Skip to comments.Romney's Favorables Nose-dived in 2007/08. How electable is he?
Posted on 06/08/2011 7:53:35 AM PDT by WatchYourself
The line being pushed by the Mainstream Media, who seem all to giddy to point out the closeness of Romney in the polls to Obama, and establishment Republicans alike is that Mitt Romney is moderate enough to win. Just look at the poll numbers! In May, Romney was +10 in favorable ratings in AP/GFK (45-35), and in other polls +4 Reuters (36-32), +8 in NBC (28-20). Nothing mindboggling, but decent nonetheless, and, therefor, he has a shot! And he always is close to Obama in the polls.
But the reality with Romney is this: He has not been in the news; he did not put himself on the line in 2010 election cycle and was pretty much ignored; he hasnt been campaigning or laying out positions to large groups of people. Right now, Romney is riding on name recognition leftover from 2008. People have forgotten whatever it is they knew about him. So the questions is, as people got to know Romney before, what did they think of him? We look back to the last election cycle to find out.
In Gallup Polling, the last time that 40% of the population had never heard of Mitt Romney was in may of 2007, a few months after Romney launched his Presidential campaign. At that time, he was at a decent 27% Favorable to 19% Unfavorable, for +8 overall. In other words, similar to where he stands now, just more people know of him. From there, we see an interesting trend. Over the next few months, his favorable began to dip steadily, and rose above 27% just once in the next 7 surveys. By the time his Never Heard Of number was cut in half, to 23% in September, Romneys favorables had not changed and stood at 27%, while his Unfavorables nearly doubled to 35%, or -8 overall. By the time the Iowa Caucuses were starting, he was now at -10, moving to just 32% Favorable to 42% Unfavorable. One month later, as he was set to leave the GOP nomination race, Romney hit a low point of -12 and 34% Favorable with 46% Unfavorable.
So, in the 2007/08 election cycle, from the time Romney was semi-known to the time he became well-known, Romney jumped from just 27% in favorable to 34% by the time it was all said and done, or a gain of 7 overall. But his unfavorable rating jumped from 19% to 42%, more than doubling what it had been. The reality is, the more that Romney campaigned and debated in 07/08 the more that people did not like him. His unfavorables rose at a rate more than 3 times what his favorables did.
But now? The last Gallup survey had Romney back at +8 (36-28), or exactly where he was 3 years ago.
The irony is, earlier this week Romney said he was glad that Sarah Palin was in the news and he wasnt, because all the scrutiny was going towards her. Perhaps Romney was thinking about what happened in 2007/2008 also.
“How electable is he?”
I hope not at all...
He’s not electable. And there is a good reason for it.
Conservatives will no longer vote for RINOs.
Glowbull warming & RomneyCare for starters.
I’ll be brief. No.
It is abundantly obvious that Romney is the MSM choice to ensure that we lose the election to Zero.
Seen it before and we can’t let it happen again.
Reading articles saying ‘Romney looks so presidential’ is a dead giveaway.
1. Has any third party EVER won and does one even stand a chance now;
2. Who really benefits from a third party
A vote for a third party candidate is a vote for Hussein 0bama and four more years (if the Country lasts that long) of his socialism.
As I said, I don't like Romney, but compared to the devil's spawn Hussein 0bama, he looks pretty good.
As I said, I don’t like Romney, but compared to the devil’s spawn Hussein 0bama, he looks pretty good.
That is the line has been trotted out since 1988 and what have we got from the liberals of the republican party for our support?
Romney’s a Global Warming guy. ‘nuff said.
He’s not. While the msm was laughing at COD’s defeat last year, they forgot to mention that Myth’s surrogate/protoge Nutmeg Whitman got beat by the same margain as COD. Myth is alienated from the conservative base and offers no real choice to independents. He’d get stomped.
Yeah, like a pile of cow dung next to a pile of donkey dung.
Very good analogy.
The fact is, I find it hard to see a scenerio that puts a Republican in the White House. If a true conservative wins the nomination the moderate/liberal wing of the party will sit out and if Romney or another RINO wins many conservatives will sit out or vote third party.
In a nutshell, Palin is an enormous wild card.
How about Ross Perot? We all know how that worked out. As for me, I don’t care for Romney, but I’d vote for Charles Manson over Barry.
The left picked our candidate in 2008...let us not allow them to pick our candidate again....two they’d love...Romney, Christie...both are RINO’S like McRino...
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