Skip to comments.If election were held today, Obama would lose [Gallup poll]
Posted on 06/16/2011 6:20:56 PM PDT by Justaham
According to a Gallup poll released on Thursday, President Barack Obama would fall to an unnamed Republican candidate by a narrow margin if the election were held today.
Although 44 percent of respondents said they would vote for a Republican candidate when asked whom they would support in the 2012 election, only 39 percent of participants said they would vote for Obama. Eighteen percent of respondents said they had no opinion.
The poll was based on telephone interviews conducted with 914 registered voters between June 9 and June 12. The margin of error is plus or minus 4 percent.
While the Gallup report notes that the Republican Partys lead is statistically insignificant, the numbers suggest that the race is close.
However, recent surveys have shown that Obama usually fares well in a head-to-head matchup against the current Republican candidates.
An NBC/Wall Street Journal poll released on Wednesday, for example, found that Obama would beat Republican frontrunner Mitt Romney, 49 percent to 43 percent.
The NBC/WSJ poll also reported that Obama would win against top-tier contender Tim Pawlenty by 50 percent to 39 percent.
Most polls have agreed with the NBC/WSJ findings, with the exception being a Washington Post/ABC poll conducted earlier this month that found Obama and Romney to be tied with 47 percent of the vote. When the results were adjusted to include only registered voters, Romney was found to lead Obama by 49 percent to 46 percent. It should be noted that Romneys lead falls within the polls plus or minus 3.5 percent margin of error.
(Excerpt) Read more at dailycaller.com ...
Unfortunately this election won”t come soon enough.Hopefully we will still have a country remaining when it does.
The lie-filled parade balloon of the scrawny one is deflating. I’m going to savor it like fine wine.
While this sounds like good news, the election will not be decided by 900 registered voters but by 50 states of varying electoral strengths. Any serious analysis would have to poll a large enough sample in all 50 states (and DC) to give us a real idea of whether a “generic Republican” will beat Obama.
hope he has coat tails, drags them all in the hole he’s been digging, for us
For Obama to pull only 39% of REGISTERED voters, he must be down around 35% of ACTUAL voters.
The dim party and the White House are in very deep trouble.
And this was only registered voters not likely voters which would show Urkel down substantially.
They aren’t going to poll that way because it would show Urkel getting destroyed.
Because he sucks.
Yeah, but at least Urkel has Debbie Downer’s vote.
A year from now we will be in a depression.
You need 10% added to the Generics due to Dem voter fraud.
But... but... but... this is a poll... I have seen three other polls today... oh noes... what must I do??? I just don’t know... I mean polls tell us the truth... polls tell us where America is in a point in time... they are irrefutable data... the holy grail of prediction... but what must I do when they do not agree? ;-)
The optimist in me says that this means we have only to wait. Another year and a half of downward spiral will doom Obama’s chances. Anyone with a pulse will be able to defeat him; the growing strength of the tea party will help ensure that a strong conservative leader gets the GOP nom, guaranteeing a landslide.
The pessimist in me wonders what kind of manufactured “crisis” will crop up around September 2012. Terrorist attack? Riots? War? Martial law? I have this uncomfortable feeling that something will “conveniently” happen to either help Obama get re-elected, or “force” him to stay in office. I hope to God I’m wrong.