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Romney's Favorables Nose-dived in 2007/08. How electable is he?
pollinsider.com ^ | 6-9-2011 | Poll Insider

Posted on 06/08/2011 7:53:35 AM PDT by WatchYourself

The line being pushed by the Mainstream Media, who seem all to giddy to point out the closeness of Romney in the polls to Obama, and establishment Republicans alike is that Mitt Romney is moderate enough to win. Just look at the poll numbers! In May, Romney was +10 in favorable ratings in AP/GFK (45-35), and in other polls +4 Reuters (36-32), +8 in NBC (28-20). Nothing mindboggling, but decent nonetheless, and, therefor, he has a shot! And he always is close to Obama in the polls.

But the reality with Romney is this: He has not been in the news; he did not put himself on the line in 2010 election cycle and was pretty much ignored; he hasn’t been campaigning or laying out positions to large groups of people. Right now, Romney is riding on name recognition leftover from 2008. People have forgotten whatever it is they knew about him. So the questions is, as people got to know Romney before, what did they think of him? We look back to the last election cycle to find out.

In Gallup Polling, the last time that 40% of the population had never heard of Mitt Romney was in may of 2007, a few months after Romney launched his Presidential campaign. At that time, he was at a decent 27% Favorable to 19% Unfavorable, for +8 overall. In other words, similar to where he stands now, just more people know of him. From there, we see an interesting trend. Over the next few months, his favorable began to dip steadily, and rose above 27% just once in the next 7 surveys. By the time his “Never Heard Of” number was cut in half, to 23% in September, Romney’s favorables had not changed and stood at 27%, while his Unfavorables nearly doubled to 35%, or -8 overall. By the time the Iowa Caucuses were starting, he was now at -10, moving to just 32% Favorable to 42% Unfavorable. One month later, as he was set to leave the GOP nomination race, Romney hit a low point of -12 and 34% Favorable with 46% Unfavorable.

So, in the 2007/08 election cycle, from the time Romney was semi-known to the time he became well-known, Romney jumped from just 27% in favorable to 34% by the time it was all said and done, or a gain of 7 overall. But his unfavorable rating jumped from 19% to 42%, more than doubling what it had been. The reality is, the more that Romney campaigned and debated in 07/08 the more that people did not like him. His unfavorables rose at a rate more than 3 times what his favorables did.

But now? The last Gallup survey had Romney back at +8 (36-28), or exactly where he was 3 years ago.

The irony is, earlier this week Romney said he was glad that Sarah Palin was in the news and he wasn’t, because all the scrutiny was going towards her. Perhaps Romney was thinking about what happened in 2007/2008 also.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012; abortionists4romney; backstabberromney; gungrabber; palin; president; queers4romney; rhymeswithmitt; romney; smellslikemitt; stenchofromney; zots4romneybots
Bye Bye Romulans!
1 posted on 06/08/2011 7:53:43 AM PDT by WatchYourself
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To: WatchYourself

Totally unelectable.


2 posted on 06/08/2011 7:55:22 AM PDT by Vendome ("Don't take life so seriously... You'll never live through it anyway")
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To: WatchYourself

“How electable is he?”

I hope not at all...


3 posted on 06/08/2011 7:56:01 AM PDT by choctaw man (Good ole Andrew Jackson, or You're the Reason God Made Oklahoma...)
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To: WatchYourself
ROMNEY BBALL
4 posted on 06/08/2011 7:57:04 AM PDT by FrankR (A people that values its privileges above its principles will soon lose both.)
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To: WatchYourself

He’s not electable. And there is a good reason for it.

Conservatives will no longer vote for RINOs.

Glowbull warming & RomneyCare for starters.


5 posted on 06/08/2011 7:57:55 AM PDT by ChildOfThe60s ( If you can remember the 60s....you weren't really there)
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To: WatchYourself

I’ll be brief. No.


6 posted on 06/08/2011 7:58:22 AM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set...)
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To: WatchYourself
I don't like Romney,BUT I'd vote for the devil himself before I'd let Baraq Hussein 0bama/"Barry" Soetoro/ ??? Dunham (the devil's spawn) spend one minute in the White House after noon, January 20, 2013!
7 posted on 06/08/2011 7:58:42 AM PDT by The Sons of Liberty (Psalm 109:8 Let his days be few and let another take his office. - Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin)
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To: Vendome

BINGO!


8 posted on 06/08/2011 7:59:38 AM PDT by A. Morgan
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To: The Sons of Liberty
I don't like Romney,BUT I'd vote for the devil himself before I'd let Baraq Hussein 0bama/"Barry" Soetoro/ ??? Dunham (the devil's spawn) spend one minute in the White House after noon, January 20, 2013!

Not me!

IF the best the GOP can do is Romney, only slightly better then Obama, then I'll be voting third-party.

Romney would destroy the GOP as POTUS, much as he destroy the party in Massachusetts as Governor.
9 posted on 06/08/2011 8:01:25 AM PDT by SoConPubbie
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To: WatchYourself

It is abundantly obvious that Romney is the MSM choice to ensure that we lose the election to Zero.

Abundantly.

Seen it before and we can’t let it happen again.

Reading articles saying ‘Romney looks so presidential’ is a dead giveaway.


10 posted on 06/08/2011 8:08:57 AM PDT by SusaninOhio
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To: SoConPubbie
That's your right, but ask yourself:

1. Has any third party EVER won and does one even stand a chance now;

2. Who really benefits from a third party

A vote for a third party candidate is a vote for Hussein 0bama and four more years (if the Country lasts that long) of his socialism.

As I said, I don't like Romney, but compared to the devil's spawn Hussein 0bama, he looks pretty good.

11 posted on 06/08/2011 8:13:16 AM PDT by The Sons of Liberty (Psalm 109:8 Let his days be few and let another take his office. - Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin)
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To: The Sons of Liberty

As I said, I don’t like Romney, but compared to the devil’s spawn Hussein 0bama, he looks pretty good.

That is the line has been trotted out since 1988 and what have we got from the liberals of the republican party for our support?

NOTHING.


12 posted on 06/08/2011 8:17:22 AM PDT by sarge83
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To: WatchYourself

Romney’s a Global Warming guy. ‘nuff said.


13 posted on 06/08/2011 8:19:04 AM PDT by bboop (Stealth Tutor)
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To: WatchYourself

He’s not. While the msm was laughing at COD’s defeat last year, they forgot to mention that Myth’s surrogate/protoge Nutmeg Whitman got beat by the same margain as COD. Myth is alienated from the conservative base and offers no real choice to independents. He’d get stomped.


14 posted on 06/08/2011 8:19:27 AM PDT by Lou Budvis (Refudiate 0bama '12)
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To: The Sons of Liberty
I don't like Romney, but compared to the devil's spawn Hussein 0bama, he looks pretty good.

Yeah, like a pile of cow dung next to a pile of donkey dung.

15 posted on 06/08/2011 8:19:58 AM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: EGPWS

Very good analogy.


16 posted on 06/08/2011 8:21:27 AM PDT by The Sons of Liberty (Psalm 109:8 Let his days be few and let another take his office. - Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin)
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To: sarge83
Romney is enelectable but he is the one annointed by the inside the beltway Republican establishment types and that is all that matters to them. He will lose with or without your vote or mine.

The fact is, I find it hard to see a scenerio that puts a Republican in the White House. If a true conservative wins the nomination the moderate/liberal wing of the party will sit out and if Romney or another RINO wins many conservatives will sit out or vote third party.

17 posted on 06/08/2011 8:27:15 AM PDT by Russ (Repeal the 17th amendment)
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To: WatchYourself

In a nutshell, Palin is an enormous wild card.


18 posted on 06/08/2011 8:28:24 AM PDT by frposty (I'm a simpleton)
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To: SoConPubbie

How about Ross Perot? We all know how that worked out. As for me, I don’t care for Romney, but I’d vote for Charles Manson over Barry.


19 posted on 06/08/2011 8:36:25 AM PDT by NotTallTex
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To: WatchYourself

The left picked our candidate in 2008...let us not allow them to pick our candidate again....two they’d love...Romney, Christie...both are RINO’S like McRino...


20 posted on 06/08/2011 8:38:18 AM PDT by shield (Rev2:9 "Woe unto those who say they are Judah and are not, but are of the synaGOGue of Satan.")
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To: The Sons of Liberty

A growing number of Republicans, as they learn more about Mitt Romney, are learning that for the first time in their lives, he is a GOP candidate that they cannot vote for, even in the general.


21 posted on 06/08/2011 8:40:07 AM PDT by ansel12 ( Palin is a one woman "third party".)
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To: The Sons of Liberty
1. Has any third party EVER won and does one even stand a chance now;

2. Who really benefits from a third party


Third parties arise as split-offs when the two main parties fail to listen to their base by nominating a candidate unacceptable to the majority of their voters.

As such, it is a thundering message of party failure. To keep it from happening, the parties must work out the differences between their underlying constituencies and nominate someone who best represents what the party stands for.

If it were not a real possibility, each party would end up not caring about their base, since voters [like you] would vote for them no matter who they elected. Because of this, the answer to your second question is that all conservatives benefit by holding the Republican Party's feet to the fire with a credible threat of a third party.

ONLY by a severe third party challenge, or at least the viable threat of such, does the Republican Party get the message... They never see the light. They only feel the heat. No heat, no change.

No More RINOs - Including RINOmney!

22 posted on 06/08/2011 8:48:19 AM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion
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To: WatchYourself

A couple of the candidates rumored to be running under the Republican banner are polling within 10 points of Obama, but only Romney comes out ahead. Some candidates’ negatives are off the charts—64% say they won’t vote for Palin. I’m adopting a wait and see and figure out what it looks like closer to the election. I have a bet with my wife that if Romney wins the Republican primary he’ll win the general. The economy will tell.....


23 posted on 06/08/2011 8:59:43 AM PDT by JoeFromCA
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To: The Sons of Liberty

A vote for Romney is a vote for someone as bad as Obama and four more years of liberal rule while destroying the Republican party....no thanks.


24 posted on 06/08/2011 9:09:49 AM PDT by Turtlepower
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To: WatchYourself

By democrats? Possible
By republicans? NO FRIGGIN WAY..........


25 posted on 06/08/2011 9:17:18 AM PDT by SECURE AMERICA (Where can I sign up for the New American Revolution and the Crusades 2012?)
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To: WatchYourself

Romney: Obama lite.


26 posted on 06/08/2011 10:20:37 AM PDT by JimRed (Excising a cancer before it kills us waters the Tree of Liberty! TERM LIMITS, NOW AND FOREVER!)
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To: JoeFromCA

Those kinds of polls showed Reagan trailing Carter by double digits with a few weeks to go; look how THAT turned out! I don’t trust polls.


27 posted on 06/08/2011 10:25:12 AM PDT by JimRed (Excising a cancer before it kills us waters the Tree of Liberty! TERM LIMITS, NOW AND FOREVER!)
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To: WatchYourself

I don’t think he’s very electable at all. Could he win the nomination? Possibly, if Sarah chooses not to run, but I doubt he’d inspire very many to go to the polls since there’s little difference between him and Obama. Why bother?


28 posted on 06/08/2011 10:31:02 AM PDT by trisham (Zen is not easy. It takes effort to attain nothingness. And then what do you have? Bupkis.)
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To: WatchYourself

Last time around, the MSM might have figured Romney was more electable than McCain among independents, so, to boost McCain, they indirectly went after Romney’s religion.

They said of course religion is not relevant to a candidates qualifications, after all, JFK caused doubts, but voters went for him.

Then they kept pounding Romney with statements like, “But a LOT of people have questions about Romney’s religion and that could hurt him quite a bit with voters. People are really taking a second doubtful look at Romney. Maybe they will go instead for war hero John McCain. What do you think, Jim?”

“Sure, Bob, I tend to agree with everything you said. This could finally be McCain’s year. I imagine a lot of people are just not ready for Romney.”

But this time around, they will jump in for Romney with, “I think all doubts about Romney’s religion have been swept aside and Republicans and independents alike are ready to make this Romney’s year. What do you think, Jim?”

“Sure, Bob, I tend to agree with everything you said. This could finally be Romney’s year. I imagine a lot of people are finally ready for Romney.”


29 posted on 06/08/2011 10:44:00 AM PDT by Right Wing Assault (Obama is more inexperienced now than he was before he was elected.)
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To: aMorePerfectUnion
Let's see:

Third Party Candidate - Strom Thurmond - New Party - Nope

Third Party Candidate - George Wallace - New Party - Nope

Third Party Candidate - Ross Perot - New Party - Nope

I'm afraid history is not on your side - unless you are a dimocrap. I believe in each of these elections the dims won, so if you're working for 0bama, then go ahead promoting a third party.

30 posted on 06/08/2011 11:38:16 AM PDT by The Sons of Liberty (Psalm 109:8 Let his days be few and let another take his office. - Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin)
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To: The Sons of Liberty
"I'm afraid history is not on your side - unless you are a dimocrap. I believe in each of these elections the dims won, so if you're working for 0bama, then go ahead promoting a third party. "

History is on my side. The threat of a third party - credible threat - forces parties to choose better candidates. When they LOSE because of the situation they created, they do better the next time. That is history. No third party last time around, so maybe they need a fresh lesson.

Blindly supporting RINOS, as you expressed your commitment to, encourages LAME (Dole, McLame, etc.) candidates to be chosen.

You can do whatever you wish. Free country. But if RINOmney is nominated, THAT is a great way to work for 0bama. He will win hands down - despite your money and efforts supporting a RINO. Good luck with that.

I will go fishing that day, after voting just for the down-ticket. I will mourn for the country, but it will be the fault of people who have an attitude like yours.

31 posted on 06/08/2011 1:28:43 PM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion
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To: aMorePerfectUnion
What part of "I don't like Romney" is Blindly supporting RINOS?

So you think handing control back to Baraq Hussein mohammed 0bama for four more years is the answer? Buddy I'd like to kick your ass!

32 posted on 06/09/2011 5:15:34 AM PDT by The Sons of Liberty (Psalm 109:8 Let his days be few and let another take his office. - Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin)
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To: The Sons of Liberty

“So you think handing control back to Baraq Hussein mohammed 0bama for four more years is the answer?”

Of course not. But if Mitt is nominated [and supported by you], that is what you will accomplish. Your call.

“Buddy I’d like to kick your ass!”

Probably lots of men would. I no longer fight after the accidental death in the last one...


33 posted on 06/09/2011 8:53:51 AM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion
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To: aMorePerfectUnion

So you are behind bars and still voting - sounds like a dim to me.


34 posted on 06/09/2011 8:55:15 AM PDT by The Sons of Liberty (Psalm 109:8 Let his days be few and let another take his office. - Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin)
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To: The Sons of Liberty

SOL,

No the final judgment was “self-defense”,
which it was.

I do vote. I vote for conservatives. Never again RINOs,
including RINOmney.

Best,
ampu


35 posted on 06/09/2011 9:06:49 AM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion
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