Are the Jews such a large demographic they would even matter in a presidential campaign? Perhaps at the state level? Still, every Jew in New York could probably vote against 0bama, and he’d still win the NY electoral votes.
Florida is a different matter.
Votes no. Donations yes. Also, Jewish Americans tend to be opinion leaders due to their greater-than-average prominence in professions, academia, punditry, media, commerce, NGOs, etc. Democrats cannot win without enjoying the continuing support of a preponderance of Jewish Americans and the Democrats know it. This is why they are panicking.
The issue is the fundraising. Jews donated to the Obama campaign disproportionately to their numbers. That is gone.
mmmm... not so sure about that. If every Jew in New York voted GOP, that would be about a 3 million vote swing (eliminating those 20%-30% who already voted GOP in 2008) towards the GOP. I think that would push NY if not directly into the GOP column pretty darn close. And whatever he did to alienate all those Jewish people surely would send others running with him.
I also agree, it is the fundraising and volunteerism that count just as much. Not just money, but time, bundling, phone banks, outreach at synagogues and senior centers all suffer and wipe out the enthusiasm. It will hurt. I hope it hurts. Would be great to see the Dems lose New York (or New Jersey) in a Presidential election. Would be great to see them lose a Senate Seat.
I think there are large concentrations of Jewish voters in 4 key states: NY, FL, CA and IL. It seems to me that it is not just votes that they have to be concerned about but campaign donations as well.