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Forever Stamps Tell Us Much
Financial Sense ^ | Fri, 31 Dec 2010 | by Peter D Schiff

Posted on 01/01/2011 9:21:45 AM PST by DeaconBenjamin

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To: Zman516

The basis for this is the Postal Accountability and Enhancement Act, which keeps rate increases below inflation. The first forever stamps came out right after President Bush signed it, and this is the way the USPS can tie their fortunes to what they can charge. Many other countries have already gone this route.

It’s not so much a sign of the USPS but of the overall situation. But if you’d bought stamps with a set denomination, that amount would have been victim to inflation and more postage would have been required. You get a better deal now buying a first class stamp than you would have back in the 1970s—or by using old stamps on it (very expensive, as you lose all the inflation benefits).
With inflation adjustments, first-class letter postage is about 10-15% lower in cost than back then.


21 posted on 01/01/2011 9:55:58 AM PST by Gondring (Paul Revere would have been flamed as a naysayer troll and told to go back to Boston.)
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To: DeaconBenjamin
"By offering forever stamps, the Post Office moves forward future revenues to pay current expenses. But every forever stamp sold today represents a stamp not sold in the future. The revenues booked now will not be put in escrow to deal with revenue shortfalls that are guaranteed to plague the Post Office in the years ahead. "

This is a massive unauthorized LOAN.

22 posted on 01/01/2011 9:57:03 AM PST by blam
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To: DeaconBenjamin
How many forever stamps will the Post Office be able to sell at full price if customers can buy them at a discount on Ebay?

You can already buy forever stamps at a discount on Ebay. Shop now (enter "forever stamps") and among other offers you'll find a "Buy it now" price of $2 for 5 stamps with free shipping.

23 posted on 01/01/2011 9:57:59 AM PST by Spartan79 (Malo periculosam libertatem quam quietam servitutem.)
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To: Skepolitic
Not really. The USPS could simply refuse to honor the Forever stamp in the future.

Or decree that the "Forever" stamp is only worth 45 cents when they hike rates again, and force people to buy 1 cent or 5 cent stamps to make up the rate hike.

24 posted on 01/01/2011 10:00:16 AM PST by PapaBear3625 ("It is only when we've lost everything, that we are free to do anything" -- Fight Club)
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To: RnMomof7
If USPS rates had kept up with inflation for the past 30 years (from, say, the 13-cent stamps of the 1970s), the cost would be over 50¢ by now.

I think that a well run government should have a government-run postal system that provides security in the form of the US police and military, rather than having to rely on private couriers alone. There should be no complaints about competition from private groups, and no more stupid sponsorships of biking teams, etc., though.

25 posted on 01/01/2011 10:03:25 AM PST by Gondring (Paul Revere would have been flamed as a naysayer troll and told to go back to Boston.)
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To: DeaconBenjamin

Don’t these stamps represent a future service obligation to the USPS? The stamp you buy today for 44 cents will be valid for postage even if the rate for a first class stamp goes to over a dollar or more. If presumably the rate for a first class stamp is related to the cost of delivery, the USPS would be delivering letters using the forever stamp at a significant loss. Granted the revenue from these stamps could be held in escrow at interest, but the cost of delivery has gone up at rates far above current interest rates.


26 posted on 01/01/2011 10:04:08 AM PST by The Great RJ (The Bill of Rights: Another bill members of Congress haven't read.)
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To: Clint Williams
For current stamps, there is no way to track purchase versus current user of the stamp. And if resale is illegal, the stamps make great charity donations to politically incorrect non-profits.

If it gets so bad that the government puts unique RFID chips tagged to the postage purchaser's history to usage, we've already got chips up our own (pick a creative term here).

27 posted on 01/01/2011 10:06:14 AM PST by tbw2 (Freeper sci-fi - "Sirat: Through the Fires of Hell" - on amazon.com)
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To: DeaconBenjamin

“During that time the stamp prices have gone up more than 1,100%”

Still sending a letter under $0.50 anywhere in USA is pretty cheap. USPS has been hit hard by the internet (online billing, emails etc), and the e-commerce hasn’t picked up the slack. They have to use their infrastructure to compete with Fedex and USPS.


28 posted on 01/01/2011 10:07:28 AM PST by mewykwistmas
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To: DeaconBenjamin
For almost 100 years the price of a stamp remained stable.
And then in the last 50 years ... bang-zoom! Can't wait for gov't h/c ...


29 posted on 01/01/2011 10:08:22 AM PST by oh8eleven (RVN '67-'68)
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To: Sunshine Sister

Are there any 401K plans with a Forever Stamp fund?


30 posted on 01/01/2011 10:11:36 AM PST by glorgau
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To: blam
This is a massive unauthorized LOAN.

It strikes me that way, of course, but I am conservative in my financial dealings. People are calling for the USPS to operate like a business. Well, a private business is not required to put gift-certificate proceeds into escrow.

In fact, by suggesting people buy postage in large quantities in advance, it increases the chance that some will be lost. Every lost or destroyed stamp is revenue without obligation*, or nearly pure profit, if we figure a replacement stamp will be needed. So "every forever stamp sold today represents a stamp not sold in the future" is not technically correct and I'd be willing to bet that difference is significant.

This was a lame-duck thing from the Republican Congress of 2006 after they were voted out of office, IIRC. It was signed by George W. Bush a little over four years ago.

And the costs of the stupid Sarbanes-Oxley Act are also dumped on the USPS now, just like for businesses. I know how much SOX has bled businesses I work with, so I can only imagine the costs to the USPS.


*I'm not sure if those terms are the appropriate jargon, but I'm not trying to use them in a technical sense--I'm not an accountant, etc..

31 posted on 01/01/2011 10:14:01 AM PST by Gondring (Paul Revere would have been flamed as a naysayer troll and told to go back to Boston.)
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To: Gondring
All things considered the "forever stamps" ~ the idea of an old buddy of mine BTW, make as much sense as the ONE PRICE PRIORITY MAIL or EXPRESS MAIL cartons.

They reduce handling costs tremendously, and you no longer have to teach people how to count to use them. That task can be left to the public schools and institutions!

32 posted on 01/01/2011 10:15:22 AM PST by muawiyah
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To: oh8eleven
Yes, you make a good point--the USPS has raised rates slower than inflation, so it's a better deal than in the past. (Sorry that the graphs don't line up right but I'm not going to take the time to rescale it. :-)




33 posted on 01/01/2011 10:20:35 AM PST by Gondring (Paul Revere would have been flamed as a naysayer troll and told to go back to Boston.)
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To: Gondring
the USPS has raised rates slower than inflation
Can't argue but I would imagine labor costs consume most of the increases - certainly over the last 10 years, probably the last 30.
34 posted on 01/01/2011 10:25:30 AM PST by oh8eleven (RVN '67-'68)
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To: Fido969
You only “save “ money if you use the thing. As long as you hold onto it, the post office is making out.

I didn't see Mr. Schiff making the point explicitly, but the idea is that the stamps become a commodity that is highly liquid, almost and in extremis an alternate currency.

So the idea will be to hold and trade the stamps, not primarily to use them for postage.

Derivative markets could even be created for the forever stamp. True, there would be a risk of organized markets in these things going south (along with all other organized capital exchange), but this is probably on the same order of risk as the Post Office itself going out of business or repudiating the stamps.

The situation seems exactly analogous to gold and silver coins.

35 posted on 01/01/2011 10:30:05 AM PST by Erasmus (Personal goal: Have a bigger carbon footprint than Tony Robbins.)
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To: org.whodat

Right. There is no reason for the government to be propping up the post office. My mail is never delivered in the morning and once didn’t get here before 6PM last week.

If the local liberal rag had the franchise, my mail could have been here before daylight in a plastic bag on my lawn.

lol.


36 posted on 01/01/2011 10:32:26 AM PST by GeronL (#7 top poster at CC, friend to all, nicest guy ever, +96/-14, ignored by 1 sockpuppet.. oh & BANNED)
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To: sodpoodle

The post office spent many millions on magazine sorting machines that sit unused because the unions didn’t want to lose their jobs.


37 posted on 01/01/2011 10:35:28 AM PST by GeronL (#7 top poster at CC, friend to all, nicest guy ever, +96/-14, ignored by 1 sockpuppet.. oh & BANNED)
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To: muawiyah
the idea of an old buddy of mine BTW

Are you talking back in 1975 for the A-series, or the UK permanent NVIs in the 80s?

BTW, make as much sense as the ONE PRICE PRIORITY MAIL or EXPRESS MAIL cartons.

It's funny that we're gone back to NVIs after so many of us used them in our childhood playing "post office". But with the economy the way it is, it makes sense.

38 posted on 01/01/2011 10:36:02 AM PST by Gondring (Paul Revere would have been flamed as a naysayer troll and told to go back to Boston.)
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To: Spartan79
You can already buy forever stamps at a discount on Ebay

After spending some time there, I'd say that's certainly an interesting category of eBay. There are folks selling single stamps near face value with free shipping. WTF?? And they have thousands of positive feedback transactions so this is definitely legit.

39 posted on 01/01/2011 10:36:39 AM PST by nascarnation
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To: oh8eleven
Good graph:

It's amazing to see that long stable time from the 1930s to nearly the 1960s, as inflation slowly dropped the cost of postage.

Can't argue but I would imagine labor costs consume most of the increases - certainly over the last 10 years, probably the last 30.

It's certainly would make sense, as that and fuel and compliance are some of the major increases for similar businesses, I imagine.

40 posted on 01/01/2011 10:40:44 AM PST by Gondring (Paul Revere would have been flamed as a naysayer troll and told to go back to Boston.)
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