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Aides: John Ensign to resign Friday
Politico ^ | 4-21-2011 | MANU RAJU & JOHN BRESNAHAN

Posted on 04/21/2011 3:59:24 PM PDT by Danae

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To: AuH2ORepublican; BillyBoy; Impy; Clintonfatigued; Crichton

The good news is that Angle will have to make her case to the local GOP committees (there will be no special primary if Heller moves up), and that’s unlikely to happen. She’d be the only GOP candidate likely to cost us this seat (since she is the KH equivalent in NV). Apparently both Lt Gov Brian Krolicki and Mark Amodei are looking at having a go for the seat, and either one would easily hold it for us.


51 posted on 04/21/2011 8:09:41 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Amber Lamps !"~~)
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To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican

I’ve heard that the ‘Rats may seriously contest the seat. Some are pushing state Treasurer Kate Marshall to run.


52 posted on 04/21/2011 8:15:48 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Muslims are a people of love, peace, and goodwill, and if you say that they aren't, they'll kill you)
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To: All; Danae
Corruption is what gave rise to Pelosi's reign in 2007: 'Duke' "bribery" Cunningham, Tom "nonfat budget" DeLay and Mark "intern" Foley.

Who will the governor appoint to finish out the term? Will it be Sharron Angle or that House member who threw his hat into the ring?

53 posted on 04/21/2011 8:16:58 PM PDT by newzjunkey
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To: newzjunkey; All

The Rats are all over this CD race already...

So far, according to this article and the NVSOS, there is not going to be a primary, the NVGOP picks the candidate to run in the general...

http://www.slate.com/BLOGS/blogs/weigel/archive/2011/04/21/john-ensign-resign-sharron-angle-hardest-hit.aspx


54 posted on 04/21/2011 9:09:58 PM PDT by Fred (Suspend All Immigration Until Unemployment is Reduced to 5%)
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To: Recovering_Democrat

Are you nuts? Do you want Shelley Berkley elected next year?

It’s gonna be Heller.


55 posted on 04/21/2011 10:44:22 PM PDT by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Impy; Clintonfatigued; GOPsterinMA

Good news all around.

Thanks for quitting Ensign.


56 posted on 04/21/2011 10:45:49 PM PDT by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

They won’t win it unless Angle is the nominee in which case it may be a tossup with a strong rat.


57 posted on 04/21/2011 10:47:02 PM PDT by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Before anyone bites my head off, I’m a Nevadan and Ensign voted the right way on 95% of the issues. He did a lot of outreach to his constituents and voted the way people here wanted him to. And I’m glad that he chose the right option and isn’t running again after this scandal.

I am a huge fan of my congressman, Dean Heller. His district comprises of Reno and all the lower population counties that lean conservative (lots of Ron Paul lovers up here), and we’re really hurting up here for a replacement for him. Angle wants Heller’s seat. I don’t know if Reno will swing her way, although she is from here.

But there is no one else from Northern Nevada who can hope to keep that Senate seat if the gov picks Heller. It will give him a huge leg up in the election and we might keep that seat but the Clark County factor is going to be huge.

I don’t know if Vegas will vote for someone from up north. Ensign was “one of their own,” so once in, people down there kept giving him the nod.


58 posted on 04/21/2011 10:58:24 PM PDT by sf4dubya (FREE TOM DELAY! (I rebelled against my parents by becoming a conservative))
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To: sf4dubya

Why would we bite your head off ? A lot of Dems are putting too much faith in Shelley Berkley to get the seat back, but the lady’s record is certifiable moonbat. I think the race is somewhat similar to Gibbons vs. Dina Titus in ‘06 (Gov contest). Like Gibbons, Heller is a northern NV’er running against a LV-area pol. Frankly, knowing that the scenario has changed, were I Berkley, I’d decline to run as Heller will have over a year and a half of a leg up as the Senate incumbent (presuming Sandoval doesn’t go with someone else) and this becomes more of a kamikaze run.


59 posted on 04/21/2011 11:12:31 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Amber Lamps !"~~)
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To: fieldmarshaldj
Why would we bite your head off?

Because I like and defended the majority of Ensign's voting record.

There is a very real possibility that we don't keep Heller's House seat. We have a lot of Bay Area transplants here who keep voting like they are still in Kalifornia.

60 posted on 04/21/2011 11:24:21 PM PDT by sf4dubya (I rebelled against my parents by becoming a conservative)
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To: sf4dubya

Well, Ensign does have a pretty good record, it’s just unfortunate these guys don’t realize that whatever “private business” they decide to have is usually going to come out (and unlike Democrats, who can get away with murder, they’ll usually be out on their butts).

But regarding NV-2, that district is designed for a Republican and has never voted anything but since the state was divided into two seats in 1982. If we can’t win there, the whole state is a loss. Given that this is a special election at a time when the Administration in DC is becoming more unpopular by the day, it is all that more likely we’ll retain it. Only an unpopular nominee from our side (Angle) could cost us the seat.


61 posted on 04/21/2011 11:53:22 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Amber Lamps !"~~)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

In Washoe County, Reid beat Angle by 5 points.

Take a look here: http://www.nvsos.gov/soselectionpages/results/2010STatewideGeneral/Washoe.aspx

We like voting in incumbents. You’ll see how some districts went Dem in their local elections. We also have a ton of union beholden RINOs who went out of their way to trash Angle.

I’m not being defeatest but if the GOP drops the ball on making sure we get a solid conservative in Heller’s seat, then it isn’t going to bode well in any general election. Can’t be lazy and think everything is in the bag.


62 posted on 04/22/2011 2:00:04 AM PDT by sf4dubya (I rebelled against my parents by becoming a conservative)
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To: sf4dubya

Although I supported Angle in the 2006 House primary when Gibbons ran for Governor, her erratic behavior in charging Heller with voter fraud and demanding a do-over showed she wasn’t ready for prime time. She followed it up with another losing exercise against Bill Raggio in ‘08, and it was no surprise to me when she lost to Reid last year. However, it wasn’t RINOs alone who undermined her, she herself had to shoulder the bulk of the blame. I was absolutely flabbergasted when the Tea Party got behind her in the primary, willfully choosing to ignore her blown past candidacies. Virtually any other Republican candidate could’ve taken down Reid. She reminded me of the FL Senate candidate in 2006, Katherine Harris (despite her role in keeping the Dems from stealing the state in 2000, she was the most polarizing (and unpopular) political figure in the state). She had die-hards delusionally believing she could win statewide, and I would remind them she would lose to the unpopular Bill Nelson by a landslide (and which she certainly did).

As I said, as for NV-2, we SHOULD win it, but yes, we could lose it, because our party has often been known to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. Angle vs. Reid is a prime example. That race should’ve resembled Sandoval vs. Rory Reid with a non-damaged candidate. We were smart with the Governor’s race (and NV-3 with Joe Heck), too bad we weren’t across the board, and with the most important Senate race in the entire country.


63 posted on 04/22/2011 2:34:00 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Amber Lamps !"~~)
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To: Impy

I really just want someone to the right of Ensign appointed. The photo of Reid escorting her down to be sworn in would be nice to see, though.


64 posted on 04/22/2011 6:19:18 AM PDT by Recovering_Democrat
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To: Impy

I really just want someone to the right of Ensign appointed. The photo of Reid escorting her down to be sworn in would be nice to see, though.


65 posted on 04/22/2011 6:19:27 AM PDT by Recovering_Democrat
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To: Niteranger68
Would love to see Sharron Angle get the gig.....

Forget about Sharron Angle. Whether it's fair or not, she's viewed as a whackjob. She lost to sorry-ass Harry Reid at a time when just about any person who comes off as sane would have beaten him easily.

66 posted on 04/22/2011 6:32:52 AM PDT by jpl
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To: Danae

Good. Get the hell out.


67 posted on 04/22/2011 8:04:41 AM PDT by Texas Eagle (If it wasn't for double-standards, Liberals would have no standards at all -- Texas Eagle)
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To: sf4dubya

Heller has represented a big part of Clark County in Congress since the 2006 election and before that was elected statewide, so he’s well known in Las Vegas. He won’t have much of a deficit against Berkeley in Clark County, and will trounce her in the rest of the state.


68 posted on 04/22/2011 8:12:38 AM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll protect your rights?)
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To: Danae

Thanks for quitting, Ensign and take that nitwit Harry Reid with you.


69 posted on 04/22/2011 9:16:57 AM PDT by shove_it (just undo it)
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To: AuH2ORepublican
"Dead on, Gov. Sandoval will appoint Congressman (and former Secretary of State) Dean Heller, who has proven to be far more conservative in Congress than I thought he’d be when he barely beat out Sharron Angle (whom I supported) in the 2006 primary. As for Heller’s House seat, you’re correct that nominating Sharron Angle would unnecessarily jeopardize our hold on the seat, especially since the special election will be held under the current lines, which include large swaths of Clark County within the district. I hope that former state Senator Maurice Washington, who represented Washoe County until he was term-limited out in January and who is at least as conservative as Angle (he’s a minister with a pro-business, small-government mindset), runs for the seat and wins the GOP nomination—he’d be unbeatable in the general. And, as a bonus, he’d join Congressmen Tim Scott and Allen West as a third black conservative Republican in Congress who would help erode the ignorant mindset of so many black voters nationwide that blacks can only be limited Democrats."

Agreed - Sandoval is a true-blue conservative and statesman...Nevada is in great hands with him at the helm. I really like Sharron Angle and would love for her to take over Heller's Senate seat, but I'm going to have to agree with you on your analysis about how the vote might go. Plus, I have an uneasy feeling that she may get knee-capped by her own party again.

70 posted on 04/22/2011 10:44:52 AM PDT by rscully ("You cannot change a mind with logic that was made up without the use thereof." --DelphiUser's Dad.)
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To: AuH2ORepublican
"Dead on, Gov. Sandoval will appoint Congressman (and former Secretary of State) Dean Heller, who has proven to be far more conservative in Congress than I thought he’d be when he barely beat out Sharron Angle (whom I supported) in the 2006 primary. As for Heller’s House seat, you’re correct that nominating Sharron Angle would unnecessarily jeopardize our hold on the seat, especially since the special election will be held under the current lines, which include large swaths of Clark County within the district. I hope that former state Senator Maurice Washington, who represented Washoe County until he was term-limited out in January and who is at least as conservative as Angle (he’s a minister with a pro-business, small-government mindset), runs for the seat and wins the GOP nomination—he’d be unbeatable in the general. And, as a bonus, he’d join Congressmen Tim Scott and Allen West as a third black conservative Republican in Congress who would help erode the ignorant mindset of so many black voters nationwide that blacks can only be limited Democrats."

Agreed - Sandoval is a true-blue conservative and statesman...Nevada is in great hands with him at the helm. I really like Sharron Angle and would love for her to take over Heller's Senate seat, but I'm going to have to agree with you on your analysis about how the vote might go. Plus, I have an uneasy feeling that she may get knee-capped by her own party again.

71 posted on 04/22/2011 10:45:01 AM PDT by rscully ("You cannot change a mind with logic that was made up without the use thereof." --DelphiUser's Dad.)
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To: rscully

Sorry: senate = congressional. Mistyped, misspelled, double-posted, and can’t get the hang of html!!! ;-)

Having.A.Bad.Hair.Day!


72 posted on 04/22/2011 10:52:28 AM PDT by rscully ("You cannot change a mind with logic that was made up without the use thereof." --DelphiUser's Dad.)
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To: sf4dubya

I would like to second these assessments of Ensign. He has been a solid vote for cons. Heller has also been a solid vote.


73 posted on 04/22/2011 12:48:22 PM PDT by Fred (Suspend All Immigration Until Unemployment is Reduced to 5%)
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To: Danae
Corruption knows no party lines.>

Actually Sin knows no party line

74 posted on 04/22/2011 1:36:46 PM PDT by RnMomof7 ( "But your iniquities have separated you from your God; your sins have hidden His face from you,)
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To: AuH2ORepublican
and wins the GOP nomination

As I recall, special elections for the House don't have primaries. So it's up to the political class - read Republican committee members or county chairs (in New York state) to pick the Republican nominee. This may be different in Nevada, but generally speaking, House special election are held fast, so it's very helpful if the Tea Party has joined the hierarchy.

And I'm sure you Nevada locals know whether Angle is electable, and who the best electable candidate is.

75 posted on 04/23/2011 10:04:10 AM PDT by bIlluminati (Don't just hope for change, work for change in 2011-2012.)
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To: Niteranger68

My thoughts too...just to see Reid’s reaction.


76 posted on 04/23/2011 2:51:13 PM PDT by Scanian
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To: Niteranger68

My thoughts too...just to see Reid’s reaction.


77 posted on 04/23/2011 2:51:53 PM PDT by Scanian
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To: AuH2ORepublican

Nice. Your scenario much be implemented.


78 posted on 04/24/2011 5:52:13 AM PDT by eleni121 ("All Along the Watchtower" Book of Isaiah, Chapter 21, verses 5-9)
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To: AuH2ORepublican

Nice. Your scenario MUST be implemented


79 posted on 04/24/2011 5:52:46 AM PDT by eleni121 ("All Along the Watchtower" Book of Isaiah, Chapter 21, verses 5-9)
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To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Impy; Clintonfatigued; Crichton
>> The good news is that Angle will have to make her case to the local GOP committees (there will be no special primary if Heller moves up), and that’s unlikely to happen. She’d be the only GOP candidate likely to cost us this seat <<

I agree, we don't want Angle to be the replacement, she'd be a weak candidate to keep the seat in GOP hands, even as an (appointed) incumbent.

During last November's race when the Kirkbots were claiming we had to accept that it was "Brady's fault" he lost the IL Governor's race, I responded that I have no problem accepting blame when Republican nominees are likely to win but screw up and lose in an upset. But Brady's election wasn't an example of that, the numbers showing a wide lead held and he was on message, plus conservatives and independents didn't assume they could rest easily, but were energized and motiviated to turn out AGAINST Quinn. Massive Election fraud caused Brady to lose, not a "bad campaign"

Nevada's Senate race, on the other hand, IS an example of a Republican snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. All Republican candidates had a lead over Harry Reid when the election season started. It was Angle's to lose, and she lost it, through a poorly managed general election campaign where she kept shooting herself in the foot and turning off voters. If it had been any other Republican nominee, I think we would have ousted Reid. The tea party made a mistake in backing Angle over two other qualified conservatives. With her current track record, there's no way I want to see her appointed to a Senate seat when voters know she never wins on her own accord.

The question is, who's the best choice to replace Ensign? I think I'd probably prefer a caretaker Senator who won't run in November. After the stench of Mel Martinez in Florida, I think the seat warmer appointment is one thing that helped Rubio win the next time around. Martinez was out of the spotlight, George LeMieux was low key enough to not steal away attention from the GOP, but decent enough to wash away the voter discontent with the previous Republican Senator, and with LeMieux stepping down, it was an wide open field to replace him and that allowed Rubio to gain moment over the odious Charlie Crist. Had Crist tried to appoint a permanant replacement, we'd probably get stuck with another right-of-center go-along-get-along establishment Republican, such as Lincoln Diaz-Balart.

Thoughts?

80 posted on 04/25/2011 1:02:33 AM PDT by BillyBoy (Impeach Obama? Yes We Can!)
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To: BillyBoy

You got that a bit confused. I was referring to Angle running for Heller’s House seat, since it is expected that Gov. Sandoval will name Heller to the Ensign vacancy. Heller was considered the odds-on favorite to succeed Ensign in ‘12, anyway, and this is one instance where giving him a leg-up as the incumbent should help. If I were Shelley Berkley at this point, I’d strongly reconsider changing my mind and refiling for another term in the House, since I can’t see her beating Heller statewide. It’ll be like Gibbons-Titus all over again in the ‘06 Guv race.


81 posted on 04/25/2011 1:16:13 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Amber Lamps !"~~)
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To: BillyBoy

My opinion is that Dean Heller will get the position. Republicans want him to have a leg up for reelection. Also, Heller’s record is acceptable and he’s in fact been more conservative than he’d been expected to be.


82 posted on 04/25/2011 6:53:17 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Muslims are a people of love, peace, and goodwill, and if you say that they aren't, they'll kill you)
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To: BillyBoy

Heller will very probably get the appointment.

If Sandoval chooses to go with a caretaker, who knows. Not a lot of obvious choices. There are a couple former LT Governors, Lonnie Hammargren and Sue Wagner.


83 posted on 04/25/2011 3:42:37 PM PDT by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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To: bIlluminati

There may be primaries in special House elections but are not necessarily called primaries, just called special elections. Most states require D-R competition in special elections.


84 posted on 04/25/2011 4:50:51 PM PDT by Theodore R. (John Boehner just surrendered the only weapon with which he had to fight. What does OH see in him?)
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