Skip to comments.Iowa Straw Poll Hosts GOP Candidates [Results LIVE Thread]
Posted on 08/13/2011 2:52:29 PM PDT by advance_copy
GOP contenders compete in today's Ames Straw Poll in Iowa...
FNC just announced Bachmann will be on five Sunday shows tomorrow morning.
Spinning her defeat?
I'll check back tomorrow to see if my fearless (and entirely predictable) prediction bears out.
For the sake of the future relevance of the Iowa straw poll, the folks that put on this event must be desperately hoping Ron Paul doesn’t win.
Bachmann gave out 6,000 voting tickets so it will be interesting to see how she fairs. They all give them out but I wouldn’t discount Paul this time around.
the only candidate that actually walks the walk. what a shame.
If we’re taking bets, my money says Ron Paul does worse than expected tonight.
Ok, how is it that when you have to pay $30 to vote and there are two candidates known for paying people’s voting tax, just how is a straw poll an indication of anything?
From a known to me trustworthy source:
@iowanews1 Gary Barrett
Hearing that we could have 16 thousand here in Ames and Bachmann could get a big chunk of that vote. #iowastrawpoll
I’ll bet there is no clear winner.
She’s Washington D.C. True and Blue. I am not fooled by these people like others are. I’m sick of Washington. I want to blow it up, not keep the status quo.
Michele Bachmann is serving the best food or the most, it seems. :-)
The next Republican President of the United States will not place in the top 5 in this year's Ames straw poll.
>>>Ok, how is it that when you have to pay $30 to vote and there are two candidates known for paying peoples voting tax, just how is a straw poll an indication of anything?
It’s an indication of the strength of a campaign organization’s ability to motivate its supporters.
I’ll take that bet.
What’s the stakes? I guarantee no worse than 2nd. Deal?
Exactly what Rick Perry must have thought. And he may be right. But the media are there, and it is a test of campaign organizational strength.
A little-known candidate, just as did Huckabee in ‘08, could make enough of a name for themselves by finishing well.
You know he will win. Thanks to his small but vocal band of supporters he wins most every poll. What he can't win is a presidential election -- and they can make all the noise about it they want but they just can't change that.
Watching Bachmann on C-Span - could somebody tell her she doesn’t have to shout if she’s holding a microphone?! I’m interested in what she has to say, but the yelling is hard to listen to. Does she always shout like this?
Relax. Ron Paul isn’t winning today. His crowd was not as large and obnoxious as I thought it would be. Herman Cain’s crowd was larger and for that matter, so was Tim Pawlenty’s.
Here are the stakes. If Ron Paul gets 2nd place or better, I post in big bold font that “rjeffries was absolutely right in posting brilliant analysis”. If not, you post in big bold font that “advance_copy was absolutely right in posting brilliant analysis”.
The only ones I saw who had flag pins on were MB and HC.
MB changed her attire a few minutes later. Not a positive for me, but that;s just me and I didn't see coverage of Cain.
AFAIC Cain won...
I'm still behind Sarah. If she doesn't get in it's Cain for me.
I watched the speeches and really enjoyed Herman Cain. He is a very inspiring speaker. All of them had great points and were taking the fight to Obama and the Dems.
Since write-ins are possible does anyone have a feeling for what Sarah Palin will do. Just curious...
Well -- it isn't! But I guess people are so eager to vote against Obama that they will spend hours of TV time (and megabytes of bandwidth) trying desperately to attach some meaning to this. In a perverse way, I hope Ron Paul wins it. At least then everyone will agree with us that it was meaningless.
LOL... my husband just said the same thing to me. I think she is trying to drum up excitement in the crowd, but at some point she needs to realize the shouting gets old.
Paying people to show up and making sure they have the $30 to vote, is an indication of money not organization.
I second that emotion! (A little Smokey!)
That wasn't what I saw.
But we will shortly know. The Paulites are motivated. I saw probably as many Paulite shirts as anyone.
But who knows; only the votes cast matter.
I enjoyed Cain’s speech also. So much so that I plan to watch it again later when Mrs. 40 returns.
My guess is 6% or more wouldn’t be out of the question for her and Perry.
My updated guess:
+/- a few points
If you say so genius... ::rolleyes::
I tried to wager a very vocal Paul supporter that Paul wouldn't get the nomination. The bet was, the loser pays $100 to be contributed to Free Republic. As vocal as they are and as adamant as they can be regarding their hero, I just couldn't get a taker.
LOL Drudge Report has a big picture of an ear of corn with the top headline (in red) “And the winner is...”
she has walked the walk. She is the most conservative candidate in Iowa. I would like to see her as POTUS. It’s a shame that the rest of the field is so much less conservative.
Is your post suggesting that a republican president will be elected in the 2012 election? As written, your post can be interpreted in different ways.
She did during the GOP debate the other night too when she said, “Obama will be a one term President!”
It’s a good way to start building up your momentum. Little victories add up.
Listen live for spin, and results when available:
Just heard host Simon Conway say one campaign operative claimed that at least 20% of the people the operative dealt with today were Obama voters... interesting...
As many as 15,000 votes may be cast today.
I am a Bachmann supporter, but I humorously invented my own Bachmann “drinking game”
Take a shot whenever:
1. She mentions Obama will be a “one term President”
2. She is a Federal Tax Attorney
3. She understands the tax code
4. She and her husband created a business and jobs
5. She knows how to create jobs
6. She raised 5 children and took in 23 foster kids
7. She will repeal Obamacare
if you don’t get sent to the emergency room for alcohol poisoning by then:
8. She is a strong social conservative
9. She grew up in IA and is a 7th Generation Iowan.
10. The Sullivan Brothers
11. She grew up in a single parent home.
by then, hope you aren’t dead yet.
All joking aside, I wish she’d get to the more substantive stuff and plans.
Huntsman voters, ya think?
I like Herman Cain. I have not yet made up my mind.
I am surprised, though, that my niece and nephew who are 20 something and 30 something. Nephew not religious...niece VERY Christian... they both went for Cain independently.
This happened after the Fox debate. They said ... “we like THAT guy!”
I wonder if people are underestimating how much Cain can resonate with a younger generation.
12. She mentions Congress giving Obama “a 2 trillion $ blank check.”
Should be more than than. They predicted Bachmann sold 6,000. 40% of the vote would be pretty darn impressive. While I think she’s done well, that would be way beyond expectations. Likewise, if she is <25% or finishes worst than first, it may raise serious doubts about her organization skills, especially if Pawlenty does better than expected.
This number was from Fox, fwiw.
I think Cain is a dark horse. I think a lot of people who do not think of him as top tier favor him as their 2nd choice
Early “rumors” on turnout...
Record number of participants.... record number of tickets bought by people paying their own way... might signal a large write-in???