Skip to comments.Joe Bastardi Forecasts Irene To Be A Top Mid Atlantic Hurricane (More Westerly Track?)
Posted on 08/25/2011 6:40:54 AM PDT by Rational Thought
WeatherBELL Analytics Meteorologist Joe Bastardi predicts Irene to be a cross between Hazel and the Mid Atlantic Hurricane of 1821. This will make Irene a top three hurricane since 1800.
(Excerpt) Read more at weatherbell.com ...
Will be interesting to see how closely Irene follows the computer models.
I watch the other weather channel with Peter Prickilini.
His cousin is Dick Doucherelli.
if it can get on land earlier and lose some steam, it may just start to fizzle as it heads north.
I didn’t think it possible, but that site loads slower than FR.
What does this track mean for a storm surge for NYC?
A lot of that depends on when Irene crosses Long Island. I have seen speculation that if it comes in near high tide there could be very serious flooding.
The Cantor-gasm erupts on Cape Cod!!!
Sean has been having him on everyday for updates.That guy knows his stuff.
Joe has been the official Weatherman at the Liberty household ever since he advised people in the track of Katrina to “Run for your lives” (he was at Accuwheather then).
It is the flooding that will do the damage....except along the coast
The Jim Cantore Watch is now focused on Cape Cod...
I’ve been following the professional chatter on americanwx.com. They have been talking about a major downgrade for a day or two now. They said that you’d know the final nail in the coffin of the storm would be when Cantore showed up on Cape Cod... just sayin.
Guess what (I think)....we just had a 3.4 earthquake in the adirondacks here in NYS...We’ve had them there before.
I like Joe's graphics. He must be channeling the late Nash Roberts - who did so much with colored chalk and later, dry-erase boards and markers.
Am I reading this right? Bastardi is forecasting Irene to be heading up the Hudson River valley? If so; that is VERY interesting...
Based in Joe’s track the Eye looks like it’s going straight over my house. WEEEEEEEEE
Earthquakes, hurricanes; are frogs next?
The dead rising from the grave! Human sacrifice, dogs and cats living together... mass hysteria!
“Earthquakes, hurricanes; are frogs next? “
No, what happens next is obama comes back from vacation!
I think the locusts will come before the frogs. And after the frogs, a Lady Gaga concert. We’re all doomed.
Doomage. It is the end of the world!
THE NEW OFFICIAL TRACK HAS BEEN NUDGED WEST AS WELL.
So, in my town it's been hail, earthquake, hurricane (plus I stubbed my toe this morning).
I’m in central (M)assachusetts. With a western track we’re a lot more screwed because it’s worse being on the eastern side of a hurricane because of tornado threats but there is a couple of up sides. Less rain. The more land it travels through the less powerful it will be. Also the more west it goes the less of a tornado threat.
I’ll have my generator all ready to go with a line running to the house ready to run my sump pump. If we lose power I will be ready. Sump pump comes first, anything else is secondary. Here in central MA we should be fortunate than most because we had a killer ice storm in December of 2008 that took down all weak trees and branches. They also took down or trimmed any ill trees that didn’t come down so my town will fare better than most power wise. I guess we’ll see but I’ll be ready.
Unfortunately; New England is looking at bad storms today which will further saturate the soil...if Irene is still packing plenty of wind; trees WILL come down. Power crews could be very busy early next week...
While I feel bad for the folks up there, at least America will learn that the South is not the only region with mobile homes.
Joe Bastardi forecaste ping.
Thanks for the ping. I’m glad we got a new emergency generator a few months ago.
If you look at the track of the 1938 hurrican..the so called “Long Island Express”... it was well offshore of the coast, and looked like it would follow the classic clockwise curve up and out to sea..when, all of a sudden..just about when it was passing the Outer Banks, all of a sudden it turned NW..and made a beeline for Long Island..and then RI...one never knows..
Any Rhode Island Freepers here? I feel a little like at heart I am a Rhode Islander as I lived there once and still go back as often as possible. I love the place.
Exactly...look at the last-minute turn Charley made in Florida a few years back...
Do you have any idea , in NYC alone, how many terraces and rooftop gardens there are..I'd say it's in the hundreds of thousand....and all of them have chairs, tables, plants....which can become lethal missiles if not brought inside...
Surprises me, too. After going through Ike, I just want to shake ‘em all and tell tehm to hurry up and get ready and be prepared!
I remember the horrific flooding from Agnes, but wind wasn't the big issue with that storm...Irene will be a different story.
Come to think of it...wasn't there a 'It Could Happen Tomorrow' show based on a cat-5 hitting New York? This won't be a cat-5, but it will be nasty if it hits NY...a track just west of the city would be the worse-case scenario.
I’m hoping NE PA will be spared.
I hope so, too, angcat!
You will likely get a lot of rain but winds not so much.
That’s fine I don’t mind the rain.
Likely this storm will pass right over or very close to NYC. It won’t be pretty. Don’t be in a tunnel or the subway.
Here in central MA it will be the winds and possible tornado activity being on the east side of the hurricane. I would prefer the west side of it and I’d take the rain instead. I’m praying this things passes off the coast or if it does go west it goes WAY west.
I’m in the Merrimack Valley in NE Massachusetts and we’re dug in. My mom tells awful stories about the Hurricane of ‘38 and I’d rather not have my own tales to tell. But if it’s my turn to write the stories, then so be it.
Generator, with extra gas — check. Chainsaw, with gas pre-mixed — check. Food — lots of it. Water — stockpiled. Charcoal for the barbecue — check. Batteries in the radio and kerosene in the lanterns — check. Extra bedding for friends and family who might need shelter — check. Neighbor’s scary-ass tree leaning over my house — well, umm.
OK, all set. Bring it on!
This is New England, kiddies. We’re supposed to be leathery old yankees who can ride out any-damn-thing, from the redcoats to hurricanes to nor’easters.
Irene ... bring your best, bitch.