Romney leads in NH poll; Bachmann creeping up. Romney 35, Bachmann 12, Paul 7, Giuliani 7

The Hill ^ | 07/06/2011 | Cameron Joseph

[SeekAndFind]

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney maintains his wide lead among GOP presidential candidates in New Hampshire, according to a poll released Tuesday evening.

But in what may be the real race in the state, Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-Minn.) has crept into a distant second.

In the poll, conducted by WMUR and the University of New Hampshire, Romney received support from 35 percent of likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters, down from 41 percent from last month's WMUR-Univ. of N.H. poll. Bachmann was backed by 12 percent of those polled, a 8-point jump since the last poll, before strong debate performance in the Granite State.

Romney is likely to win the first-in-the-nation primary. He owns a home there, has campaigned tirelessly in the state and has led every poll conducted there since 2009. He came in second during the 2008 primary, losing to the eventual GOP nominee, Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.). Bachmann's strongly religious views do not play as well with the more moderate and libertarian electorate in the state. But should she win Iowa, where she was born and has invested most of her time, a second-place finish in New Hampshire would be viewed as a strong performance and give her momentum going into South Carolina's primary.

Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani tied for third in the poll at 7 percent. Paul is a libertarian favorite, while Giuliani's support of abortion rights (and long campaign there in 2008) may be bolstering his numbers. Those close to Giuliani say he expects to make a decision about a run later this summer.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry followed them with 4 percent in his first appearance in the poll. A spokesman for the governor said he'll decide on a presidential bid in the next several weeks.

[magritte]

Page 10 if you have it up in MWord.

[jpsb]

Sarah was NOT a choice in this poll. The 3% figure you're talking about is a University of New Hampshire poll.

[Morpheus2009]

“I’m not worried that Romney leads in NH. I will be worried if he leads in SC.”

Same here.

Again, we’re still quite a bit of time before the final nominee makes it. And yeah, I I would really count on NH to vote a moderate or conservative candidate /s.

[Happy Rain]

Thanks

[free me]

It’s missing from all the news stories on the poll for some reason. I posted the link in post#20.

Note the paragraph that shows 75% of these primary voters have not made up their mind yet.

[magritte]

That’s the poll in question.

[who knows what evil?]

Romney wins NH easily...Obama has no primary opposition, so Democrats will cross over into GOP primary to support the candidate they believe would lose to Zero. That will be Romney.

New Hampshire is Boston's b*tch...

[free me]

They are the same poll. The article is referencing that poll.

[jpsb]

Oopps, I scanned the article thinking it was a real poll from real professionals only on a reread did I see it is a pretend poll from college students and since Palin was only mentioned in the comments with ref to UNH I mistakenly believed that was a different poll. thanks for the correction.

[screaminsunshine]

What the hell difference does it make? We worked our butts off to get the GOP in the House to get rid of Obamacare. They had one meaningless vote and dropped the subject. Now with the debt ceiling dog and pony show. All these “cuts”. Has there been one mention of stopping Obamacare? The GOP is part of the problem. Not the solution.

[11th Commandment]

OK, was Palin’s name even an option?

Why was Rudy on the Poll?

[Waywardson]

That IS their plan. Unless we the people change it.

[Diogenesis]

From ineligibility to IAG to ObamaCARE.

[Friendofgeorge]

Bad news for bachmann

http://conservatives4palin.com/2011/07/daily-rundown-bachmanns-gallup-intensity-index-falls-by-17-while-palins-is-up-27-in-two-weeks.html

[rob777]

"Bachmann's strongly religious views do not play as well with the more moderate and libertarian electorate in the state. But should she win Iowa, where she was born and has invested most of her time, a second-place finish in New Hampshire would be viewed as a strong performance and give her momentum going into South Carolina's primary."


As other on this site have said, it is not crucially important that Michele is not winning in New Hampshire. The above lays out a scenario that is the key for her to beat Romney.