in CO, IL & PA, FWIW.


8 posted on 11/09/2010 8:57:33 AM PST by neverdem (Xin loi minh oi)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Enterprise
The establishment types were quick to blame the Tea Party for the loss of Delaware.

If it weren't for the Tea Party, the Establishment Republicans would probably have gone along with the Democrats and done nothing to differentiate themselves from them, and therefore would not have won all those seats.

9 posted on 11/09/2010 8:58:11 AM PST by Jeff Chandler (Judas Iscariot - the first social justice advocate. John 12:3-6)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

In summary:

Those who are aware of politics and work for a living (most of the country by land area) have a deep and abiding hatred for socialism.

Those who are aware of politics and are supported by those who work for a living (those living on the coasts and in cities) have a deep and abiding hatred for capitalism.

The swing voters nationwide who only pay casual attention to politics unless their livelihoods are threatened are beginning to wake up to reality and are, for now, turning against socialism.


10 posted on 11/09/2010 9:00:18 AM PST by Pollster1 (Natural born citizen of the USA, with the birth certificate to prove it)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

new england 2010 ping to self


11 posted on 11/09/2010 9:00:21 AM PST by campaignPete R-CT ("pray without ceasing" - Paul of Tarsus)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Buckeye McFrog

That’s exactly right. A small number of races can be targeted for theft, as happened this time with Reid/Angle.

It’s more difficult to practice theft on a large scale unless you have all-mail balloting as in Oregon and Washington - where Democrats cleaned house this year.


12 posted on 11/09/2010 9:02:54 AM PST by Lexinom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

Tells me that dems control those states...including counting votes


13 posted on 11/09/2010 9:04:00 AM PST by Lady Heron
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Owl_Eagle; brityank; Physicist; WhyisaTexasgirlinPA; GOPJ; abner; baseballmom; Mo1; Ciexyz; ...

ping


14 posted on 11/09/2010 9:10:42 AM PST by Tribune7 (The Democrat Party is not a political organization but a religious cult.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Buckeye McFrog

Yes, the unions own the coasts, particularly CA and NY.


15 posted on 11/09/2010 9:11:10 AM PST by Let's Roll (Stop ACORN destroying America! Cut off their federal funding!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: neverdem
I thought it was a pretty good analysis. I would add a couple of things about Colorado.

There has been a split in the party since Gov. Bill Owens had a midlife crisis and decided late in his term to back Ref. C and to split the party over a Senate nominee, Pete Coors. Regardless of where you were on that (I opposed Ref. C) Ref C has expired and will never rear its ugly head again. We need to quit fighting Republicans and go back to fighting Democrats.

Buck was a DA from a middling county in the Eastern Plains (not Western, author). Nobody on the West Slope had heard of him and he never had enough media money. Despite an awful campaign, a candidate who couldn't keep his foot out of his mouth, not enough national money, and a horrible top of the ticket, he came within a few thousand votes of winning.

This should be a mainly red state if we stop machine gunning our feet with party divisions and crummy candidates.

16 posted on 11/09/2010 9:28:10 AM PST by colorado tanker
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

bookmark


17 posted on 11/09/2010 10:10:17 AM PST by patriot preacher
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

Says it all!

18 posted on 11/09/2010 2:03:53 PM PST by brityank (The more I learn about the Constitution, the more I realise this Government is UNconstitutional !! )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

Yes...conservative Democrats fared worse than liberal ones.


19 posted on 11/10/2010 4:53:09 PM PST by Gondring (Paul Revere would have been flamed as a naysayer troll and told to go back to Boston.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson