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Joe Bastardi Forecasts Irene To Be A Top Mid Atlantic Hurricane (More Westerly Track?)
Weather Bell ^ | August 25, 2011 | WeatherBell Admin

Posted on 08/25/2011 6:40:54 AM PDT by Rational Thought

WeatherBELL Analytics Meteorologist Joe Bastardi predicts Irene to be a cross between Hazel and the Mid Atlantic Hurricane of 1821. This will make Irene a top three hurricane since 1800.

(Excerpt) Read more at weatherbell.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneirene; irene; weather
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Track (prediction) map at the link.
1 posted on 08/25/2011 6:40:58 AM PDT by Rational Thought
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To: Rational Thought

Will be interesting to see how closely Irene follows the computer models.


2 posted on 08/25/2011 6:41:52 AM PDT by ilovesarah2012
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To: ilovesarah2012

I watch the other weather channel with Peter Prickilini.


3 posted on 08/25/2011 6:44:52 AM PDT by ImJustAnotherOkie (zerogottago)
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To: Rational Thought
The Jim Cantore Watch is now focused on Cape Cod...
4 posted on 08/25/2011 6:46:19 AM PDT by Hatteras
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To: ilovesarah2012
Hazel! I remember Hazel when we got hit with 1t in Utica, NY 1954. Really made a mess.
5 posted on 08/25/2011 6:48:33 AM PDT by Wilum (Never loaded a nuke I didn't like)
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To: ImJustAnotherOkie

His cousin is Dick Doucherelli.


6 posted on 08/25/2011 6:49:08 AM PDT by Thane_Banquo
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To: Rational Thought
Wait and sea....OMG...a spelling error pun!!!

if it can get on land earlier and lose some steam, it may just start to fizzle as it heads north.

7 posted on 08/25/2011 6:51:32 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: Rational Thought
That is a fairly alarming wind forecast. It shows maximum wind velocities of 80 - 100 mph for a band from about the NC/SC border up through Washington, DC West and points north; higher closer to the coast. I don't think people are looking a this type of forecast and are just looking at the main storm track and thinking they will be missed.
8 posted on 08/25/2011 6:53:01 AM PDT by Truth29
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To: Rational Thought

I didn’t think it possible, but that site loads slower than FR.


9 posted on 08/25/2011 6:55:01 AM PDT by Arm_Bears (Democrats win because Republicans are afraid of being called racists.)
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To: Truth29
Agreed, and Bastardi is more often right than wrong.

What does this track mean for a storm surge for NYC?

10 posted on 08/25/2011 6:55:38 AM PDT by Rational Thought
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To: Rational Thought
"What does this track mean for a storm surge for NY"

A lot of that depends on when Irene crosses Long Island. I have seen speculation that if it comes in near high tide there could be very serious flooding.

11 posted on 08/25/2011 7:02:17 AM PDT by Truth29
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To: Hatteras
"The Jim Cantore Watch is now focused on Cape Cod..."
12 posted on 08/25/2011 7:09:41 AM PDT by liberateUS
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To: Hatteras
"The Jim Cantore Watch is now focused on Cape Cod..."
13 posted on 08/25/2011 7:11:27 AM PDT by liberateUS
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To: liberateUS
"The Jim Cantore Watch is now focused on Cape Cod..."

The Cantor-gasm erupts on Cape Cod!!!

14 posted on 08/25/2011 7:13:31 AM PDT by liberateUS
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To: Rational Thought
Agreed, and Bastardi is more often right than wrong.

Sean has been having him on everyday for updates.That guy knows his stuff.

15 posted on 08/25/2011 7:13:41 AM PDT by painter (No wonder democrats don't mind taxes.THEY DON'T PAY THEM !)
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To: Rational Thought

Joe has been the official Weatherman at the Liberty household ever since he advised people in the track of Katrina to “Run for your lives” (he was at Accuwheather then).


16 posted on 08/25/2011 7:18:47 AM PDT by Cyber Liberty (Herbert Hoover never allowed US Bonds to drop below AAA rating.)
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To: Cyber Liberty

It is the flooding that will do the damage....except along the coast


17 posted on 08/25/2011 7:27:43 AM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hatteras

The Jim Cantore Watch is now focused on Cape Cod...

_________________________________________________

I’ve been following the professional chatter on americanwx.com. They have been talking about a major downgrade for a day or two now. They said that you’d know the final nail in the coffin of the storm would be when Cantore showed up on Cape Cod... just sayin.


18 posted on 08/25/2011 7:33:28 AM PDT by Red Boots
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To: Truth29

Guess what (I think)....we just had a 3.4 earthquake in the adirondacks here in NYS...We’ve had them there before.


19 posted on 08/25/2011 7:38:29 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: Rational Thought

I like Joe's graphics. He must be channeling the late Nash Roberts - who did so much with colored chalk and later, dry-erase boards and markers.

20 posted on 08/25/2011 7:41:16 AM PDT by Charles Martel (Endeavor to persevere...)
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To: Rational Thought
Bastardi is a rogue weatherman. Maybe that's why I pay alot of attention to what he says. Anybody can read a computer generated forecast.
21 posted on 08/25/2011 7:41:50 AM PDT by McGruff (a Sarah Palin supporter and proud of it.)
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To: Charles Martel

Am I reading this right? Bastardi is forecasting Irene to be heading up the Hudson River valley? If so; that is VERY interesting...


22 posted on 08/25/2011 7:45:46 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: Rational Thought

Based in Joe’s track the Eye looks like it’s going straight over my house. WEEEEEEEEE


23 posted on 08/25/2011 7:49:47 AM PDT by Malsua
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To: Sacajaweau
"Guess what (I think)....we just had a 3.4 earthquake in the adirondacks here in NYS...We’ve had them there before."

Earthquakes, hurricanes; are frogs next?

24 posted on 08/25/2011 7:50:59 AM PDT by Truth29
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To: Truth29
Earthquakes, hurricanes; are frogs next?

The dead rising from the grave! Human sacrifice, dogs and cats living together... mass hysteria!

25 posted on 08/25/2011 7:52:38 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: Truth29

“Earthquakes, hurricanes; are frogs next? “

No, what happens next is obama comes back from vacation!


26 posted on 08/25/2011 8:01:46 AM PDT by Bulwinkle (Alec, a.k.a. Daffy Duck)
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To: Truth29

I think the locusts will come before the frogs. And after the frogs, a Lady Gaga concert. We’re all doomed.


27 posted on 08/25/2011 8:02:34 AM PDT by p. henry
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To: Bulwinkle
"No, what happens next is obama comes back from vacation!"

Doomage. It is the end of the world!

28 posted on 08/25/2011 8:04:08 AM PDT by Truth29
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To: Hatteras; All
As of 11am from the NWS.......

THE NEW OFFICIAL TRACK HAS BEEN NUDGED WEST AS WELL.

29 posted on 08/25/2011 8:12:06 AM PDT by Rational Thought
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To: Rational Thought
This is getting interesting...although the paths aren't similar; if Irene follows the path Bastardi predicts; are we looking at Agnes-level destruction?

OMG.

30 posted on 08/25/2011 8:17:04 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: Truth29
Coincidentally, the insurance adjustor will be chez moi on Monday morning to assess the damage from the monster hail of three weeks ago. So far the car damage amounts to $15k spread out over three vehicles. The damage to the house could top that if I need a new roof.

So, in my town it's been hail, earthquake, hurricane (plus I stubbed my toe this morning).

31 posted on 08/25/2011 8:23:33 AM PDT by wtc911 ("How you gonna get down that hill?")
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To: Rational Thought
It means the yutes are starting looting plan.
32 posted on 08/25/2011 8:30:34 AM PDT by boomop1
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To: Rational Thought

I’m in central (M)assachusetts. With a western track we’re a lot more screwed because it’s worse being on the eastern side of a hurricane because of tornado threats but there is a couple of up sides. Less rain. The more land it travels through the less powerful it will be. Also the more west it goes the less of a tornado threat.

I’ll have my generator all ready to go with a line running to the house ready to run my sump pump. If we lose power I will be ready. Sump pump comes first, anything else is secondary. Here in central MA we should be fortunate than most because we had a killer ice storm in December of 2008 that took down all weak trees and branches. They also took down or trimmed any ill trees that didn’t come down so my town will fare better than most power wise. I guess we’ll see but I’ll be ready.


33 posted on 08/25/2011 8:35:28 AM PDT by Peter from Rutland
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To: Peter from Rutland

Unfortunately; New England is looking at bad storms today which will further saturate the soil...if Irene is still packing plenty of wind; trees WILL come down. Power crews could be very busy early next week...


34 posted on 08/25/2011 8:56:31 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: Rational Thought

While I feel bad for the folks up there, at least America will learn that the South is not the only region with mobile homes.


35 posted on 08/25/2011 9:03:51 AM PDT by Crawdad
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To: zot; Interesting Times; SeraphimApprentice

Joe Bastardi forecaste ping.


36 posted on 08/25/2011 9:10:02 AM PDT by GreyFriar (Spearhead - 3rd Armored Division 75-78 & 83-87)
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To: GreyFriar

Thanks for the ping. I’m glad we got a new emergency generator a few months ago.


37 posted on 08/25/2011 9:20:01 AM PDT by zot
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To: who knows what evil?

If you look at the track of the 1938 hurrican..the so called “Long Island Express”... it was well offshore of the coast, and looked like it would follow the classic clockwise curve up and out to sea..when, all of a sudden..just about when it was passing the Outer Banks, all of a sudden it turned NW..and made a beeline for Long Island..and then RI...one never knows..


38 posted on 08/25/2011 9:22:24 AM PDT by ken5050 (Should Christie RUN in 2012? NO!!! But he should WALK three miles every day!)
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To: Hatteras

Any Rhode Island Freepers here? I feel a little like at heart I am a Rhode Islander as I lived there once and still go back as often as possible. I love the place.


39 posted on 08/25/2011 9:23:31 AM PDT by Conservativegreatgrandma
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To: ken5050

Exactly...look at the last-minute turn Charley made in Florida a few years back...


40 posted on 08/25/2011 9:30:58 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: who knows what evil?
Kind of surprising we don't have a lot more, and longer threads on Irene..going on..like folks in NE are in denial..they'e not used to them..so will wait until it smacks them in the face....

Do you have any idea , in NYC alone, how many terraces and rooftop gardens there are..I'd say it's in the hundreds of thousand....and all of them have chairs, tables, plants....which can become lethal missiles if not brought inside...

41 posted on 08/25/2011 9:37:37 AM PDT by ken5050 (Should Christie RUN in 2012? NO!!! But he should WALK three miles every day!)
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To: ken5050

Surprises me, too. After going through Ike, I just want to shake ‘em all and tell tehm to hurry up and get ready and be prepared!


42 posted on 08/25/2011 9:42:39 AM PDT by txmissy
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To: ken5050
Posting activity will probably pick up as the storm tracks closer...you are right about one thing, though...I don't think they have ANY idea what could happen here...

I remember the horrific flooding from Agnes, but wind wasn't the big issue with that storm...Irene will be a different story.

Come to think of it...wasn't there a 'It Could Happen Tomorrow' show based on a cat-5 hitting New York? This won't be a cat-5, but it will be nasty if it hits NY...a track just west of the city would be the worse-case scenario.

43 posted on 08/25/2011 9:47:34 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: Peter from Rutland

I’m hoping NE PA will be spared.


44 posted on 08/25/2011 10:21:13 AM PDT by angcat (RUN SARAH RUN!)
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To: angcat
I’m hoping NE PA will be spared.

I hope so, too, angcat!

45 posted on 08/25/2011 10:42:57 AM PDT by American Quilter (aka American Hobbit)
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To: angcat

You will likely get a lot of rain but winds not so much.


46 posted on 08/25/2011 11:55:04 AM PDT by Peter from Rutland
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To: Peter from Rutland

That’s fine I don’t mind the rain.


47 posted on 08/25/2011 12:01:41 PM PDT by angcat (RUN SARAH RUN!)
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To: who knows what evil?

Likely this storm will pass right over or very close to NYC. It won’t be pretty. Don’t be in a tunnel or the subway.

Here in central MA it will be the winds and possible tornado activity being on the east side of the hurricane. I would prefer the west side of it and I’d take the rain instead. I’m praying this things passes off the coast or if it does go west it goes WAY west.


48 posted on 08/25/2011 12:04:01 PM PDT by Peter from Rutland
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To: Rational Thought
All I want to know is what tract will most disrupt Obama’s vacation and weekend gold outings.
49 posted on 08/25/2011 12:04:51 PM PDT by Shqipo (I am the unofficial originator of the Mega-Bump! Only use judiciously.)
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To: Rational Thought

I’m in the Merrimack Valley in NE Massachusetts and we’re dug in. My mom tells awful stories about the Hurricane of ‘38 and I’d rather not have my own tales to tell. But if it’s my turn to write the stories, then so be it.

Generator, with extra gas — check. Chainsaw, with gas pre-mixed — check. Food — lots of it. Water — stockpiled. Charcoal for the barbecue — check. Batteries in the radio and kerosene in the lanterns — check. Extra bedding for friends and family who might need shelter — check. Neighbor’s scary-ass tree leaning over my house — well, umm.

OK, all set. Bring it on!

This is New England, kiddies. We’re supposed to be leathery old yankees who can ride out any-damn-thing, from the redcoats to hurricanes to nor’easters.

Irene ... bring your best, bitch.


50 posted on 08/25/2011 2:30:13 PM PDT by DNME (We need new Sons of Liberty and their knack for civil disobedience.)
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