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A World Food Shortage Is Looming, Buy Ag Stocks
Seeking Alpha ^ | May 31, 2011 | David White

Posted on 05/31/2011 3:30:02 PM PDT by WILLIALAL

The world grain inventories were already depleted from truly terrible weather in 2010. Now we are seeing even worse weather so far this year. China is experiencing its worst drought in 50 years. The government says this weather is decimating a major grain belt, and it is leaving livestock without water. Fish farms have been ruined. Who knows the long term effects? More than 4.3M people are having trouble finding drinking water. Actually this last is a much bigger problem throughout China, which has a long term drinking water problem. The Chinese have released extra water from the Three Gorges Dam to partially alleviate the drought downstream of the dam in the Yangtze drainage basin. If there is no rain by June 10, the Chinese will lose the ability to do even this. Not to be outdone, Europe is in the midst of its worst drought in 44 years.

(Excerpt) Read more at seekingalpha.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: burningfood; drought; ethanol; flooding; foodshortage; foodsupply; populationcontrol; preparedness; weather
Another element to figure into the economic conditions we face. More inflationary pressures on our food supply.
1 posted on 05/31/2011 3:30:06 PM PDT by WILLIALAL
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To: WILLIALAL

I’ve invested all of my money in this company, to let you in on a little secret, they’ve got this product that is going to take off, it’s called, “Soylent Green.”


2 posted on 05/31/2011 3:31:33 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: WILLIALAL

Ag stocks must be eatable.


3 posted on 05/31/2011 3:36:41 PM PDT by hflynn
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To: WILLIALAL

Not to mention the loss of farms, farm land, and livestock in the south. Remember all the land that was flooded to save Baton Rouge and New Orleans.


4 posted on 05/31/2011 3:37:01 PM PDT by oneamericanvoice (Support freedom! Support the troops! Surrender is not an option!)
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To: WILLIALAL

Food shortage? But we have restaurants EVERYWHERE and grocery stores EVERYWHERE. lol. /sarc. I love that almost as much as “I always have money. I have checks.”


5 posted on 05/31/2011 3:37:40 PM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: WILLIALAL

China is in big trouble. The two most basic commodities are food and water. If you don’t have enough of either, people die. No consumers, no workers, no military, no economy. Just lots of thirsty, hungry people who are rioting because they have nothing left to lose.


6 posted on 05/31/2011 3:39:32 PM PDT by Former Proud Canadian (Slugs and Bitter Clingers Unite.)
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To: dfwgator

Yeah, but there’s some that does’t taste so good...or so I’ve heard. Some is stringy, some tasts like tofu, others like arugula. No protein. Yuk!

Donner...party of ...darn! It keeps changing too fast.


7 posted on 05/31/2011 3:40:14 PM PDT by oneamericanvoice (Support freedom! Support the troops! Surrender is not an option!)
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To: WILLIALAL

Starvation in China = revolution.

That’s bad news in Beijing at the Politburo but good news for everyone else from Seoul to Manila.


8 posted on 05/31/2011 3:40:33 PM PDT by MeganC (NO WAR FOR OIL! ........except when a Democrat's in charge.)
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To: dfwgator

You hate to think about profiting from things like this, but I suppose the opportunity is there.


9 posted on 05/31/2011 3:41:32 PM PDT by WILLIALAL
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To: WILLIALAL

But the U.S farmers are busy planting CORN for Ethanol.


10 posted on 05/31/2011 3:43:21 PM PDT by Marty62 (Marty60)
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To: MeganC

“Starvation in China = revolution.”
Food and water, it doesn’t get any more basic than that.


11 posted on 05/31/2011 3:45:13 PM PDT by WILLIALAL
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To: Marty62

Yes, and there will be big surpluses of corn again, for about the 50th year in a row.


12 posted on 05/31/2011 3:46:05 PM PDT by Balding_Eagle
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To: napscoordinator

The return of McMystery Meat. lol
13 posted on 05/31/2011 3:46:44 PM PDT by TomGuy
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To: Marty62

“But the U.S farmers are busy planting CORN for Ethanol.”

Just how much corn has been planted this year, with all the wet weather? Any reports out there?


14 posted on 05/31/2011 3:47:15 PM PDT by WILLIALAL
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To: MeganC

The ChiComs government knows they need to lose 400,000,000 to 500,000,000 people in the next 10 to 15 years for the country to become a healthy again. If they can get that number from weather realted problems the ChiCom government will survive. If not, there will be civil strife!


15 posted on 05/31/2011 3:47:21 PM PDT by WellyP
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To: WILLIALAL
Hungry?

Eat a gallon of gasoline.

16 posted on 05/31/2011 3:47:31 PM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: hflynn

LOL I was thinking the same thing. Stocks won’t mean squat if you’re starving.

I on the other hand will have seed stock up the ying yang. I went nuts with the pole beans, peas, parsnips......


17 posted on 05/31/2011 3:48:12 PM PDT by cripplecreek (Remember the River Raisin! (look it up))
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To: WILLIALAL

Can you explain North Korea to me?


18 posted on 05/31/2011 3:49:28 PM PDT by US_MilitaryRules (Where is our military?)
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To: Marty62

“But the U.S farmers are busy planting CORN for Ethanol.”

Not this year. At least not in Iowa where they only have 11% of their crops planted due to heavy rains & flooding. Normally by this time of year they are 90% planted.

The smart farmers that sat on their corn last year will clean up in 2011.


19 posted on 05/31/2011 3:51:46 PM PDT by panaxanax (0bama >>WORST PRESIDENT EVER.)
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To: WILLIALAL
I'm from central Mo. and the farmers are having a hell of a time trying to get their corn crop planted because of all the wet weather.
20 posted on 05/31/2011 3:52:14 PM PDT by painter (No wonder democrats don't mind taxes.THEY DON'T PAY THEM !)
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To: dfwgator

“Soylent Green.”

Is it good with a nice Cianti and fava beans?


21 posted on 05/31/2011 3:54:04 PM PDT by Ruy Dias de Bivar (Click my name. See my home page, if you dare!)
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To: cripplecreek
Stocks won’t mean squat if you’re starving.

Put a barrel on the end of that stock and get your own food.

22 posted on 05/31/2011 3:56:45 PM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: WILLIALAL

Droughts in China, Russia,and you know however bad it is elsewhere it will be ten times worse in Africa. Get ready for the starving, pot-bellied, fly-encrusted children.


23 posted on 05/31/2011 3:58:25 PM PDT by arrogantsob
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To: Ruy Dias de Bivar
“Soylent Green.” Is it good with a nice Cianti and fava beans?

Are you trying to imply something?

24 posted on 05/31/2011 3:59:02 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: WILLIALAL

US farm report (Pro ethanol)

Lots of water out there. Farmers here in Michigan are looking at insurance to carry them.

http://www.agweb.com/usfr/


25 posted on 05/31/2011 3:59:33 PM PDT by cripplecreek (Remember the River Raisin! (look it up))
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To: painter

Same in Michigan.


26 posted on 05/31/2011 4:03:33 PM PDT by Josephat
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which ‘ag’ stocks particularly? Kind of vague.


27 posted on 05/31/2011 4:03:44 PM PDT by WaterBoard
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To: WILLIALAL

If there is a food shortage you’d think that would be bad for ag stocks.


28 posted on 05/31/2011 4:05:26 PM PDT by Brilliant
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To: painter

“I’m from central Mo. and the farmers are having a hell of a time trying to get their corn crop planted because of all the wet weather.”

I’m from central Mo also, near Bland/Belle, live in St Charles now and around here not much planting of corn has gone on.


29 posted on 05/31/2011 4:07:53 PM PDT by WILLIALAL
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To: WaterBoard

“which ‘ag’ stocks particularly? Kind of vague.”

I think they are looking at ETF’s.


30 posted on 05/31/2011 4:11:30 PM PDT by WILLIALAL
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To: US_MilitaryRules

“Can you explain North Korea to me?”

Its a totally sealed off society, and if you keep the troops fed you maintain order.


31 posted on 05/31/2011 4:13:09 PM PDT by WILLIALAL
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To: WILLIALAL
I've been buying today. Not fun. Spice prices are through the roof. Highest I have seen in the 23 years I've been doing this.

Wholesale fresh commodity Garlic was $.08/lb a year ago. It is now $1.03/# and higher. Black Pepper is going through the roof and is 'soft' at prices double what they were a year ago.

Ouch.

TS

32 posted on 05/31/2011 4:20:02 PM PDT by The Shrew (www.wintersoldier.com; www.tstrs.com; The Truth Shall Set You Free!)
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To: WILLIALAL

Here’s a better idea. Get out of debt, invest in your own ability to produce and store food.


33 posted on 05/31/2011 4:22:08 PM PDT by ViLaLuz (2 Chronicles 7:14)
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To: Ruy Dias de Bivar

What did Jeffrey Dahmer say to Lorena Bobbitt?

“Ya gonna eat that?”


34 posted on 05/31/2011 4:24:18 PM PDT by darth
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To: napscoordinator

Kinda like hunters shouldn’t kill animals but need to go to the grocery to get meat because that’s what everyone else does and it’s not cruel. Or, electric cars are green because you just plug them in! Same crowd of nitwits.


35 posted on 05/31/2011 4:27:31 PM PDT by greatplains
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To: ViLaLuz

“Here’s a better idea. Get out of debt, invest in your own ability to produce and store food.”

Always good advice.


36 posted on 05/31/2011 4:27:55 PM PDT by WILLIALAL
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To: The Shrew

“I’ve been buying today. Not fun. Spice prices are through the roof. Highest I have seen in the 23 years I’ve been doing this. “

If this pans out, think what the price is going to be next year for beef, pork and chicken. Some one told me the other day to stock my freezer with beef now because next year it will be through the roof.


37 posted on 05/31/2011 4:31:41 PM PDT by WILLIALAL
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To: WellyP

Cannon fodder for the coming world war.


38 posted on 05/31/2011 4:32:22 PM PDT by Kartographer (".. we mutually pledge to each other our lives, our fortunes, and our sacred honor.")
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To: Balding_Eagle

Just looking at the USDA site and their forecast for the 2010/2011 year was just 730 million bushels surplus and the 2011/12 year just 900 MB. These surpluses are less than half of the lowest supluses in earlier years and 11/12 is definitely just a forecast.


39 posted on 05/31/2011 4:36:39 PM PDT by tiki
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To: WILLIALAL
IMHO, Spice commodity pricing going through the roof has as its basis other factors:

1. The terrible weather conditions in China - specific to Garlic and vegetables.

2. California's over-regulation of their former Ag-business' virtually forcing them out of the state - specific to Garlic and Vegetables.

3. Increased affluence in China and India which have relatively recently made the transition from Survival cuisine to finer foods thus driving spice consumption.

In other words - don't stock the freezer with beef because black pepper doubled in price - but pay attention because ALL AG prices are going to go up.

Regards,

TS

40 posted on 05/31/2011 4:39:21 PM PDT by The Shrew (www.wintersoldier.com; www.tstrs.com; The Truth Shall Set You Free!)
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To: arrogantsob
"Droughts in China, Russia,and you know however bad it is elsewhere it will be ten times worse in Africa. Get ready for the starving, pot-bellied, fly-encrusted children."

The world will blame America as usual. Don't be surprised.

41 posted on 05/31/2011 4:41:19 PM PDT by StormEye
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To: WILLIALAL

Have a look at USCI instead of DBA. It addresses backwardation, which can have a negative effect on profits.


42 posted on 05/31/2011 4:45:55 PM PDT by Zman (Liberals: denying reality since Day One.)
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To: WaterBoard

For me “Ag stocks” could be interpreted as silver (Ag in the periodic table of elements), in which case I would recommend Eric Sprott’s PSLV fund - stay away from the ETF SLV, however - it is just silver paper (tongue in cheek - don’t get mad at me!)


43 posted on 05/31/2011 4:54:13 PM PDT by bkopto (Obama is merely a symptom of a more profound, systemic disease in American body politic.)
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To: Marty62

But the U.S farmers are busy planting CORN for Ethanol.

Either way you can eat it or drink it.


44 posted on 05/31/2011 5:33:54 PM PDT by chainsaw (I'd hate to be a democrat running against Sarah Palin.)
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To: WILLIALAL

Just how much corn has been planted this year, with all the wet weather? Any reports out there?

Here in Illinois they are planting 24/7 when the weather allows. They can plant a lot of corn. in a day, with a 32 row planter and GPS controls.

It’s really something to climb up into the cab and ride a couple of rounds. Once the field is defined, it’s hands off until the entire field is planted.


45 posted on 05/31/2011 5:44:22 PM PDT by chainsaw (I'd hate to be a democrat running against Sarah Palin.)
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To: darth

Good one. ROTFLMAO


46 posted on 05/31/2011 5:50:17 PM PDT by chainsaw (I'd hate to be a democrat running against Sarah Palin.)
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To: chainsaw

Yes no need for a still.


47 posted on 05/31/2011 6:49:36 PM PDT by Marty62 (Marty60)
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To: The Shrew

Well...with what YOU said, then I’m looking brilliant, because I’ve been stocking up on food since November 2008...figuring this is what would happen with a commie/socialist at the helm.


48 posted on 05/31/2011 7:50:42 PM PDT by goodnesswins (...both islam and the democrat plantation thrive on poverty)
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Hydrogen Advocacy Group Anti-Ethanol Agitprop One-half gallon of oil in the form of pesticides per bushel of corn would cost $2 to $3 per bushel. If this were true -- and it clearly isn't -- it should be enough to illustrate to literally anyone that the price of petroleum is quite literally the ONLY thing driving corn prices. And this idiotic piece of agitprop -- from a hydrogen "energy" advocacy site -- also shows the guy in the encounter suit spraying chemical fertilizer, a sight that I've never been privileged to see, what with me *growing up on a farm*.

49 posted on 06/04/2011 5:00:55 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Thanks Cincinna for this link -- http://www.friendsofitamar.org)
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