Posted on 04/21/2011 11:34:21 AM PDT by OldDeckHand
It's early yet, but the Grand Old Party clearly has its work cut out to sell the voting American public on a candidate to challenge President Obama in the 2012 national election.
A 56 percent majority of Republican voters told a CBS News/New York Times poll that none of the names officially or unofficially in the hat at this stage made them feel enthusiastic as potential nominees.
(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...
Wow. Palin at 26% A, 55% D, 18% U...
MSM: Mission accomplished.
I would love to know how they do that. Do tell. “ =========
The “duh” momment will come to you when you bother to feign some degree of interest in the “do tell” variables of any poll. For instance how the poll is weighted; by the turn of the question itself, Democrats over Republicans, or females over males, education level and ages of those polled, the geographic region(s) of the polling, etc., etc., etc.
Actually, given the results of the last mid-term election, that is oversampled by roughly 7-points. The 2010 party identification numbers were split evenly amonst Dems-Republican 36/36 and 28% Indies, which I believe is one of the largest Indy representation in the modern era.
2010 Elections Exit Poll Analysis:
"Democrats and Republicans were at parity in self-identification nationally, 36-36 percent, a return to the close division seen in years before 2008, when it broke dramatically in the Democrats' favor, 40-33 percent."
I’ll tell you what. I found Huckabee to be a cagey SOB last time around. And if you look at RCP, he’s constantly number one. Palin’s numbers, not surprisingly, look similar to Fred Thompson’s. If Huckabee runs, I’m betting he wins IA and is a major player in SC.
I, like many Americans would vote for the devil himself before I would not vote or vote for the fraud obama. Stay home...and not vote in this next election borders on treason IMHO...
When Palin starts running, those unfavorables will disappear like the morning dew. People who don’t pay attention to politics & get their info from the MSM tend to be “unfavorable.” One exposure to Sarah will convert the majority of them!
It is a weird poll, but, if more than half of ALL voters oppose Palin, she ain’t gonna beat Obama, at least today she wouldn’t.
More over, this CBS poll only is reporting on the candidate's favorability/unfavorability as well as their degree of familiarity with the electorate, the poll is not at all incongruous with RCP average.
Put another way, this poll is absolutely in-keeping with every other poll that I have seen the last few weeks.
In other words, Huckabee can win, Romney might be able to, Palin can’t, and Trump would struggle (but if anyone can overcome negatives, it’s Trump). The others fall somewhere in the middle.
You do realize that Palin leads all comers in the undecided/unknown category, right? That is to say, of all the people possibly running for the GOP nomination, Palin is EASILY the most recognized person, even a full 10-points ahead of Trump - a guy with his name on buildings literally all over the country, and on broadcast TV every Sunday night.
I would love to know how the person who is the best known with the most cemented opinion is going to "convert the majority of them".
At least 82% of the American public knows Sarah Palin and has already formed their opinion. Have you ever heard the term, "you don't get a second opportunity to introduce yourself to someone"?
Isn’t it just exhausting defending CBS/NYT polling, RCP, who average liberal over Republican polling 5/1?
I think that's true. If I'm Bachmann, Pawlenty, Barbour, Daniels or even Santorum, while I'm not happy with where I am, at least I'm comforted with the fact no one knows who I am also. At least there's MUCH room for improvement.
If I have high disapprovals and 80+% of the country knows who I am already, I know I'm toast.
Does the CBS poll lean to the left? Sure it does. Is it an outlier? Nope, not even close.
“I, like many Americans would vote for the devil himself before I would not vote or vote for the fraud obama. Stay home...and not vote in this next election borders on treason IMHO...”
We were talking about primaries, no?
Thanks for the HO though.
Or we could just keep the one we have.
Agreed.
I will vote for Gadaffi / Mubarak over Obama in 2012 if given the chance and choice.
No, what’s exhausting is seeing the same reflexive hostility to any poll that doesn’t provide the desired results. “ =============
I get it. You’re preaching to a choir member, but these polls have dang well earned every bit of the “reflexive hostility” and “the predictable feedback” by conservatives and most FReepers. The hostility and the commentary feedback
in this case is simply not a flaw. That’s my only point here.
” I will vote for Gadaffi / Mubarak over Obama in 2012 if given the chance... “ ===========
Someone cleverly posted “No MuBarack 2012” elsewhere. Something like that. Very bang on.
“Shows you how the freeper community doesn’t represent the GOP voters at large.”
This is true, FR is a Conservative site, not a Republican site. Conversely, the GOP doesn’t represent a majority of Americans, just look at how well the establishment GOP candidates tend to do in national elections...
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