Of the various electoral blocs in the US, only black Americans are monolithic in their support for the Democrats, with of course scant numbers of black Republicans.
Ethnic Mexicans, on the other hand, are anything but monolithic.
To start with, let’s discard the nonsensical, Reagan-era fabrication called “Hispanic”. There is no such thing, because it is too inclusive.
So when I say ethnic Mexicans, I mean just that. They run the political gamut from socialist, but not communist, of which there are very few indeed, to extremely conservative and right wing.
Catholicism predominates, but today is followed closely by Evangelical Christianity and atheism and paganism. And there are many degrees to all of the above.
Ethnic Mexicans in America also have great political diversity, often adapting to the politics of where they live. In blue States, they tend to become liberal. In red States, conservative. They also cover the spectrum of “social” vs. “economic” in their interests, as well.
The bottom line is that, once unrestricted immigration ends, in a generation or two, ethnic Mexican voters will be indistinguishable from white voters in their preferences.
Once mass immigration ends???
What makes you think it will end? Despite there being many in the House on record as supporting a cut back in legal immigration, there is absolutely no talk of pushing for it in the talk about immigration reform. In fact, most of the immigration reforms that are put forth by the leaders of both parties would result in increased legal immigration.
Do any of the potential Republican candidates for 2012 support ending mass immigration? Fred Thompson had the best immigration plan in 2008, but his late-starting campaign was doomed, and unfortunately we got no real contrast with Obama from McCain.
I don’t get what you are saying about Mexicans taking on the politics of the state they are in. Most Hispanics in Texas, a conservative red state, vote Democratic. Other than a few Florida races, and maybe Pataki once in NY, are there examples of Republicans carrying the Hispanic vote in any significant statewide race? Are Mexicans in Texas more conservative and Republican than those in California? Yes, they are, but again, a majority still favor the Democrats.
I do agree with you, and applaud you though for recognizing that, perhaps paradoxically, it would take ending mass immigration for immigrant communities to cease voting Democratic. Initially any successful campaign to cut immigration would result in a huge drop (in already low) Hispanic support for the GOP as a result of demogoguery. But if immigration were held low for decades, then eventually what you say might come to pass.
It should also be noted that the last mass wave of immigration came to an end, obviously. This is an inconvenient fact that proponents of mass immigration never address when making their absurd ‘we’ve been here before’ arguments. In fact, they have the nerve to say history proved the restrictionists wrong, when in fact the opposite is true. The restrictionists won last time, and we got over 40 years of low-moderate immigration. The last thing they were proven to be was wrong.