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The GOP's Genius Plan to Beat Obama in 2012
Mother Jones, via Hot Air ^ | 14 Sep 2011 | Nick Baumann

Posted on 09/15/2011 7:15:39 AM PDT by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus

Republican state legislators in Pennsylvania are pushing a scheme that, if GOPers in other states follow their lead, could cause President Barack Obama to lose the 2012 election—not because of the vote count, but because of new rules. That's not all: There's no legal way for Democrats to stop them.

The problem for Obama, and the opportunity for Republicans, is the electoral college. Every political junkie knows that the presidential election isn't a truly national contest; it's a state-by-state fight, and each state is worth a number of electoral votes equal to the size of the state's congressional delegation. (The District of Columbia also gets three votes.) There are 538 electoral votes up for grabs; win 270, and you're the president.

Here's the rub, though: Each state gets to determine how its electoral votes are allocated. Currently, 48 states and DC use a winner-take-all system in which the candidate who wins the popular vote in the state gets all of its electoral votes. Under the Republican plan—which has been endorsed by top GOPers in both houses of the state Legislature, as well as the governor, Tom Corbett—Pennsylvania would change from this system to one where each congressional district gets its own electoral vote. (Two electoral votes—one for each of the state's two senators—would go to the statewide winner.)

This could cost Obama dearly...

(Excerpt) Read more at motherjones.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012gopprimary; bho2012; election2012; electoralcollege; electoralvotes; motherjones; obama2012
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To: Lady Lucky

Believe me, my in-laws would like to.


41 posted on 09/15/2011 8:14:09 AM PDT by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus ("A gentleman considers what is just; a small man considers what is expedient.")
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To: Salgak
You got it. Seems some folks here are confused. Dems want a national popular vote because they win the urban vote. If we could get states to split their electorals based on the state vote (NOT! national popular vote), the the whole dem strategy would unwind.

This is the kind of thing that could alter the democrat party. If we could split off electorals from NY and California too, then they would have to scale back their pro urban welfare state platform.

42 posted on 09/15/2011 8:22:35 AM PDT by douginthearmy
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus
Sorry, I just posted a similar article.

I hope PA goes ahead with this plan. My first reaction was to oppose it, but the beauty of this plan is it limits the vote fraud. The Rats can't get an entire states electoral votes with the fraudulent votes of the urban centers. It's better than going to the popular vote because vote fraud can then play a role again.

I hope the Pubs in PA have the same kind of courage that the Pubs in WI did.

43 posted on 09/15/2011 8:25:11 AM PDT by wmfights (If you want change support SenateConservatives.com)
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus

California is trying to do this...which would in fact be a huge benefit to the GOP.

But I had some other thoughts about better electoral reform, aimed directly at democrat vote rigging:

1. Simultaneous precinct reporting—have a set time where all precincts report together after all the votes are counted—this would eliminate the practice of dem precincts monitoring returns and ‘finding’ enough votes to sway an election.

2. Blind precinct reporting—until the vote counting is complete and filed with the Secretary of State, precincts cannot identify themselves.

3. Precinct communication blackout—anywhere votes are counted, there should be a complete communication blackout—no cell phones, no texting, no e-mail, no external communications whatsoever, except directly with Secretary of State or registrar of voters as necessary to solve any issues or report count results. EVERY communication in and out of the precinct should be logged and recorded for audit purposes.

Had some other ideas, but too early in the morning to get them down in writing.

Thoughts?


44 posted on 09/15/2011 8:32:31 AM PDT by rottndog (Be Prepared for what's coming AFTER America....)
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To: wmfights
but the beauty of this plan is it limits the vote fraud.

THAT is a good point!

45 posted on 09/15/2011 8:33:23 AM PDT by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus ("A gentleman considers what is just; a small man considers what is expedient.")
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To: Anitius Severinus Boethius
I believe if you did that for all elections back to 1960 (maybe further), you would find that the idea doesn’t change a single election’s results.

Probably true. I didn't go all the way back to 1960, but for 2000 and 2004, using some quickie back-of-the-envelope calculations we see:

2000 - Bush 302 vs. Gore 236, versus the 271-266 actual split

2004 - Bush 331 vs. Kerry 207, versus the 286-251 actual split.

Seems this plan might be a good way to break the lock that urban areas have on electing our President.

46 posted on 09/15/2011 8:36:18 AM PDT by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus ("A gentleman considers what is just; a small man considers what is expedient.")
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus

Well, now I have a pet project to do for the next few days. I’m pretty sure I can dig up election records for Congressional districts somewhere.


47 posted on 09/15/2011 8:48:18 AM PDT by Anitius Severinus Boethius
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To: Anitius Severinus Boethius

Just google “presidential election results congressional district XXXX” where XXXX is the year. SHould be able to pull something up from CQ, etc.


48 posted on 09/15/2011 8:55:02 AM PDT by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus ("A gentleman considers what is just; a small man considers what is expedient.")
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus

The only race in the modern era that would have changed had the Maine/Nebraska Formula been implemented nationwide was 1960. Nixon would have beaten Kennedy.


49 posted on 09/15/2011 8:56:39 AM PDT by Publius
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus
My first reaction was to oppose this, but limiting vote fraud is good. Also, they are awarding 2 EV to the winner of the total state vote.

I live in the lib state of IL. Chicago dominates the state at all levels, but there are huge sections of the state that are not liberal. These areas of the State are meaningless in a presidential election. If this system existed here it would change that.

50 posted on 09/15/2011 9:02:24 AM PDT by wmfights (If you want change support SenateConservatives.com)
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To: Anitius Severinus Boethius; Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus

One thing to keep in mind is each state has 2 EV’s based on the popular vote of the state as well as a breakdown by CD.


51 posted on 09/15/2011 9:05:47 AM PDT by wmfights (If you want change support SenateConservatives.com)
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To: 5thGenTexan
The GOP are genius to them in this case because they are advocating a liberal idea. Proportioning the Electoral votes for a state is a step towards pure populist vote - something they have been pining for since 2000.

There is no way in he** that splitting the electoral votes by district amounts to a popular vote. States like CA with most of the NE counties and districts being Red would take the advantage of the population centers away from the rats. This is a good idea. In fact I would go one step further and mandate that the state has to have an electoral college for state elections and go by the same district by district method.

This method is simply an extension of the electoral college idea, but it breaks it down to the local level and is more fair than the winner take all method we use now which gives the states with heavy rat population centers the advantage and takes the vote away from millions of people.

52 posted on 09/15/2011 9:07:36 AM PDT by calex59
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To: Publius; Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus
The only race in the modern era that would have changed had the Maine/Nebraska Formula been implemented nationwide was 1960. Nixon would have beaten Kennedy.

The election where even the lamestream media admitted a lot of voters got out of their graves to go to the polls.

53 posted on 09/15/2011 9:07:46 AM PDT by wmfights (If you want change support SenateConservatives.com)
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To: rottndog
California is trying to do this...which would in fact be a huge benefit to the GOP.
I don't think this is at all like the California plan. They want to give all the EVs to whoever wins the popular vote statewide. This plan gives out the EVs on a district-by-district basis.

It seems to be helpful for our side, but I note that almost every time someone "fiddles" with the election process to cure a perceived problem, it almost turns around and bites 'em in the butt during the next election.

54 posted on 09/15/2011 9:13:28 AM PDT by Johnny B.
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To: wmfights; Anitius Severinus Boethius

Yes, I factored that into my calcs.


55 posted on 09/15/2011 9:14:34 AM PDT by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus ("A gentleman considers what is just; a small man considers what is expedient.")
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus
The more I'm thinking about this idea the more I like it.
56 posted on 09/15/2011 9:19:40 AM PDT by wmfights (If you want change support SenateConservatives.com)
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus

Don’t need no Stinkin’ GOP plan.

‘The Obama Legacy’

Let the political games begin. Many Democrats, both voters and elected officials, are beginning to wish they had never heard of one Barack Hussein Obama. What appeared initially to be “The One” has morphed into “The None.”

Behind the scenes, Democrats will be working furiously to get rid of this impostor.

http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2011/09/the_obama_legacy.html


57 posted on 09/15/2011 9:39:17 AM PDT by Hotlanta Mike (TeaNami)
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus

WOW !!!! I thought his record alone should do the trick .


58 posted on 09/15/2011 10:10:01 AM PDT by Lionheartusa1 (-: Socialism is the equal distribution of misery :-)
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To: I am Richard Brandon

It shows a lack of a long view. Fix things to our advantage for right now. Tomorrow is a myth. When the Security laws were coming up I thought, yeah, they are needed for now but what will a Democrat president do with them?


59 posted on 09/15/2011 11:22:02 AM PDT by arthurus (Read Hazlitt's "Economics In One Lesson.")
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To: Bronurstomp

And it would further the diminution of the States as politically distinct entities and tend to make them more like Provinces.


60 posted on 09/15/2011 11:30:17 AM PDT by arthurus (Read Hazlitt's "Economics In One Lesson.")
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