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Palin wins April Hot Air Primary Poll with 33%
Hot Air ^ | 4/4/11 | Patrick Ishmael

Posted on 04/04/2011 5:28:56 PM PDT by Anamnesis

After casting almost 7,000 total ballots — a new high — Hot Air readers have again made Sarah Palin their top choice for the Republican nomination for President. Palin took 33% of the vote, followed by Herman Cain at 11%, Mitt Romney also at 11%, Tim Pawlenty at 9%, and Rand Paul with 7%, only a few dozen votes ahead of Michele Bachmann.

Remarkably, despite the big volume differences in our monthly polls, the percentage breakdown from month to month hasn’t moved around wildly, with 1.) distinct trends developing for some candidates and 2.) generally reasonable voter realignments as candidates enter and exit the field.

Notable:

  1. This is the first time Chris Christie has not been featured in the Presidential question.
  2. Christie’s votes appear to have been spread fairly widely. Of the 574 voters that explicitly said they’d formerly backed Christie, the redistribution went as follows:
  3. This is the first time Mitt Romney has not received 6% of the vote or finished in 5th place. This month, he nearly doubled his vote and climbed two positions into third. Significant jump.
  4. Rand Paul votes are as real as any other candidate’s in the survey. He appears to be competitive.
  5. Donald Trump made a bit of a jump from March. In March, he took 1% of the vote; in April, he’s taken 4% of the vote, which is roughly equal to the combined April vote totals of Mike Huckabee, Jon Huntsman, and Newt Gingrich.

The Vice Presidential race has tightened considerably. Allen West continues to lead the pack at 19%, but with a reduced lead over Marco Rubio, Bachmann, Paul Ryan, and Cain.

The monthly chart makes this tightening a bit clearer.

With a larger number of participants, it’s not surprising we also got a larger number of readers interested in commenting on the site. Last time, nearly 700 people indicated they wanted to join the site. This time, nearly 1800 readers indicated they wanted to comment at Hot Air; like last time, if I find out when this is going to happen and you gave me your email, I’ll definitely try to give you an early heads up. (If you’d like to pass along your email, I’ve left the form open. Fill it out with your email address included, and if you’ve already voted once before, please indicate that as well so I know it’s not intended to be a double-vote.)

How’s the President doing with regard to Libya? Not good. (But it does make for an elegant graph, I must say.)

What do readers think we ought to be doing in Libya? There was one very popular answer.

And the survey’s demographics:

As you can imagine, you can crunch these numbers a bunch of different ways: how conservatives who vote Palin think about Libya, how libertarians who vote Romney feel about Obama, etc. If you’re interested in a specific situation, holler at me over on Twitter and I’ll try to help you out.

Most interesting tidbit this month for me? If Palin decides to forgo running for President, her voters (the ones that responded to the “second choice” question, anyway) say they will vote for the following:

Food for thought. Again, if you have questions or comments, I’m on Twitter.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: hotair; palin; sarahpalin

1 posted on 04/04/2011 5:29:00 PM PDT by Anamnesis
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To: Anamnesis

I still see Liberals and RINOS making fun of her.

I’m sick of it.


2 posted on 04/04/2011 5:31:59 PM PDT by CommieCutter (Promote Liberal Extinction: Support gay marriage and abortion!)
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To: Anamnesis
I wonder if She even wants the job? Who ever gets it coming from our side is going to be put in an almost impossible situation. The left has no regard for God, what they will do to Her will be unspeakable.
3 posted on 04/04/2011 5:34:54 PM PDT by reefdiver ("Let His day's be few And another takes His office")
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To: reefdiver
The left has no regard for God, what they will do to Her will be unspeakable.

Yep, up there with what they are doing to us as a whole in this country, unspeakable.

4 posted on 04/04/2011 5:38:59 PM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: Anamnesis

PALIN / BACHMAN 2012

UNBEATABLE TICKET

And I predict that is who it will be.


5 posted on 04/04/2011 5:41:24 PM PDT by Mr. K (Job #1 DEFUND THE LEFT Palin/Bachman 2012 -Unbeatable Ticket)
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To: Anamnesis

Palin / West ‘12


6 posted on 04/04/2011 5:45:32 PM PDT by Crim
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To: Anamnesis
Well according to BOReilly and Brit Hume tonight, Palin and Bachman are too stupid to be President.

Sarah running a state as governor and Bachman being a lawyer with a PHD in tax law doesn't count.

BOR really hates women imho.

7 posted on 04/04/2011 5:50:58 PM PDT by weston (As far as I'm concerned, it's Christ or nothing!)
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To: weston

Agreed.

These men want insider men to run and win.


8 posted on 04/04/2011 5:52:27 PM PDT by combat_boots (The Lion of Judah cometh. Hallelujah. Gloria Patri, Filio et Spiritui Sancto.)
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To: Anamnesis

Voted for Sarah but would have no problem with the Hermanator at all.


9 posted on 04/04/2011 6:00:48 PM PDT by vicar7
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To: Mr. K; All

“PALIN / BACHMAN 2012....UNBEATABLE TICKET...And I predict that is who it will be.”

This won’t ever happen. Putting two inexperienced women on the ballot won’t fly. I will say that either one of the two has a good shot at being the VP pick. However, I don’t think Sarah would settle for that now...so that leaves Bachman as a likely VP pick. At this point I have no idea who the Pres. GOP pick will be. However, I am pretty certain in won’t be Sarah Palin.....too many negatives (even if they are not deserved).


10 posted on 04/04/2011 6:02:23 PM PDT by Sola Veritas (Trying to speak truth - not always with the best grammar or spelling)
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To: Mr. K

SARA PALIN / HERMAN CAIN

Now that’s an unbeatable ticket!


11 posted on 04/04/2011 6:11:17 PM PDT by rightwingjew
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To: Anamnesis

Mitt Romney 11%?

Never heard of him.


12 posted on 04/04/2011 6:11:52 PM PDT by Vendome ("Don't take life so seriously... You'll never live through it anyway")
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To: Crim

Palin/(West or Cain) fries my brain... Bachmann and Rubio in the Cabinet and DeMint as a Supreme Court Justice... Oh, forgot John Bolton, Secretary of State.


13 posted on 04/04/2011 6:12:59 PM PDT by Frank Sheed (Fr. V. R. Capodanno, Lt, USN, Catholic Chaplain. 3rd/5th, 1st Marine Div., FMF. MOH, posthumously.)
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To: Frank Sheed

The libtard commies would riot...

I’m OK with that...

*grin*


14 posted on 04/04/2011 6:22:15 PM PDT by Crim
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To: reefdiver; EGPWS
I do not want her to be the sacrificial lamb, but she is the only one who can raise $1 BILLION DOLLARS while smashing the Marxist in debates simultaneously.

Of course the media will bash and trash her, but they're already doing that and she just keeps firing back and standing taller than ever before.


15 posted on 04/04/2011 6:44:07 PM PDT by onyx (If you truly support Sarah Palin and want to be on her busy ping list, let me know!)
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To: weston
BOR really hates women imho.

Really, wasn't there some sex scandal that he paid off not long ago?

16 posted on 04/04/2011 6:49:05 PM PDT by itsahoot (Almost everything I post is Sarcastic, since I have no sense of humor about lying politicians.)
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To: Frank Sheed
Palin/Cain, Bolton SoS, West Defense, Giuliani AG.

Add names/positions at your pleasure

Sarah announces the team during the acceptance speech, and they campa9ign as a team! Reasonable concept?

17 posted on 04/04/2011 7:06:18 PM PDT by fantail 1952 (Truth is a virus!)
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To: Mr. K
MY PREFERENCES:

Sarah PALIN – President
John BOLTON – VP


Steve Forbes – Sec. of State
General Patraeus – Sec. of Defense
Mark Levin – Attorney General
Thomas Sowell – Sec. of Treasury
Jan Brewer – Sec. of Homeland Security

Dept. of Veteran Affairs – Merge with Defense
Dept. of Interior – Merge with Treasury
Dept. of Commerce – Merge with Treasury
Dept. of Transportation – Merge with Treasury
Dept. of Health & Human Services – Merge with Treasury
Dept. of Agriculture – Merge with Treasury

Dept. of Education – ABOLISH
Dept. of Energy – ABOLISH
Dept. of Labor – ABOLISH
Dept. of Housing & Urban Development – ABOLISH

18 posted on 04/04/2011 7:12:24 PM PDT by leprechaun9
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To: weston

Don’t forget that O’Reilly was sued for sexual harassment by one of his producers and settled out of court for likely millions. He doesn’t like women unless he can sexually harass them.


19 posted on 04/04/2011 7:15:50 PM PDT by GnL
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To: leprechaun9
General Patraeus – Sec. of Defense

Negative. He has proved to be a Muslim-appeaser and will not stand up to the Joint Chiefs. He keeps going, he will be General Betray-us.

20 posted on 04/04/2011 7:24:00 PM PDT by backwoods-engineer (Any politician who holds that the state accords rights is an oathbreaker and an "enemy... domestic.")
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To: leprechaun9

Have you listened to either West or Cain? One is an Army Colonel and the other is a successful businessman. Neither suffers fools gladly. I love Bolton but he has no constituency. And Rubio is a rock star. Some would place him in the Veep spot. I think he will keep his powder dry for a run later as Prez. As for abolishing Depts., that comes later I believe.

Patraeus is apparently exhausted and battling the after effects of prostate cancer. Give the man a rest! Let him assume the job of Head of the Joint Chiefs which is what I think he wants.


21 posted on 04/04/2011 7:26:00 PM PDT by Frank Sheed (Fr. V. R. Capodanno, Lt, USN, Catholic Chaplain. 3rd/5th, 1st Marine Div., FMF. MOH, posthumously.)
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To: Anamnesis
Sarah Louise Palin

Born February 11, 1964 in Sandpoint, ID (Meets the Jus Soli Requirement)

Parents were
Charles R Heath, born in ID
Sarah Sheeran, born in WI

Both parents were US Citizens at the time of her birth (Meets the Jus Sanguinis Requirement)

Sarah Palin is a NATURAL BORN CITIZEN unlike Comrade Barry Soetoro aka Barack Hussein Obama.

22 posted on 04/04/2011 7:30:28 PM PDT by ASA Vet (Natural-born citizens, are those born in the country, of parents who are citizens. De Vattel)
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To: Sola Veritas
Why don't you explain to all of us just exactly what you consider “Experienced”? Evidently you're quite an authority on the subject and we're waiting with baited breath for your response.
23 posted on 04/04/2011 7:31:32 PM PDT by Old Badger (I still like Palin because she will tell like it is and she take no prisoners!)
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To: fantail 1952

Palin/Cain, Bolton SoS, West Defense, Giuliani AG.

I could live with that.
I think Palin has some surprises for us, she’s had
plenty of time to work the problem plus she has had
the experience of being on the ticket which none of
the others have. I look at her and can see the
fire that will drive her to her goal.


24 posted on 04/04/2011 7:38:12 PM PDT by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: weston
"OR really hates women imho. "

OR really hates conservative women.

Corrected.

25 posted on 04/05/2011 3:49:45 AM PDT by Wonder Warthog
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