“As warmer weather approaches, and people need to do more yard work, and make plans/go on vacations (spring break), more money is spent. As the vacation season begins more people are hired for seasonal employment.”
This hiring didn’t really materialize last summer, and will be even less this summer; the discretionary dollars, and the credit that replaced them for a while, are no longer there. On top of that, necessities are rising in price; this can only hurt luxuries (like vacations, non-emergency yard projects, and such).
And last summer they had the census jobs scam (hiring the same temp workers over and over again, and counting each time as a new hire) to inflate the numbers.