Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

2012 electoral map as it stands
Reuters ^ | April 21, 2011 | by James Pethokoukis

Posted on 04/21/2011 12:48:04 PM PDT by library user

~ EXCERPT ~

This is how 2012 looks right now to elections guru Larry Sabato:

electoralmap

Here is how the math works: Include the “Leans” states with the “Likely” and “Safe,” the numbers are as follows: 247 Democratic EVs,  180 Republican EVs, 111 Undecided. Just counting “Likely” and “Safe,” the numbers are as follows: 196 Democratic EVs, 170 Republican EVs, 172 Undecided.

Of the tossup states, I would give the Rs IN (11), FL (29) and certainly at least one of VA, NC or OH. Some Leans D in the Upper Midwest are vulnerable, too.

(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.reuters.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012; 2012electoralmap; elections2012; larrysabato; sabato
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-62 next last

1 posted on 04/21/2011 12:48:05 PM PDT by library user
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: library user

Didn’t he have the Dems losing 4-5 seats last election until 2 weeks prior?

Pray for America


2 posted on 04/21/2011 12:51:18 PM PDT by bray (Hey Oboehner stop crying and start fighting?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: library user
Well, Texas is a RED STATE. But then again, so many people have moved here from jobless states to find work here, they could all be new Democrats. I HOPE NOT! Most of the jobs created in USA in the past year or two were in Texas. I wish we could just go ahead and secede!
3 posted on 04/21/2011 12:51:23 PM PDT by buffyt (Abortion is the ultimate CHILD ABUSE!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Why in the world is Texas only a “likely”? Obama wouldn’t beat a ham sandwich in Texas.


4 posted on 04/21/2011 12:52:18 PM PDT by Crimson Elephant
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: library user

I’m pleased to see Colorado in the toss-up category. Used to be we were reliably Republican, but there’s been a huge influx of illegals and liberals in the last 20 years, and now our governor, both senators, and all but two congressmen are Democrats.


5 posted on 04/21/2011 12:53:10 PM PDT by American Quilter (DEFUND OBAMACARE.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: library user

This map would work if 2009-2010 never happened.

Sabato is dreaming.


6 posted on 04/21/2011 12:54:14 PM PDT by nhwingut (Palin '12... Accept No Other)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: library user

Wonder how that map changes if Trump somehow manages to make it? And how much money that’ll cost the Democrats just to bring that new map back to this one...


7 posted on 04/21/2011 12:54:33 PM PDT by kingu (Legislators should read what they write!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: library user

Michigan lost a seat.


8 posted on 04/21/2011 12:55:10 PM PDT by FrdmLvr (Death to tyrants)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

What are you saying? I’m just curious. That Dem loses will be much worse than the map shows?


9 posted on 04/21/2011 12:55:53 PM PDT by library user (Just because you're homeless doesn't mean you're lazy.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Crimson Elephant
"Why in the world is Texas only a “likely”? Obama wouldn’t beat a ham sandwich in Texas."

Because we are slowly getting the blue spotted virus with each election cycle. Harris County (includes Houston) turned blue in the 2008 election.

10 posted on 04/21/2011 12:56:01 PM PDT by avacado
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: bray

This seems a little devoid of reality. Wisconsin (according to the last election) is no linger dem. Ohio (my home) is not a toss-up as we just elected a Republican Governor and state legistlature. Pennsylvania is a toss-up at best.


11 posted on 04/21/2011 12:56:28 PM PDT by marstegreg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: library user

Sabato is an always wrong puke.


12 posted on 04/21/2011 12:56:28 PM PDT by boomop1
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Crimson Elephant
How many illegals live in Texas????
13 posted on 04/21/2011 12:56:58 PM PDT by org.whodat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: library user

Sabato often skews left, and he certainly overestimates the jackasses with this map.


14 posted on 04/21/2011 12:57:18 PM PDT by rfp1234 (Le Parti du The'. Ne marchez pas sur moi!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: avacado
Yes all of those welfare transplants from new Orleans.
15 posted on 04/21/2011 12:58:46 PM PDT by org.whodat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: library user

Indiana and Ohio are SOLID R’s for 2012. Likely Wisconsin, Michigan and PA, too.

NO WAY Obama can win without those.


16 posted on 04/21/2011 12:58:59 PM PDT by tcrlaf (2012 Slogan: "You'd Have To Be Insane, To Vote For Hussein!")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: avacado
Yes all of those welfare transplants from new Orleans.
17 posted on 04/21/2011 12:58:59 PM PDT by org.whodat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: avacado
Yes all of those welfare transplants from new Orleans.
18 posted on 04/21/2011 12:58:59 PM PDT by org.whodat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Crimson Elephant

Don’t forget about the Mescans


19 posted on 04/21/2011 12:59:26 PM PDT by tayper (Granny told me, Saying it don't make it so)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: boomop1
Sabato is an always wrong puke.

Actually, his predictions for last year's elections were almost totally on the money. The GOP did a little worse in the Senate than he had predicted, IIRC.

20 posted on 04/21/2011 12:59:51 PM PDT by library user (Just because you're homeless doesn't mean you're lazy.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-62 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson