Posted on 08/30/2011 2:31:49 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
“Our job, and the job of the Republican candidates, is obvious: bypass the MSM.”
Indeed. And FR is a good place to start.
We have smart people knowledgeable in PR, publishing, writing, SEO, web design, blogs and other communication skills. We just need a way to knit it all together and go kick obuma’s Kenyan butt.
(Good post, ArrogantBustard)
You have FReepMail
My favorite answer to a question like this is to hide and watch.
I'd love to tell you but not in an open forum like this. If you really want to know FReepmail me and I might tell you. I wouldn't want everybody to move there and spoil it for me. I've been looking at this certain country for the past year and learning as much as I can about it. It looks promising.
“Based on his “13 keys” model, quantitative historian Allan Lichtman “
THIS GUY? OMG, he is a HUGH leftist. A real maroon. Don’t believe anything this bozo says.
>>> Every streak comes to and end, especially the remarkable ones.
It boils down to “The incumbent always has an edge”. That’s why you need a credible candidate as your challenger.
>>> Dude, it’s Allan Lichtman, I wouldn’t expect anything else out of him but a prediction of victory for Obama, they’re on the same team.
Yeah everybody is an enemy and everything is a conspiracy. But I recall nobody objected in 2004 when this guy’s system said GWB would win.
1. After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the US House of Representatives than it did after the previous midterm elections. Bush 1; Kerry 0.
2. There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination. Bush 2; Kerry 0.
3. The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president. Bush 3; Kerry 0.
4. There is no significant (more than 5 per cent) third-party candidate. Bush 4; Kerry 0.
5. The economy is not in recession during the election campaign. Bush 5; Kerry 0.
6. Real per-capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms. Bush 5; Kerry 1.
7. The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy (on a New Deal or Reagan Revolution scale). Bush 5; Kerry 2.
8. There is no sustained social unrest during the term. Bush 6; Kerry 2.
9. The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal (i.e., touches the President personally). Bush 7; Kerry 2.
10. The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs (9/11 counts, as did Pearl Harbor). Bush 7; Kerry 3.
11. The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs (Afghanistan counts even if Iraq does not). Bush 8; Kerry 3.
12. The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero (on a JFK, Eisenhower, Reagan scale). Bush 8; Kerry 4.
13. The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero. Bush 9; Kerry 4.
“So even though the latest polls put Kerry up to 5 per cent ahead of Bush, Lichtman thinks the President is a shoo-in with his nine keys.”
counts:
1. No contested primary
2. Incumbency
3. No third-party candidate
4. Major domestic-policy changes in his first term
5. No social unrest
6. No major scandals
7. No major foreign-policy failures
8. Major foreign-policy achievements in his first term (killing Bin Laden)
9. Little charisma by his likely opponent
He gets 1, 2 and 4. The rest are losers for O. He may face a challenge; there is always a 3rd party; social unrest is at a fervent pitch; scandals occur daily; Bin Laden was a Bush achievement; Sarah is the meaning of charisma.
We will see. I am ready to vote right now.
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