Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

China's population ageing rapidly
Telegraph ^ | 04/28/11 | Malcolm Moore

Posted on 04/30/2011 4:51:05 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster

China's population ageing rapidly

China is heading for an elderly population crisis with over 60s now accounting for more than 13 per cent of the population and the country's 'one child' policy meaning there are not enough younger people to support them.

By Malcolm Moore, Shanghai

3:25PM BST 28 Apr 2011

The first national census for a decade revealed demographic problems that could derail China's booming economic growth and which are placing a heavy burden on young Chinese.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, there has been a sharp spike in older Chinese, with the percentage of over-60s rising by nearly three percentage points to 13.3 per cent of the total population, or 178 million people. At the same time, there was a sharp drop in the number of young Chinese, with under-14s making up just 16.6 per cent of the population, down from 22.9 per cent at the last count.

Meanwhile, the total population of China has swelled over the decade by 73.9 million – more than the population of the UK – to 1.37 billion people.

China's ageing problem is not yet as acute as Britain's, where 16 per cent are over 65, and 19 per cent under 16, but nor is China's economy as developed.

In the country's one-child families, many children feel increasingly trapped by the responsibility of each caring for an "upside-down pyramid" of two parents and four grandparents.

(Excerpt) Read more at telegraph.co.uk ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: aging; china; economy; onechildpolicy

1 posted on 04/30/2011 4:51:07 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: TigerLikesRooster; Jeff Head; Tainan; hedgetrimmer; Unam Sanctam; taxesareforever; Avenger; ...

P!


2 posted on 04/30/2011 4:56:47 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster (The way to crush the bourgeois is to grind them between the millstones of taxation and inflation)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TigerLikesRooster

Obamacare has the solution to this problem-death panels.


3 posted on 04/30/2011 5:00:45 AM PDT by Farmer Dean (stop worrying about what they want to do to you,start thinking about what you want to do to them)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TigerLikesRooster

Could it be that China’s abortion policy can be the cause of its eventual demise as a world power?


4 posted on 04/30/2011 5:00:50 AM PDT by kenmcg (pROBLEM)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TigerLikesRooster

They need more Mexicans!


5 posted on 04/30/2011 5:07:26 AM PDT by Wage Slave (Army Mom!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: kenmcg
Could it be that China’s abortion policy can be the cause of its eventual demise as a world power?

China would be a world power even if it had a few hundred million less people, don't you think?

6 posted on 04/30/2011 5:08:28 AM PDT by Pearls Before Swine
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: kenmcg

China is committing suicide as a civilization. Abortion with their one child policy will mean China’s dominance in the world won’t last more than a generation


7 posted on 04/30/2011 5:10:07 AM PDT by 4rcane
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: TigerLikesRooster

Mark Steyn called this out in his book “America Alone”. He said soon there will be no more Germans (because of their low reproduction rate) then Fench and Italians and the rest of Western Europe, then Japan, Then China (because of its one-child policy).

The native U.S. is still reproducing itself but the influx of Central Americans is gaining on us.


8 posted on 04/30/2011 5:24:29 AM PDT by RoadTest (Organized religion is no substitute for the relationship the living God wants with you.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: RoadTest

Its an interesting situation. I would not put China n the same category as Japan or Western Europe. You have to remember that China has 1.37B people—imagine if that number doubled or tripled? The implications for that on China and its neighbors would be staggering. Western Europe does have a big demographic problem (as do white people in general).


9 posted on 04/30/2011 5:43:04 AM PDT by rbg81
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: rbg81

The point is, they’re cutting their population in half each generation. The first thing that happens is that there won’t be enough wage earners to support the non-working population.


10 posted on 04/30/2011 5:46:34 AM PDT by RoadTest (Organized religion is no substitute for the relationship the living God wants with you.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: RoadTest
enough wage earners to support the non-working population.

Streets of Beijing and Shanghai would be packed with elderly homeless. Everyday hundreds die and city sanitation department would be busy taking their bodies off streets.

Environmental situation does not look good in China. It seems that China is heading into down phase with extended dry weather and water shortage. Cities suffer from serious overcrowding, too China cannot carry that many people for long.

11 posted on 04/30/2011 6:03:57 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster (The way to crush the bourgeois is to grind them between the millstones of taxation and inflation)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: kenmcg
Using data from the CIA factbook, the US has a birth rate of 13.83 per 1000 while China's is 12.29 per 1000.

US immigration rate is 4.18 per 1000 while China's is minus 0.33 per 1000

So if you calculate these rates with the death rates you end up with a population growth rate with the US being 0.963% per year while China is at 0.493% per year.

Canada achieves about the same population growth rate as the US but she has smaller birth rate and a higher immigration rate.

12 posted on 04/30/2011 6:10:10 AM PDT by Ben Ficklin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; Delacon; ...

Thanks TigerLikesRooster.
In the country's one-child families, many children feel increasingly trapped by the responsibility of each caring for an "upside-down pyramid" of two parents and four grandparents.
That trap of responsibility should be very good for the future birthrate. /s


13 posted on 04/30/2011 6:10:39 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Thanks Cincinna for this link -- http://www.friendsofitamar.org)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: RoadTest

It won’t be as bad for them. Even though they are nominally a communist state, they are not on the hook for the entitlements that we are.


14 posted on 04/30/2011 6:14:09 AM PDT by rbg81
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: TigerLikesRooster

I think that Africa might be Asia’s salvation. Africa has lots of room and can be taken.The black population will be enslaved and eradicated.

The question is will the conquerors be Indian or Chinese.


15 posted on 04/30/2011 6:23:07 AM PDT by bert (K.E. N.P. N.C. D.E. +12 ....( History is a process, not an event ))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: bert
Hmm... half-a-million ton supertankers may find another use after some remodeling in order to accommodate passengers. Maybe Muslims could be chased out of N. Africa.
16 posted on 04/30/2011 6:29:01 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster (The way to crush the bourgeois is to grind them between the millstones of taxation and inflation)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: TigerLikesRooster

I would have thought that they were ageing at the same speed as people in other countries. Maybe the lunar calendar makes a difference.


17 posted on 04/30/2011 7:03:11 AM PDT by Verginius Rufus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Verginius Rufus
the lunar calendar makes a difference

They age at the same speed, but die slowly. The queue is getting longer.

18 posted on 04/30/2011 7:06:37 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster (The way to crush the bourgeois is to grind them between the millstones of taxation and inflation)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: TigerLikesRooster

China’s aging population won’t cause the same burden that the aging population has on the Western world. The Western world feeds its aging population - a Communist nation can just kill them all.


19 posted on 04/30/2011 7:11:01 AM PDT by impimp
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: TigerLikesRooster

Sounds a lot like here now FRiend :p

Bikk


20 posted on 04/30/2011 7:16:31 AM PDT by Bikkuri
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: RoadTest

China could easily solve much of its problem by permitting city dwellers to have two children. Or permit the rural groups who want more kids to have a third if they can pay for it.


21 posted on 04/30/2011 7:58:37 AM PDT by tbw2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Ben Ficklin

I read somewhere that Los Angeles was the fourth largest Canadian city, based on the number of Canadians living there. Canada imports lots of people because many of its young people come to the United States and add to its demographic momentum, the children of those Canadians becoming Americans.


22 posted on 04/30/2011 8:00:28 AM PDT by tbw2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: bert

China has a stronger military, 20-40 million excess men, and a more militant government. And they’re buying up farm land and buying up mineral resources.
The Chinese even move in their own workers for mines and factories, causing Africans angst because development brings jobs but not for them.
It wouldn’t be hard for Chinese owned and worked farms and mines to become colonies.


23 posted on 04/30/2011 8:03:02 AM PDT by tbw2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: tbw2

“Or permit the rural groups who want more kids to have a third if they can pay for it.”

Isn’t one child the limit?


24 posted on 04/30/2011 2:00:14 PM PDT by RoadTest (Organized religion is no substitute for the relationship the living God wants with you.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: SunkenCiv
That trap of responsibility should be very good for the future birthrate. /s

Burden the young with caring for the old just when they need their strength to bring in the next generation. That isn't going to end well.

Over here we do the same thing, loading down talented youth with student debt just when they need to be starting homes, for example.

Eating the young, everywhere you look....

25 posted on 04/30/2011 3:05:44 PM PDT by thulldud (Is it "alter or abolish" time yet?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: RoadTest

One child for city dwellers, regardless of gender. For farmers, if the first child is a girl, they are allowed a second child to try for a son. If the first child is disabled, they are allowed a second child. The rule is basically to give them two tries for a healthy boy to take care of the farm.


26 posted on 04/30/2011 3:25:52 PM PDT by tbw2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: tbw2

Thank you.


27 posted on 05/01/2011 5:35:59 AM PDT by RoadTest (Organized religion is no substitute for the relationship the living God wants with you.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson