Posted on 06/25/2011 2:02:08 AM PDT by neverdem
I just received some very interesting results from a poll I commissioned with IBOPE Zogby International.
While it is well-known that President Obama is losing voter support nationwide, the lesser known fact is that the President's support is eroding among two key voter groups: Democratic Blue states and battleground Green states. The Zogby poll question asked: "Do you think President Obama deserves to be re-elected or do you think it is time for someone new?"
Overall, a 54% majority of voters say it is time for someone new in the White House, and just 40% say that Obama deserves re-election. That's certainly bad news for the President, however, an even worse trend is developing.
One month ago, just 41% of voters from Green states said they would vote to re-elect Obama, and today that number has plunged four percentage points to 37%. A sizeable 56% of Green state voters say it is time to elect someone new to the Oval Office. These Green states are the crucial states that President Obama won in 2008 but are now considered in play as a result of Republican gains in the 2010 election.
The President's support among Blue state voters is eroding quickly as well. One month ago, 47% of Blue state voters said they would vote to re-elect Obama and 47% said it was time for someone new. Today, a plurality of Blue state voters (49%) say it is time for someone new and just 44% say Obama deserves re-election.
These new poll results clearly show that President Obama can be defeated in 2012, but only if the eventual Republican candidate runs on the issues and resists the temptation to run against Obama the person. Even then, and despite these poor poll numbers, Obama should still be considered the odds-on favorite in 2012. The reasons for this are three-fold:
1) There still could be a third-party candidate.
2) Obama has a $1 billion fundraising goal and he has 14 months to accomplish it. On the other hand, his Republican challenger can't start raising money for a general campaign until September 2012, and then he or she will only have 60 days to compete with Obama and try and match his war chest.
3) The national press seems to still be enamored with Obama, and will spend the next 16 months convincing the public that he should be re-elected. Over on the Republican side, there will be at least 12 Republican voices competing for media over the next 15 months.
If you read the polling data and analysis in my new book, How Obama Can Be Defeated in 2012, which I co-authored with Dr. Jerome Corsi, you'll see that on all of the major issues, 75% of voters disagree with President Obama. You'll also discover that two-thirds of voters reject his vision for the future of America and the cost we'll have to pay to achieve his vision.
For example:
Go to www.BarackObamaTest.com where you can see for yourself where you and the rest of the American public stand in relation to Obama on the issues.
The Poll was conducted by IBOPE Zogby International and surveyed 2,013 likely voters from June 17-21, 2011. The Poll has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 2.2 percentage points.
Red states: AL, AK, AZ, AR, GA, ID, KS, KY, LA, MS, MT, NE, ND, OK, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, WV, WY
Blue states: CA, CO, CT, DE, HI, IL, ME, MD, MA, MN, NV, NJ, NY, OR, RI, VT, WA
Green states: FL, IN, IA, MI, MO, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, WI
Brad O'Leary is publisher of The O'Leary Report, a bestselling author, and is a former NBC Westwood One talk show host. To interview Brad about his new book, "How Obama Can Be Defeated in 2012," co-authored with Dr. Jerome Corsi, please contact Tim Bueler at (530) 401-3285 or mediatimbueler@aol.com.
That's a curious definition of green states. Rats did a curious transformation in 2000, courtesy of the moron stream media, to becomng blue states. As if they were called pinkos for nothing during the Cold War.
He should be in the single digits.
Obama has a good chance because the GOP will resist the temptation to nominate a general election candidate.
MO went for McCain is 2008.
Who has come up with the term “Green states”??
First time I’ve even heard of “Green” states. I thought they were Red, Blue, Purple.
Remember, this is the media’s creation. Blue = Friendly, Red = Hostile.
Blue states are friendly to the Dems and MSM.
Red states are hostile to the Dems and MSM.
“First time I’ve even heard of “Green” states. I thought they were Red, Blue, Purple.”
Which makes much more intuitive sense. “Green” terminology confuses hotly contested with the issue of “environmentally kooky”.
Bastard marxist turd never has paid my lectric bill yet.
God only knows why ANYONE voted for this illegal Marxist puppet, other then his fellow travelers, but I am from Tennessee, about as red as red can be.
(election wise), excluding the badly blackened western third.
Do you mean a "moderate" (Republican liberal, a.k.a. a "Me-Too'er" in the 40's)?
The GOP nominated men like that in 1960, 1976, 1988, 1992, 1996, and 2008.
In 1968, Nixon ran as a conservative, not the "moderate" he'd run as in 1960 against JFK.
In 1972, Nixon ran as a conservative, "law-and-order" war President, not a "moderate" (tho' someone will argue that on the basis of his having embraced Keynesian wage-and-price controls). His approach to China was Metternichian (Henry the K), not "moderate".
In 1988, "Poppy" Bush ran as Reagan's third term: "Read my lips!" In 1992, that promise broken and his mandarinism showing, he lost to The Rapist -- despite having won a war.
Bob Dole and John McCain were the embodiment of RiNO strategery -- and they lost.
Bush 43 ran twice as a conservative; in 2004, he had the DOMA issue to help him, and he ditched his gay allies in the Log Cabins and the Republican Unity Coalition (gay Pubbies, like today's GOProud). He won.
Whoever runs on the GOP ticket in 2012 had better not try pussyfooting into office as "Obama Lite" or a "Me Too'er". He'll be repudiated, just like Gerald Ford, Bob Dole, and John McCain.
I’ve never heard of Green states. I’ve always thought of MO as red, outside of KC and StL that is.
Red states are hostile to the Dems and MSM.
Blue states have been taken over by a small number of leftists, union goons and the like, much to the chagrin of the remaining patriots.
Red states are still strongholds of patriotic ferver, unions mostly under control, property rights and freedom reigns.
This won’t help him very much with freepers:
What about cyan states?
Got to remember that as the old MSM falls all the more by the wayside, the new media surges upward.
Good golly, Obama is TOAST, in 2012, because it is still pocketbook/wallet issues.
Don't forget the pink states.
Yeah, NY, I'm talking about you.
Actually, it comes from a website - Dave Leip's Atlas of US Presidential Elections - that has been producing election maps like these since 1997. Prior to Bush-Gore, Leip alternated the colors for the parties going back through the earlier cycles, but in 2000 these maps wound up all over the media for weeks and weeks on end so the red/blue distinction stuck.
If you go back through the Atlas above, you'll see Clinton as red in 1996, for example.
Wait, nevermind, I’m caffeine-deprived. I thought I remembered hearing that story somewhere, but it’s not the case.
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