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Romney leads in NH poll; Bachmann creeping up. Romney 35, Bachmann 12, Paul 7, Giuliani 7
The Hill ^ | 07/06/2011 | Cameron Joseph

Posted on 07/06/2011 7:21:53 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney maintains his wide lead among GOP presidential candidates in New Hampshire, according to a poll released Tuesday evening.

But in what may be the real race in the state, Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-Minn.) has crept into a distant second.

In the poll, conducted by WMUR and the University of New Hampshire, Romney received support from 35 percent of likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters, down from 41 percent from last month's WMUR-Univ. of N.H. poll. Bachmann was backed by 12 percent of those polled, a 8-point jump since the last poll, before strong debate performance in the Granite State.

Romney is likely to win the first-in-the-nation primary. He owns a home there, has campaigned tirelessly in the state and has led every poll conducted there since 2009. He came in second during the 2008 primary, losing to the eventual GOP nominee, Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.). Bachmann's strongly religious views do not play as well with the more moderate and libertarian electorate in the state. But should she win Iowa, where she was born and has invested most of her time, a second-place finish in New Hampshire would be viewed as a strong performance and give her momentum going into South Carolina's primary.

Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani tied for third in the poll at 7 percent. Paul is a libertarian favorite, while Giuliani's support of abortion rights (and long campaign there in 2008) may be bolstering his numbers. Those close to Giuliani say he expects to make a decision about a run later this summer.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry followed them with 4 percent in his first appearance in the poll. A spokesman for the governor said he'll decide on a presidential bid in the next several weeks.

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS: bachmann; fakepoll4milt; milt; miltprop; newhampshire; nh2012; primaries; romney; romneyprop

1 posted on 07/06/2011 7:22:00 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

I’m not worried that Romney leads in NH. I will be worried if he leads in SC.


2 posted on 07/06/2011 7:23:00 AM PDT by ilovesarah2012
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To: SeekAndFind

OK, was Palin’s name even an option?


3 posted on 07/06/2011 7:24:10 AM PDT by Genoa (Starve the beast.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Romney ahead in NH! Dog bites Man ! Lol ! Interesting to see Giuliani still with 7% ...who are those guys?


4 posted on 07/06/2011 7:25:29 AM PDT by magritte ("There are moments, Jeeves, when one asks oneself "Do trousers matter?")
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To: SeekAndFind

Shame one state has so much power in choosing. By the time my state rolls around its over.


5 posted on 07/06/2011 7:25:52 AM PDT by Sybeck1 (BE BOLD SARAH)
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To: Genoa

It’s time to close that cult down.


6 posted on 07/06/2011 7:26:02 AM PDT by warchild9
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To: SeekAndFind

go away willard. No republicrats for president.


7 posted on 07/06/2011 7:27:14 AM PDT by rokkitapps ( Hearings on healthcare waivers NOW! (If you agree make this your tagline))
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To: warchild9
It’s time to close that cult down.

It's fun parrotting the left-wing, isn't it?!
8 posted on 07/06/2011 7:27:17 AM PDT by SoConPubbie
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To: ilovesarah2012

Funny, they didn’t ask about Sarah. They think if they pretend she isn’t running, maybe she won’t. They even ask about Guliani and Perry, neither of which has announced.


9 posted on 07/06/2011 7:27:36 AM PDT by DesertRhino (I was standing with a rifle, waiting for soviet paratroopers, but communists just ran for office)
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To: warchild9
It’s time to close that cult down.

Well, leaving her name off the list is a pretty effective tactic in this case.
10 posted on 07/06/2011 7:28:04 AM PDT by Genoa (Starve the beast.)
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To: Genoa
No,and polls without Palin are worthless if/when she announces.
11 posted on 07/06/2011 7:28:52 AM PDT by Happy Rain ("Sans Sarah-Bachmann's The One.")
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To: Genoa

Yes, she got 3%, same as Pawlenty. She also led the “I will never vote for in the NH primary category” with 23%.


12 posted on 07/06/2011 7:36:24 AM PDT by magritte ("There are moments, Jeeves, when one asks oneself "Do trousers matter?")
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To: DesertRhino

Yes, they did ask about Palin. She got 3%.


13 posted on 07/06/2011 7:37:17 AM PDT by magritte ("There are moments, Jeeves, when one asks oneself "Do trousers matter?")
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To: Genoa

Yes she was an option. She garnered 3%. You have to go to the actual poll results to see it though.


14 posted on 07/06/2011 7:40:25 AM PDT by free me (Sarah Palin 2012 - GAME ON!!)
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To: SeekAndFind

http://politicalscoop.wmur.com/

BS! Poll

There is no way that Romney will be the nominee. If it happened it would be the death knell of the Republican Party.....

Romney is an Obozo mini meme.


15 posted on 07/06/2011 7:41:16 AM PDT by Texas Fossil (Government, even in its best state is but a necessary evil; in its worst state an intolerable one)
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To: ilovesarah2012

Bachmann wins the corn state, Mittens the Northern blue Rino state and then they meet up at the convention, where Mitt throws a bone to the tea party to calm them down by naming MB his veep. That’s what my crystal ball says.


16 posted on 07/06/2011 7:43:44 AM PDT by Sybeck1 (BE BOLD SARAH)
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To: Sybeck1

Bachmann as VP, or Demint is recruited as Tea Party substitute.


17 posted on 07/06/2011 7:44:54 AM PDT by magritte ("There are moments, Jeeves, when one asks oneself "Do trousers matter?")
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To: magritte
Where? I have scrutinized the column several times—where is Palin mentioned?
Even the respondents at the link comment about the lack of a Palin mention.
18 posted on 07/06/2011 7:45:02 AM PDT by Happy Rain ("Sans Sarah-Bachmann's The One.")
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To: free me

Oh,nevermind.


19 posted on 07/06/2011 7:46:18 AM PDT by Happy Rain ("Sans Sarah-Bachmann's The One.")
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To: DesertRhino
Here's the full results (with Palin):

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE

Note this from the pollsters:

It is critical to point out that primary voters behave very differently than general election voters -- there are no party cues to rely on, and almost all primary voters will vote for their party’s eventual presidential candidate, no matter who that might be. Most primary voters do not settle on a choice until the very end of the campaign, so early poll numbers are a better gauge of a candidate’s popularity now than an indication of who voters will end up supporting.
In the most recent poll, 75% of likely Republican primary voters say they are still trying to decide who they will eventually vote for in 2012, 17% are leaning toward a candidate, and only 8% say they have definitely decided who they will vote for.

20 posted on 07/06/2011 7:46:34 AM PDT by free me (Sarah Palin 2012 - GAME ON!!)
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To: Happy Rain

Page 10 if you have it up in MWord.


21 posted on 07/06/2011 7:47:06 AM PDT by magritte ("There are moments, Jeeves, when one asks oneself "Do trousers matter?")
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To: magritte
Sarah was NOT a choice in this poll. The 3% figure you're talking about is a University of New Hampshire poll.
22 posted on 07/06/2011 7:48:54 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: ilovesarah2012

“I’m not worried that Romney leads in NH. I will be worried if he leads in SC.”

Same here.

Again, we’re still quite a bit of time before the final nominee makes it. And yeah, I I would really count on NH to vote a moderate or conservative candidate /s.


23 posted on 07/06/2011 7:49:06 AM PDT by Morpheus2009
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To: magritte

Thanks


24 posted on 07/06/2011 7:49:06 AM PDT by Happy Rain ("Sans Sarah-Bachmann's The One.")
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To: Happy Rain

It’s missing from all the news stories on the poll for some reason. I posted the link in post#20.

Note the paragraph that shows 75% of these primary voters have not made up their mind yet.


25 posted on 07/06/2011 7:50:03 AM PDT by free me (Sarah Palin 2012 - GAME ON!!)
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To: jpsb

That’s the poll in question.


26 posted on 07/06/2011 7:51:39 AM PDT by magritte ("There are moments, Jeeves, when one asks oneself "Do trousers matter?")
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To: SeekAndFind
Romney wins NH easily...Obama has no primary opposition, so Democrats will cross over into GOP primary to support the candidate they believe would lose to Zero. That will be Romney.

New Hampshire is Boston's b*tch...

27 posted on 07/06/2011 7:51:50 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: jpsb

They are the same poll. The article is referencing that poll.


28 posted on 07/06/2011 7:52:04 AM PDT by free me (Sarah Palin 2012 - GAME ON!!)
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To: free me
Oopps, I scanned the article thinking it was a real poll from real professionals only on a reread did I see it is a pretend poll from college students and since Palin was only mentioned in the comments with ref to UNH I mistakenly believed that was a different poll. thanks for the correction.
29 posted on 07/06/2011 7:58:13 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: ilovesarah2012

What the hell difference does it make? We worked our butts off to get the GOP in the House to get rid of Obamacare. They had one meaningless vote and dropped the subject. Now with the debt ceiling dog and pony show. All these “cuts”. Has there been one mention of stopping Obamacare? The GOP is part of the problem. Not the solution.


30 posted on 07/06/2011 8:07:15 AM PDT by screaminsunshine (Socialism...Easier said than done.)
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To: Genoa
OK, was Palin’s name even an option?

Why was Rudy on the Poll?

31 posted on 07/06/2011 8:14:36 AM PDT by 11th Commandment (http://www.thirty-thousand.org/)
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To: Sybeck1

That IS their plan. Unless we the people change it.


32 posted on 07/06/2011 8:14:55 AM PDT by Waywardson (Carry on! Nothing equals the splendor!)
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To: SeekAndFind
From ineligibility to IAG to ObamaCARE.


33 posted on 07/06/2011 8:19:22 AM PDT by Diogenesis (Nothing surpasses the complexity of the human mind. - Leto II: Dar-es-Balat)
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To: SeekAndFind

Bad news for bachmann

http://conservatives4palin.com/2011/07/daily-rundown-bachmanns-gallup-intensity-index-falls-by-17-while-palins-is-up-27-in-two-weeks.html


34 posted on 07/06/2011 8:47:21 AM PDT by Friendofgeorge (AS I WAS SAYING.....SARAH PALIN OR FLIPPIN BUST)
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To: SeekAndFind
"Bachmann's strongly religious views do not play as well with the more moderate and libertarian electorate in the state. But should she win Iowa, where she was born and has invested most of her time, a second-place finish in New Hampshire would be viewed as a strong performance and give her momentum going into South Carolina's primary."


As other on this site have said, it is not crucially important that Michele is not winning in New Hampshire. The above lays out a scenario that is the key for her to beat Romney.
35 posted on 07/06/2011 10:13:05 AM PDT by rob777
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