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Iowa Straw Poll Hosts GOP Candidates [Results LIVE Thread]
CSPAN ^ | 8/13/11

Posted on 08/13/2011 2:52:29 PM PDT by advance_copy

GOP contenders compete in today's Ames Straw Poll in Iowa...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012gopprimary; 2012strawpolls; ia2012; iowa; strawpoll; writeinsarahpalin
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Fox News and MSNBC if you are so inclined are LIVE from Ames, IA and the results should be in by about 6:16pm eastern time.

FNC just announced Bachmann will be on five Sunday shows tomorrow morning.

1 posted on 08/13/2011 2:52:35 PM PDT by advance_copy
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To: advance_copy

Spinning her defeat?


2 posted on 08/13/2011 2:53:57 PM PDT by rjeffries
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To: advance_copy
Ron Paul wins, which means nothing, and Pawlenty and Santorum finish so far down that they both drop out.

I'll check back tomorrow to see if my fearless (and entirely predictable) prediction bears out.

3 posted on 08/13/2011 2:55:01 PM PDT by TonyInOhio ( Resist we much!)
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To: advance_copy

For the sake of the future relevance of the Iowa straw poll, the folks that put on this event must be desperately hoping Ron Paul doesn’t win.


4 posted on 08/13/2011 2:55:48 PM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: advance_copy

Bachmann gave out 6,000 voting tickets so it will be interesting to see how she fairs. They all give them out but I wouldn’t discount Paul this time around.


5 posted on 08/13/2011 2:56:00 PM PDT by deport ( In Texas it's hotter than two goats fighting in a jalapeno patch.)
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To: rjeffries

the only candidate that actually walks the walk. what a shame.


6 posted on 08/13/2011 2:56:13 PM PDT by RC one (whatever.)
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To: TonyInOhio

If we’re taking bets, my money says Ron Paul does worse than expected tonight.


7 posted on 08/13/2011 2:56:13 PM PDT by advance_copy (Stand for life or nothing at all)
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To: advance_copy

Ok, how is it that when you have to pay $30 to vote and there are two candidates known for paying people’s voting tax, just how is a straw poll an indication of anything?


8 posted on 08/13/2011 2:56:19 PM PDT by svcw (democrats are liars, it's a given)
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To: advance_copy

From a known to me trustworthy source:

https://twitter.com/#!/iowanews1/status/102487621053317121

@iowanews1 Gary Barrett

Hearing that we could have 16 thousand here in Ames and Bachmann could get a big chunk of that vote. #iowastrawpoll


9 posted on 08/13/2011 2:56:52 PM PDT by Keith in Iowa (Hope & Change - I'm out of hope, and change is all I have left every week | FR Class of 1998 |)
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To: advance_copy

I’ll bet there is no clear winner.


10 posted on 08/13/2011 2:57:14 PM PDT by RC one (whatever.)
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To: RC one

She’s Washington D.C. True and Blue. I am not fooled by these people like others are. I’m sick of Washington. I want to blow it up, not keep the status quo.


11 posted on 08/13/2011 2:57:57 PM PDT by rjeffries
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To: Keith in Iowa

Michele Bachmann is serving the best food or the most, it seems. :-)


12 posted on 08/13/2011 2:58:36 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ... Godspeed .. Monthly Donor Onboard .. Obama: Epic Fail or Bust!!!)
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To: advance_copy
I'll throw in my prediction here.

The next Republican President of the United States will not place in the top 5 in this year's Ames straw poll.

13 posted on 08/13/2011 2:58:36 PM PDT by cc2k ( If having an "R" makes you conservative, does walking into a barn make you a horse's (_*_)?)
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To: svcw

>>>Ok, how is it that when you have to pay $30 to vote and there are two candidates known for paying people’s voting tax, just how is a straw poll an indication of anything?

It’s an indication of the strength of a campaign organization’s ability to motivate its supporters.


14 posted on 08/13/2011 2:58:51 PM PDT by Keith in Iowa (Hope & Change - I'm out of hope, and change is all I have left every week | FR Class of 1998 |)
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To: advance_copy

I’ll take that bet.

What’s the stakes? I guarantee no worse than 2nd. Deal?


15 posted on 08/13/2011 2:58:59 PM PDT by rjeffries
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To: svcw

Exactly what Rick Perry must have thought. And he may be right. But the media are there, and it is a test of campaign organizational strength.

A little-known candidate, just as did Huckabee in ‘08, could make enough of a name for themselves by finishing well.


16 posted on 08/13/2011 2:59:47 PM PDT by advance_copy (Stand for life or nothing at all)
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To: Longbow1969
For the sake of the future relevance of the Iowa straw poll, the folks that put on this event must be desperately hoping Ron Paul doesn’t win.

You know he will win. Thanks to his small but vocal band of supporters he wins most every poll. What he can't win is a presidential election -- and they can make all the noise about it they want but they just can't change that.

17 posted on 08/13/2011 3:00:42 PM PDT by South40 (Primaries are about choosing a conservative candidate, not settling on a Rove RINO)
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To: advance_copy

Watching Bachmann on C-Span - could somebody tell her she doesn’t have to shout if she’s holding a microphone?! I’m interested in what she has to say, but the yelling is hard to listen to. Does she always shout like this?


18 posted on 08/13/2011 3:01:37 PM PDT by lucyblue
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To: South40

Relax. Ron Paul isn’t winning today. His crowd was not as large and obnoxious as I thought it would be. Herman Cain’s crowd was larger and for that matter, so was Tim Pawlenty’s.


19 posted on 08/13/2011 3:02:13 PM PDT by parksstp (Articulate Conservatives look for Converts. RINO's look for Democrat Heretics.)
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To: rjeffries

Here are the stakes. If Ron Paul gets 2nd place or better, I post in big bold font that “rjeffries was absolutely right in posting brilliant analysis”. If not, you post in big bold font that “advance_copy was absolutely right in posting brilliant analysis”.


20 posted on 08/13/2011 3:02:48 PM PDT by advance_copy (Stand for life or nothing at all)
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To: advance_copy
RP made a great speech..looked a little old.

The only ones I saw who had flag pins on were MB and HC.

MB changed her attire a few minutes later. Not a positive for me, but that;s just me and I didn't see coverage of Cain.

AFAIC Cain won...

I'm still behind Sarah. If she doesn't get in it's Cain for me.

21 posted on 08/13/2011 3:03:22 PM PDT by prisoner6 (Right Wing Nuts bolt The Constitution together as the loose screws of the Left fall out!)
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To: South40

I watched the speeches and really enjoyed Herman Cain. He is a very inspiring speaker. All of them had great points and were taking the fight to Obama and the Dems.


22 posted on 08/13/2011 3:03:37 PM PDT by antceecee (Bless us Father.. have mercy on us and protect us from evil.)
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To: parksstp; All

Since write-ins are possible does anyone have a feeling for what Sarah Palin will do. Just curious...


23 posted on 08/13/2011 3:04:09 PM PDT by sissyjane (Did you plug the hole yet Daddy????)
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To: svcw
just how is a straw poll an indication of anything?

Well -- it isn't! But I guess people are so eager to vote against Obama that they will spend hours of TV time (and megabytes of bandwidth) trying desperately to attach some meaning to this. In a perverse way, I hope Ron Paul wins it. At least then everyone will agree with us that it was meaningless.

24 posted on 08/13/2011 3:04:38 PM PDT by BfloGuy (Inheritance taxes are not taxes; they are expropriation. -- L. Von Mises)
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To: Longbow1969
It is a fund raising event with absolutely no scientific polling credence. The people that put it on understand that... but they have to keep the hype to make the bucks.

LLS

25 posted on 08/13/2011 3:05:04 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer (Certified Al Palin Hobbit Terrorist)
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To: lucyblue

LOL... my husband just said the same thing to me. I think she is trying to drum up excitement in the crowd, but at some point she needs to realize the shouting gets old.


26 posted on 08/13/2011 3:05:24 PM PDT by antceecee (Bless us Father.. have mercy on us and protect us from evil.)
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To: Keith in Iowa

Paying people to show up and making sure they have the $30 to vote, is an indication of money not organization.


27 posted on 08/13/2011 3:05:45 PM PDT by svcw (democrats are liars, it's a given)
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To: cc2k

I second that emotion! (A little Smokey!)


28 posted on 08/13/2011 3:07:00 PM PDT by FrdmLvr (culture, language, borders)
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To: parksstp
“His crowd was not as large and obnoxious as I thought it would be. Herman Cain’s crowd was larger and for that matter,”

That wasn't what I saw.
But we will shortly know. The Paulites are motivated. I saw probably as many Paulite shirts as anyone.
But who knows; only the votes cast matter.

29 posted on 08/13/2011 3:07:33 PM PDT by HereInTheHeartland (I love how the FR spellchecker doesn't recognize the word "Obama")
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To: antceecee

I enjoyed Cain’s speech also. So much so that I plan to watch it again later when Mrs. 40 returns.


30 posted on 08/13/2011 3:07:45 PM PDT by South40 (Primaries are about choosing a conservative candidate, not settling on a Rove RINO)
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To: sissyjane

My guess is 6% or more wouldn’t be out of the question for her and Perry.

My updated guess:

Bachmann 33%
Cain: 20%
Paul: 15%
Pawlenty: 13%
Romney: 10%
Gingrich: 2%
Santorum: 3%
Huntsman,McCotter <1%
Perry/Palin/Write-Ins 6%

+/- a few points


31 posted on 08/13/2011 3:08:26 PM PDT by parksstp (Articulate Conservatives look for Converts. RINO's look for Democrat Heretics.)
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To: svcw

If you say so genius... ::rolleyes::


32 posted on 08/13/2011 3:08:31 PM PDT by Keith in Iowa (Hope & Change - I'm out of hope, and change is all I have left every week | FR Class of 1998 |)
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To: advance_copy
lol! I love wagering.

I tried to wager a very vocal Paul supporter that Paul wouldn't get the nomination. The bet was, the loser pays $100 to be contributed to Free Republic. As vocal as they are and as adamant as they can be regarding their hero, I just couldn't get a taker.

33 posted on 08/13/2011 3:10:38 PM PDT by South40 (Primaries are about choosing a conservative candidate, not settling on a Rove RINO)
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To: parksstp

LOL Drudge Report has a big picture of an ear of corn with the top headline (in red) “And the winner is...”


34 posted on 08/13/2011 3:10:43 PM PDT by advance_copy (Stand for life or nothing at all)
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To: rjeffries

she has walked the walk. She is the most conservative candidate in Iowa. I would like to see her as POTUS. It’s a shame that the rest of the field is so much less conservative.


35 posted on 08/13/2011 3:10:58 PM PDT by RC one (whatever.)
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To: advance_copy

ok, deal


36 posted on 08/13/2011 3:11:06 PM PDT by rjeffries
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To: Keith in Iowa
How cute. RP wins many of these because he pays people to vote, if he had organization he'd actually win.
37 posted on 08/13/2011 3:11:45 PM PDT by svcw (democrats are liars, it's a given)
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To: cc2k

Is your post suggesting that a republican president will be elected in the 2012 election? As written, your post can be interpreted in different ways.


38 posted on 08/13/2011 3:14:23 PM PDT by sanjuanbob (Festina Lente)
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To: antceecee; lucyblue

She did during the GOP debate the other night too when she said, “Obama will be a one term President!”


39 posted on 08/13/2011 3:14:47 PM PDT by KansasGirl
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To: BfloGuy; svcw

It’s a good way to start building up your momentum. Little victories add up.


40 posted on 08/13/2011 3:15:43 PM PDT by RC one (whatever.)
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Listen live for spin, and results when available:

http://www.whoradio.com/main.html

Just heard host Simon Conway say one campaign operative claimed that at least 20% of the people the operative dealt with today were Obama voters... interesting...


41 posted on 08/13/2011 3:17:36 PM PDT by Keith in Iowa (Hope & Change - I'm out of hope, and change is all I have left every week | FR Class of 1998 |)
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To: parksstp

As many as 15,000 votes may be cast today.


42 posted on 08/13/2011 3:19:15 PM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (I am declaring 2011 the year of ME.)
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To: KansasGirl

I am a Bachmann supporter, but I humorously invented my own Bachmann “drinking game”

Take a shot whenever:

1. She mentions Obama will be a “one term President”
2. She is a Federal Tax Attorney
3. She understands the tax code
4. She and her husband created a business and jobs
5. She knows how to create jobs
6. She raised 5 children and took in 23 foster kids
7. She will repeal Obamacare

if you don’t get sent to the emergency room for alcohol poisoning by then:

8. She is a strong social conservative
9. She grew up in IA and is a 7th Generation Iowan.
10. The Sullivan Brothers
11. She grew up in a single parent home.

by then, hope you aren’t dead yet.

All joking aside, I wish she’d get to the more substantive stuff and plans.


43 posted on 08/13/2011 3:20:11 PM PDT by parksstp (Articulate Conservatives look for Converts. RINO's look for Democrat Heretics.)
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To: Keith in Iowa

Huntsman voters, ya think?


44 posted on 08/13/2011 3:21:00 PM PDT by KansasGirl
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To: parksstp

I like Herman Cain. I have not yet made up my mind.

I am surprised, though, that my niece and nephew who are 20 something and 30 something. Nephew not religious...niece VERY Christian... they both went for Cain independently.

This happened after the Fox debate. They said ... “we like THAT guy!”

I wonder if people are underestimating how much Cain can resonate with a younger generation.


45 posted on 08/13/2011 3:21:31 PM PDT by Winstons Julia (when liberals rant, it's called free speech; when conservatives vent, it's called hate speech.)
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To: parksstp

12. She mentions Congress giving Obama “a 2 trillion $ blank check.”


46 posted on 08/13/2011 3:23:20 PM PDT by KansasGirl
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To: gov_bean_ counter

Should be more than than. They predicted Bachmann sold 6,000. 40% of the vote would be pretty darn impressive. While I think she’s done well, that would be way beyond expectations. Likewise, if she is <25% or finishes worst than first, it may raise serious doubts about her organization skills, especially if Pawlenty does better than expected.


47 posted on 08/13/2011 3:23:53 PM PDT by parksstp (Articulate Conservatives look for Converts. RINO's look for Democrat Heretics.)
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To: parksstp

This number was from Fox, fwiw.


48 posted on 08/13/2011 3:24:40 PM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (I am declaring 2011 the year of ME.)
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To: Winstons Julia

I think Cain is a dark horse. I think a lot of people who do not think of him as top tier favor him as their 2nd choice


49 posted on 08/13/2011 3:25:49 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving politicians more tax money is like giving addicts free drugs to cure their addiction)
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Early “rumors” on turnout...

Record number of participants.... record number of tickets bought by people paying their own way... might signal a large write-in???


50 posted on 08/13/2011 3:26:58 PM PDT by Keith in Iowa (Hope & Change - I'm out of hope, and change is all I have left every week | FR Class of 1998 |)
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