Skip to comments.Pew Poll: Obama Struggling With White Voters
Posted on 04/08/2011 7:20:56 AM PDT by Red Badger
The latest Pew Research Center national poll released today underscores how slender a beachhead President Obama has established among whites more than two years into his presidency.
In his 2008 election, Obama ran well only among two groups of whites -- young people and white women with at least a four year college education, two groups that are generally receptive to government activism. In the 2010 GOP landslide, those groups stuck with Democrats relatively more loyally than the rest of the white electorate, but the party's support tumbled even among them.
Figures provided to National Journal by Pew from the new survey suggests that Obama has recaptured ground Democrats lost with well-educated white women in 2010-but that he is still struggling with every other segment of the white electorate, including younger voters.
These results underscore the basic dynamic looming over the 2012 presidential race. On the one hand, Obama will benefit from a wave of diversity that has increased the minority share of the population in every state since 2000, according to recently released results from the 2010 Census.
On the other, polls consistently suggest he may struggle to match the modest 43 percent support among whites that he drew in 2008, according to the Edison Research exit poll. In the 2010 mid-term election, according to the Edison exit poll, just 37 percent of whites backed Democrats in House races, while 60 percent supported Republicans-the highest share of the white vote Republicans have won in a House election in the history of modern polling. Obama's approval rating among all whites in the Pew survey stands at a similar 38 percent.
The poll, which surveyed 1,507 adults from March 30 to April 3, put Obama's overall approval rating at 47 percent with 45 percent disapproving. The survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
Obama's best group in the white electorate remains well-educated women, who tend toward more liberal positions on social issues as well as greater receptivity to government activism. In the new poll, 56 percent of college-educated white women said they approved of Obama's performance. That's a slight improvement from the 52 percent of such women who voted for him in 2008, according to the Edison Research exit poll. It's also a big improvement from the 43 percent of college-plus white women who backed Democratic House candidates in 2010. (Well-educated white women provided substantially more support for Democrats in some key 2010 Senate races, including contests in Colorado, California and Wisconsin.)
The rest of the white electorate remains deeply cool to Obama, the Pew survey found. Just 38 percent of college-educated white men said they approve of the president. That's down from the 42 percent of the vote he won from those men in 2008, and only a slight improvement from the miniscule 35 percent House Democrats won with them in 2010.
Obama's approval rating in the Pew survey stood at just 34 percent among white women without a college education-the so-called waitress moms. Democrats have often had high hopes for capturing those economically-strained, culturally-conservative women, but the new result only underscores their consistent Republican tilt: Obama won just 41 percent of them in 2008, and House Democrats just 34 percent of them in 2010.
The toughest group for Obama remains white men without a college-education-the blue-collar workers who constituted the foundation of the Democratic electoral coalition from 1932 to 1968. Just 35 percent of them said they approve of his performance in the Pew poll. That's below even the 39 percent of them Obama carried in 2008, though slightly above the Democrats' microscopic 32 percent showing with them in 2010, according to the exit poll. All of these results suggest that the gap between Obama's support among college-educated white women and non-college white men-which stood at a formidable 13 percentage points in 2008-might easily widen even further in 2012.
Looking at the white electorate by age shows fewer fissures -- but one bright red flag for the president. In the Pew survey, Obama's approval rating among white seniors stands at just 38 percent; he draws just 35 percent approval from those aged 50-64 and 40 percent from those 30-49. Generally, that's slightly, but not markedly, below his support from those groups in 2008. Perhaps the most ominous trend for Obama in the Pew survey is that just 41 percent of whites under 30 said they approved of his performance; in 2008, he won 54 percent of those younger whites. In the 2010 exit poll, Democrats' support among those whites sagged to 45 percent, but even that remained much higher than their backing among older whites.
Almost as troubling for Obama is his showing among Hispanics in the poll. Just 54 percent of Hispanics in the Pew survey said they approved of his performance, a finding that echoes the results in recent Gallup polls. Given Obama's persistent difficulties in the white community, he can't afford much softening among Hispanics, who gave him two-thirds of their votes last time and represent a steadily growing share of the population in key swing states from Nevada and Colorado to North Carolina and Virginia, and even Iowa and New Hampshire.
It's unclear, though, if any Republican will emerge from the GOP nominating process positioned to benefit from that cooling-or whether, as some conservative Hispanic activists fear, pressure from the conservative primary electorate will tug them toward such uncompromising positions on immigration that they alienate Latino voters otherwise open to a change.
I think he's still struggling with his own white half.
This proves beyond a doubt exactly what men have been saying for thousands of years.
There are some women out there that are so stupid you can't hammer sense into them.
He’s half white........I consider it harping on his white side. ;^)
In the new poll, 56 percent of college-educated white women said they approved of Obama’s performance. That’s a slight improvement from the 52 percent of such women who voted for him in 2008, according to the Edison Research exit poll. ****
I can’t believe his support among any group has risen since 2008. 56%...Really? Are most of these suburban white women on some sort of prescription drug? There must be some explanation for such a total disconnect from reality.
Hmm, if they keep calling women without college educations "waitress moms.”, they will see that percentage drop to 20%.
What a bunch of educated idiot snubs.
His American Hating, Marxist-Racist-Czar studded administration and his non-existent leadership skills may have something to do with most of America rejecting him.
That angry spouse of his hasn’t exactly warmed the hearts of patriots either.
With the government shutdown looming, he may even lose some of his supporters in the military.
Such harsh words.
But you were still too kind.
"Michelle and the girls should leave this nigger", so saith the peace loving leader of the black mooselimbs, malik zulu shabazz.
Guess those types of white women do not have government dependent jobs. Basically college loan indebted white women think big spending Obama is “nice”, those without college thing Obama is “not so nice.”
I wonder why? Just because his whole administration hates white folks and treats them like garbage. Is that a good excuse?
Damn straight it is.
Many white people recognize his racism and racial preferencing that he is using to split the country. Some do not realize that he is trying to goad us into CWII, but they will.
No-bama behind closed doors: “ I can’t understand why those filthy, uneducated, racist, gun loving, Bible toting, loathsome, vile honky crackers dislike me. Don’t those rubes realize that I am only trying to lift their lives out of their morally bankrupt western values and lead them to a Utopian sharia ..I mean multicultural world (minus those dirty Jews - and those damn Evangicals)? Can’t they see beyond there own ethnocentric self interests? Geezzz!
Why are well educated white women stupid?
Ask their College Professors.
Shoot they have BEEN calling for CWII for awhile now...however, I think when the shells really start fling they will conveniently slip into Canada (or Mexico if they are broke @sses) and leave us yet another mess to clean up.
Libtards are just so many spoiled kids that mess up their rooms and want big mommy (government) clean up after them...
White people have paid, and plenty, for their guilt with Obama’s 2008 election. Don’t need to pay no more.
So I’m thinking the guilt-and-intimidation tactic won’t work so well this time around. And without it, Obama is just another incompetent Democrat - “time for a change at the top”!
“Ask their College Professors.”
Not going to buy that one. Men have the same professors.
“conservative Hispanic activists fear, pressure from the conservative primary electorate will tug them toward such uncompromising positions on immigration that they alienate Latino voters otherwise open to a change.”
this is a load of bollocks. I live in AZ and know a lot of Hispanics, their stance on illegal aliens is the same as mine. we all oppose it