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Sarah Palin can still win the GOP nomination
Daily Caller ^ | 05/19/2011 | Matt Lewis

Posted on 05/19/2011 7:15:48 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

Jimmy Carter never said “malaise,” Humphrey Bogart never said, “play it again Sam,” and Sarah Palin never said, “I can see Russia from my front porch.” But most people are convinced they did. As Yogi Berra quipped, “I never said most of the things I said.”

The caricaturing of Palin has led many political observers to cavalierly dismiss her chances of entering the 2012 GOP field — and winning. My question is…why?

At least one pundit sees the opportunity. Appearing on MSNBC’s “Andrea Mitchell” show Monday, Time magazine’s Mark Halperin noted that Mike Huckabee’s decision to skip the 2012 GOP primary, “leaves a big hole for Sarah Palin who can come in and take over that space that Huckabee left.”

A new Gallup poll seems to confirm his analysis. As The Washington Post’s Chris Cillizza writes,

the field remains decidedly muddled with no clear frontrunner. (Gallup doled out the past support for Huckabee/Trump based on the second place preferences of those voters.) Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney takes 20 percent to 18 percent for former Alaska governor Sarah Palin …

Putting this in context, we now know that: 1). Mike Huckabee, a populist social conservative who won Iowa in 2008, isn’t running, and 2). Gallup has Sarah Palin in second place — just two points behind Mitt Romney. It is frankly stunning that — this late in the game — Palin still has a golden opportunity to win the nomination. (We also know, as the polling implies, the weak GOP field lacks a clear front runner to rally behind.)

And yet…conventional wisdom seems to hold that Palin will not run — and even if she does — she can’t win. The assumption is that Palin isn’t serious enough. Once again, I think she is being underestimated.

These assumptions continue to inform the way news stories about Palin are framed. For example, media observers recently began noticing that Palin wasn’t garnering quite as much press attention as before. This was largely portrayed as a sign that her influence may finally be waning — but was that necessarily the right conclusion?

Controversy often generates attention, and while the media were busy covering Donald Trump’s ridiculous antics this spring, Palin was delivering serious speeches in places like Wisconsin – and visiting vitally important nations like Israel and India. This was under-reported.

Also worth noting is that Palin was recently the “star” guest at Tammy Haddad’s garden brunch (for those outside the Beltway, this is the “who’s who” gathering of political insiders and muckety-mucks, held annually to coincide with the White House Correspondents Dinner). Palin’s attendance was reminiscent of another outsider, Ronald Reagan, who railed against DC elites, but attended dinner parties at Washington Post publisher Kay Graham’s house. The old Palin would probably not have attended this “lamestream” media event – the new Palin did.

Of course, it’s too early to know whether any of this foreshadows a presidential run, but consider this: If Palin were serious about running for president, isn’t buttressing her foreign policy credentials by traveling and building bridges with at least some media elites — precisely what she ought to be doing? Keep in mind, going back to Alaska, she has never run a conventional campaign — she always started late and was the underdog. And the good news for Palin is that she has more room for reinvention and growth than most people might realize.

Her supporters raise a good point when they argue she is “the most known, unknown” figure in politics. What they mean is that, despite how ubiquitous she became, she never really had a chance to craft her own image. (During the campaign, Palin was second to Sen. John McCain and, by necessity, had to adopt his campaign’s policies. And by the time the campaign ended, the media had already created the next iteration of the Palin brand.)

Don’t discount the possibility that Palin may indeed be on the verge of launching her second (or is it third?) act. It is entirely plausible to believe that Palin could seize this opportunity, win Iowa and South Carolina, and then make a real run for it. Don’t be surprised if she runs for president, and if she does, she can win.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: gop; nomination; potus; sarahpalin
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1 posted on 05/19/2011 7:15:51 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

There is a ground swell of support just waiting for her nod.


2 posted on 05/19/2011 7:18:44 PM PDT by rovenstinez
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To: SeekAndFind

A Sarah Palin nomination all but guarantees us 4 more years of Obama... she cannot win against him and sadly neither can most of the rest of the ship of fools currently polling for the Repub nomination.

We need a STRONG candidate and we need them now to come out and declare...


3 posted on 05/19/2011 7:19:05 PM PDT by The Magical Mischief Tour (With The Resistance...)
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To: SeekAndFind

I used to think she was damaged goods.

Things are so crazy now that people would vote for the State Puff Marshmallow Man if that was the alternative to Obama.

I believe he scares the hell out of your average American.


4 posted on 05/19/2011 7:19:55 PM PDT by TSgt ("Some folks just need killin'" - Sling Blade (2006))
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To: SeekAndFind

The question in my mind is, “Is she running?” And if so, “When will we know about it?”


5 posted on 05/19/2011 7:20:22 PM PDT by PapaNew
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To: SeekAndFind

The 2012 election is ours to lose. the muslim in the white hut is beatable like never before. Republicans will lose that election if Romney or his ilk is nominated. Sarah Palin is electable, let’s do it.

Herman Cain is electable too.


6 posted on 05/19/2011 7:21:36 PM PDT by Graybeard58 (Eccl 10:19 A feast is made for laughter, and wine maketh merry: but money answereth all things.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I FOLLOW PALIN!

SHE’S THE ONLY ONE LEADING!!

...And... She supports ISRAEL!!!


7 posted on 05/19/2011 7:22:33 PM PDT by Jo Nuvark (Those who bless Israel will be blessed, those who curse Israel will be cursed. Gen 12:3)
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To: rovenstinez

You betcha’


8 posted on 05/19/2011 7:23:38 PM PDT by Crim (Palin / West '12)
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour
We need a STRONG candidate and we need them now to come out and declare...

And who would that be?

9 posted on 05/19/2011 7:25:00 PM PDT by Virginia Ridgerunner (Sarah Palin has crossed the Rubicon!)
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To: Graybeard58

Yes, and he just got elected. Let him stay where he is and run for president in 2016.


10 posted on 05/19/2011 7:25:29 PM PDT by FrdmLvr (Death to tyrants)
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour
What an imbecile. Who ties your shoes?

8^D

11 posted on 05/19/2011 7:29:09 PM PDT by Gargantua (Palin 2012 ~ "Going Oval")
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To: Virginia Ridgerunner

Right now the only one int he field who might have a chance to beat Obama is Pawlenty and that my friend is terribly sad...

We need to find the next Reagan and I hate to be the bearer of bad news but Palin ain’t it...


12 posted on 05/19/2011 7:29:09 PM PDT by The Magical Mischief Tour (With The Resistance...)
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To: Gargantua

The last great republican nomination was Reagan.

Since then its been all down hill…

The only one’s getting all hot and bothered by the prospects of a Sarah Palin run in 2012 are those here on FR.

Every other conservative and republican I know or meet face to face (myself included) has basically held our noses and voted for the guy with the R by his name for the past few elections.

Now were looking at running the part-time governor who quit to go run on the losing ticket in 2008…

Yeah, really gets us all excited I tell ya…

She cannot win and the sooner everyone here figures that out the better off our chances will be at beating Obama in 2012.

If you want another 4 years of Obama just make sure Palin gets the nomination…

We need to find a STRONG candidate and get them to declare and then support them, if we don’t its 4 more of Obama… don’t believe me, just keep supporting Palin and U guarantee the mood on FR in about 500 or so days will be that of doom and more doom as Obama celebrates his reelection victory.


13 posted on 05/19/2011 7:30:15 PM PDT by The Magical Mischief Tour (With The Resistance...)
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To: SeekAndFind
She needs to start speaking like a serious person.Literally.

Her folksy shorthand and shrill tone need to vanish. She also needs to move one step to the left by stressing her unpolariziong tenure in Alaska- to make herself look electable.

Reagan also had to assure people he was a rational conservative. When he did in the debates people couldn't wait to dump Carter. my two cents

14 posted on 05/19/2011 7:30:34 PM PDT by Finalapproach29er (God humbles and (if need be) destroys the false idols of the peoples. Be patient, folks...)
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour
What an imbecile. Who ties your shoes?

A three-legged, gay, red-headed, explosively flatulent 9th grader could beat O'Bungwad.

Seriously, who helps you dress each day? There is no way you do it all by yourself.

8^D

15 posted on 05/19/2011 7:31:49 PM PDT by Gargantua (Palin 2012 ~ "Going Oval")
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To: SeekAndFind

I will take Michele Bachmann. Made my mind up. She is the only one who has it right on illegal immigration.

She is great on all the main issues confronting us. She is a fighter and unafraid to take on the left right to their face.


16 posted on 05/19/2011 7:33:16 PM PDT by dforest
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour; Virginia Ridgerunner
To: ilovesarah2012

No doubt she will. Obama just handed the election to Sarah.

I can see 2012 from Sarah’s house!!

104 posted on 05/19/2011 11:05:19 AM PDT by Jim Robinson (Rebellion is brewing!! Impeach the corrupt Marxist bastard!!)

17 posted on 05/19/2011 7:33:50 PM PDT by onyx (If you truly support Sarah Palin and want to be on her busy ping list, let me know!)
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To: Finalapproach29er
"She needs to start speaking like a serious person."

Are you talking to a mirror?

When and how did you discover that you could fart with your brain?.

LMAO!!!

8^D

18 posted on 05/19/2011 7:34:46 PM PDT by Gargantua (Palin 2012 ~ "Going Oval")
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To: SeekAndFind
Jimmy Carter never said “malaise,” ...

Really? I could swear I heard him say just that, grinning in a sweater by the fire.

19 posted on 05/19/2011 7:37:01 PM PDT by Martin Tell (ask for the ancient paths, ask where the good way is, and walk in it)
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To: SeekAndFind
“A nightstick the size of a telephone pole and the muscle to wield it effortlessly.”
FIGHT LIKE A GIRL! GAME ON!

20 posted on 05/19/2011 7:37:54 PM PDT by onyx (If you truly support Sarah Palin and want to be on her busy ping list, let me know!)
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour
Photobucket
21 posted on 05/19/2011 7:40:41 PM PDT by Ira_Louvin (Go tell them people lost in sin, Theres a higher power ,They need not fear the works of men.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Palin will win the nomination if she runs.


22 posted on 05/19/2011 7:41:32 PM PDT by Once-Ler (ProLife ProGun ProGod ProSoldier ProBusiness Republican for Palin)
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To: rovenstinez

Really, then how come with 98% name id she is only polling 20%??????


23 posted on 05/19/2011 7:42:23 PM PDT by org.whodat
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To: Gargantua
You do Palin a disservice by insulting Republicans/conservatives that might be persuaded to vote for her. Personal attacks are not a good debate tactic...You make readers feel bad for The Magical Mischief Tour and did nothing to elivate Palin.
24 posted on 05/19/2011 7:42:52 PM PDT by Once-Ler (ProLife ProGun ProGod ProSoldier ProBusiness Republican for Palin)
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To: org.whodat

McCain polled so bad in Dec of 07 that the media pronounced his campaign dead. Polls now mean nothing in 2012.


25 posted on 05/19/2011 7:44:49 PM PDT by Once-Ler (ProLife ProGun ProGod ProSoldier ProBusiness Republican for Palin)
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour

Sadly, you are right.
Come back to us, Mike Pence.


26 posted on 05/19/2011 7:46:35 PM PDT by patriot08 (TEXAS GAL- born and bred and proud of it!)
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To: Once-Ler

ROFLOL, sure, sure


27 posted on 05/19/2011 7:46:41 PM PDT by org.whodat
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour

Oh c’mon. Obama is extremely beatable by any candidate. Our challenge is to wisely choose who we want leading this country once Obama and the Dems are trounced in the election.

This is the tea party patriots time. I predict an overwhelming victory in 2012, provided we marginalize the GOP establishment.


28 posted on 05/19/2011 7:50:31 PM PDT by upsdriver (to undo the damage the "intellectual elites" have done. . . . . Sarah Palin for President!)
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To: SeekAndFind

“Sarah Palin can still win the GOP nomination”

Well of course she can. Of course, much like the lottery, if you don’t play you can’t win. I want her in, and sooner rather than later.


29 posted on 05/19/2011 7:58:01 PM PDT by Grunthor (RIDE THE CAIN TRAIN!)
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour
Put it this way....with the current Republican contenders, Palin is the most likely to beat Obama.

I'm certain the Obama Media already has versions of different stories to use against her (opposition research), but I also believe she has had time to plan a response to any attacks.

I'm warm to Michele Bachmann but truly think she would have great difficulty running against historical obstacles and a Republican Establishment which will not strongly support her. I don't know a heck of a lot about Herman Cain in a political sense. I do know that he too would be running against historical obstacles (a non-office holder winning the Presidency) and the Republican Establishment.

It appears that Gov. Palin is by far the strongest Conservative left (at present). Her advantages over others is she does have name recognition, she has had (political and business) executive experience and she is a tireless campaigner. She is also the only one who has had success running against the establishment. As was touched upon in the article, most of the Country really has never seen her in her own campaign.

Been my observation that some say Palin can't win because the Media hates her. Yet, we've ran candidates before the media kind of liked or promoted...Bob Dole, Bush 41 and John McCain to name a few. We didn't end up with the desired result.

As to those who say she can't win because she's stupid, or she's a mom, or she lacks experience, I would say why not watch her in the primary process (if she indeed runs) before making up your mind.

Even though I said I don't believe Cain or Bachmann can win, I'm willing to be persuaded.

30 posted on 05/19/2011 7:58:46 PM PDT by Rational Thought
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To: indylindy

Backing Bachmann for her position on illegal immigration is pretty legitimate IMO.


31 posted on 05/19/2011 7:59:16 PM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: indylindy

Michele has been my rep. and sen. state and federal for 10 yrs. and has done nothing but beg for money and vote. I need more then that.


32 posted on 05/19/2011 8:01:09 PM PDT by Brimack34
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour

Yea, 9.0 unemployment, $14 trillion debt and growing, medicare/medicade broke, social security broke, middle east on the verge of being on fire, gas prices at $4.00 a gallon, inflation increasing and 1/3 of the country don’t believe Obama is even legitimate to be president and you think that the only person who can beat Obama is Tim Pawlenty?? Ron Paul can beat this guy.. Get off the drugs.


33 posted on 05/19/2011 8:02:52 PM PDT by scbison
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To: Once-Ler; Gargantua

One of the (many) things that turned some folks off of Ron Paul (You know, besides the crazy) were the behavior/manners of his followers both on FR and other places. If you (Palin or bust folks) devolve into that you are doing her no favors.


34 posted on 05/19/2011 8:03:45 PM PDT by Grunthor (RIDE THE CAIN TRAIN!)
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To: Brimack34

They all do that. All the polticians beg for money, especially conservatives because they don’t get cheat money and slush fund cash like dems.

A voting record is probably the best way to know what a person will do or not do.

I need more than talk. Words are not actions.


35 posted on 05/19/2011 8:12:30 PM PDT by dforest
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To: 9YearLurker

I was sitting around the other day thinking about who is right on the immigration issue. I remember fighting that bill a few years ago when Bush was pushing it.

I am tired of the mealy mouths “pathway to citizenship”. These hoards of illegals are breaking our bank and ruining our country.

Michele is also right on all the other issues.

So....


36 posted on 05/19/2011 8:16:31 PM PDT by dforest
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To: Gargantua

Your argument style is a bit 7th grade-ish... I guess that’s why your so enthralled with Sarah, she’s not too bright so she tends to attract those who themselves aren’t too bright.


37 posted on 05/19/2011 8:24:42 PM PDT by The Magical Mischief Tour (With The Resistance...)
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To: indylindy
I am tired of the mealy mouths “pathway to citizenship”.

There is a pathway to citizenship. That would be SOUTH.

Right back to where they are a citizen.

.

38 posted on 05/19/2011 8:29:33 PM PDT by TLI ( ITINERIS IMPENDEO VALHALLA)
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To: SeekAndFind

The whole world seems to want to make up Sarah’s mind for her on lots and lots of things. Including some good folks here on FR.

In the end, Sarah will make up her own mind. Wouldn’t that be refreshing in a president?


39 posted on 05/19/2011 8:32:03 PM PDT by RobinOfKingston (An election is not a (national) suicide pact.)
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To: TLI

Why “yes they can” go home and stay there.


40 posted on 05/19/2011 8:32:58 PM PDT by dforest
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour
I think much of Obama's support has softened in the past two years. He won because of many Independents who voted for 'Hope and Change', but didn't pay attention to the words Obama was saying. They've had two years to learn the hard way with the loss of jobs, collapse of the housing market even beyond what happened before TARP, and his seeming disinterest in dealing forthrightly with the energy problems. The fact that folks have been paying over $3 a gallon for gasoline for almost a year, and don't see a solution on the horizon will turn others against him.

I think he'll be a much weaker candidate by the time Nov. 2012 rolls around. Sure he'll have the full throated support of the MSM, but I don't think it will have the same effect it had during the last election. Obama will have to run on his record this time, rather than some amorphous set of notions.

41 posted on 05/19/2011 8:51:37 PM PDT by SuziQ
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour
Yep FR is Campaign Central for Sarah Palin. FR Posters need to tone down the attitude between the different camps least we start looking like DU.

Rightly or Wrongly to the people I talk with she is Either the Last hope for the Republic or No way in He11 she can Beat BHO. That bothers me that the non FR has already formed and opinion of her. The Republic as a whole is lazy and will believe everything the see on the TV.

I will say that If and When she announces if she don't rapidly move to the top of the list Its over. MSM has made it their Mission to destroy her.

My Ideal choice today is Cain/Palin but that can change especially since neither is technically in it.

42 posted on 05/19/2011 8:53:07 PM PDT by Bailee
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour
A Sarah Palin nomination all but guarantees us 4 more years of Obama... she cannot win against him

Oh, ye of little faith.

Please try to keep your awe and wonderment in check, and your jaw off the floor, when the groundswell of support for Sarah erupts like a super volcano after her announcement.

It's coming, and it will be something for the ages.

43 posted on 05/19/2011 9:01:08 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: PapaNew
The question in my mind is, “Is she running?” And if so, “When will we know about it?”

The clock on the frivolous ethics lawsuits out of Alaska runs out on July 26th. The last thing she needs right now, is for a swarm of leftists to start filing new ones because she's announced.

44 posted on 05/19/2011 9:03:27 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour
We need to find the next Reagan and I hate to be the bearer of bad news but Palin ain’t it...

Millions upon millions of Americans would beg to disagree with you on that. I do.

45 posted on 05/19/2011 9:05:18 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: indylindy
I will take Michele Bachmann. Made my mind up.

Well, good for you. I guess we won't be seeing you anymore on EVERY Palin thread from now on?

Or, are you going to keep posting your anti-Palin bromides, right up until her inauguration?

LOL

46 posted on 05/19/2011 9:08:22 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour
who quit to go run on the losing ticket in 2008…

Animated Gifs

47 posted on 05/19/2011 9:11:33 PM PDT by death2tyrants
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To: onyx
"Obama just handed the election to Sarah. I can see 2012 from Sarah’s house!!" - Jim Robinson

BOOYAH!

48 posted on 05/19/2011 9:11:41 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour
she’s not too bright so she tends to attract those who themselves aren’t too bright.

Animated Gifs

49 posted on 05/19/2011 9:13:19 PM PDT by death2tyrants
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To: Once-Ler
Palin will win the nomination if she runs.

Just as sure as water seeks its own level, or the sun rises in the east.

You speak a truth that sets a fear and trembling in the bones of every liberal.

The other axiomatic truth, is that if Sarah runs, she also wins the White House. THAT truth sends liberals, statists, RINOs, Democrats, Marxists, the MSM, Obot zombies, and the ruling class into abject paroxysms of sheer terror.

And that brings me more pleasure than you can possibly imagine.

50 posted on 05/19/2011 9:21:05 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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