Skip to comments.China, The Next Superpower?
Posted on 03/10/2011 4:27:40 PM PST by Kaslin
Supremacy: As Beijing resumes double-digit increases in military spending, a leading think tank projects China will achieve military parity in less than a generation. We'd better practice our bows.
Back in 1907, President Teddy Roosevelt sent what became known as the Great White Fleet on a worldwide excursion that lasted almost 14 months. Four U.S. naval squadrons, consisting of four battleships each and their escorts, demonstrated America's arrival as a great power that would soon pass Britain as ruler of the waves.
Then, the passing of the torch from one great power to another was peacefully presaged by a seemingly small display of sea power. The next great shift may soon be upon us, and the next great superpower may not be so protective of democracy and freedom.
In its Global Military Balance report, the London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) warns that China's growing economic power is forming the basis for a strategic shift in the global military balance of power.
IISS director general John Chapman told Reuters after the report's release on Tuesday that if current trends continue, it would take only 15 to 20 years for China to achieve military parity with the United States. Considering that we seem to be going in different directions, Beijing should soon pass us.
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Obama is doing all he can to make it happen.
The next?? Haven’t they been for some time?
Well yes, but what does Justin Beiber think?
Worrying about the peace and freedom of other nations while neglecting our own is what helped get us in our present fix. If China wants to bear the weight of being the world's superpower then more power to them. The American taxpayer and military could use a break after 70 years.
China reminds me of that vaudeville act where a person is spinning many, many plates on long sticks.
The hard part isn’t to keep the plates spinning — it is not to trip and fall.
China has over a billion people and they’re expecting a payoff for all those years of hard work and self denial. If the Chinese government stumbles, or there is a string of multi-year crop failures, or the Chinese economy collapses, watch out!
They have a day-to-day supply of fuel and coal.
95% of their population lives in dirt poverty.
They just killed a generation of women.
They just suffered a massive crop failure.
Their government is still centralized.
They have built millions of unoccupied housing units as make-work projects.
They fix their prices by decree of central government.
Corruption is systemic.
They hold notes to a whole bunch of US debt, which doesn’t look like a good idea for the future.
Aside from those little details, they’re awesome.
I’m waiting for Charlie Sheen, Kathy Griffin and Lady Gaga to chime in.
Back in 1907, President Teddy Roosevelt sent what became known as the Great White Fleet on a worldwide excursion that lasted almost 14 months. Four U.S. naval squadrons, consisting of four battleships each and their escorts, demonstrated America's arrival as a great power that would soon pass Britain as ruler of the waves.Somewhere around here a few years back there were nice photogs of the GWF steaming through the Straits of Magellan. Very cool.
Not to worry. They will have carriers and carrier-killing missiles and anti-satellite missiles - but that’s nothing.
We will have an INCLUSIVE, PROHOMO MILITARY. Haha! Take THAT.
Typical response from an American voter:
“China will be the next superpower? What does that m... Hey! America Idol`s on!
Idle American loves American Idol.
Communism NEVER works,not even when the god like Chinese do it. I am not saying they are not dangerous, but it simply doesn't work.
I used to respect IBD.
For them to let this ignorance fly under their banner is downright embarrassing for them.
The Chinese leadership is plenty capable of ruling through massive famines. As long as the party cadres are fed and well armed the people can’t do anything. Despite advances in telecommunications China remains a very closed country.
Yeah, but superpowers aren’t generally a ‘closed country’.
China has had opportunities to expand phenomenally beyond its comfort zone, and has not done so. Every time, they’ve pulled back, almost as though they’re afraid...of what? That China itself will be changed by exposure to outsiders?
It’s what I’ve been saying...they aren’t exactly in a the position of a world power to be feared.
Your list is embellished a bit.
But let me give you a list that isn't embellished at all.
China consumes more cement than the rest of the world combined. As a reference, China will soon consume 2 billion tons/yr whereas the US consumes roughly 100 millions tons/yr.
China is now the largest auto producing and consuming nation in the world. And the gap will only widen.
China consumed more energy than the US in 2009 and will likely be twice as much by 2030 (I'm betting more than twice).
China is embarking on a program to build larger commercil aircrafts. So is Russia, Japan, Canada, and possibly Brazil. Boeing and Airbus have the most confidence in a China because of her sheer market size.
There are more nuclear reactors under construction in China than the rest of the world combined.
China's freeway system is nearly as extensive as the US. By 2030, is expected to be twice the freeway of the US as measured in Milege.
Shanghai's subway system (one of many cities) is currently the largest and soon will have more subway mileage just in Shanghai than all the subway lines in all the cities in Japan combined.
And I could give you a further list of items that end with "est" in regards to what China is building or producing. But I think you get my point.
I agree with your statement that communism never works (in fact, I believe it is simply a concept that 'works' in college papers and comic books). Totally agree. However, my question is this ...what makes you believe that China is Communist? In fact, I would say that since 1978 China has not been a true Communist country (stemming from the economic reforms of Deng Xiaoping), and since the mid-90s that trasmission from Communism to 'socialism with Chinese characteristics' to 'economic Capitalism with Chinese characteristics and central rule' have even accelerated. Actually, looking at Chinese economic history, the 'Communism' aspect is actually quite small! Apart from the period from 1949 to 1977 (when Mao's collectivist Communism gutted that nation) China's economy has actually been quite dynamic going back centuries. It is only that 1949-1977/8 period that Maoism decided to ravage the place.
Anyways, I would not call China Communist (I believe the phrase 'Red China' may be as relevant as 'Duchy of Prussia'). Many economists call the shift from Communist Central Economic Planning to what the Chinese currently have a 'Socialist Market Economy,' where you have a Capitalist Market Economy with a strong centralized political core. Some have said it is basically a form of Capitalism controlled by Oligarchs (kind of the Russian economy, but on steroids). Others, more cynical (but probably the most correct), call their economic system Fascist (which may have some truth, if you consider fascism to be an authoritative single-state nationalist control with strong corporatist systems and values).
Personally, I simply consider the Chinese system to be a hybrid, whereby you have a strong Capitalist periphery that is utilized for pragmatic purposes, surrounding an inner core that espouses strong nationalism and adherence to a central controlling political nexus. It has worked out quite well for them, however they still have a good number of (potentially large) issues to deal with. It remains to be seen how well they manage those issues going forward.
However, one thing they are not is Communist.