Posted on 09/16/2011 11:23:42 AM PDT by Colonel Kangaroo
You're right.
A very real difference between President Bush and Governor Perry is that Perry has never claimed to be a “uniter.” I still love President Bush, because I believe he had the right ideas and ideology. However, he got into trouble over and over with spending and programs like No Child Left Behind because he thought he could get “them” to like him.
Governor Perry knows how to make a deal, but he will not bend in order to avoid being disliked.
Hey, any compliment at all from onyx, is enough to put a skip in anybodies step :)
I just want Obama beat.
Me too and i talk to tons of people. Perry rubs a lot of people the wrong way.
And you think that is perry?
I mean no disrespect Charles, but your opinion is irrelevant to this issue. I was responding to a Perry supporter's assertion that Perry had never said SS was unconstitutional (see post#56). And in that context I provided a quote from Slick Rick that proves he did.
The establishment GOP is in the tank for Mittens...so you'd see skewed numbers like this. When in fact, Perry's numbers are probably above Obama's and Mittens numbers are below Perry's numbers.
Romney and Perry are the same.
I prefer Bachmann or Cain to be honest, but would vote for charles manson over obama at this point.
WUT?
You’re too kind (and silly)....LOL.
I love all of your posts!
So there!
“It’s dangerous to a national political career to talk about the Social Security issue.”
I don’t think the “Social Security” issue is what brought his numbers down. I suspect it is that the “new” to his candidacy has worn off.
At this point, I wouldn’t even attempt to predict how the GOP primary is going to shake out. I don’t see a consistently solid front runner...just a few that “poll” the most. IF Sarah Palin enters, I will be curious to see if it will change things.
I NEVER thought I would say this, but Newt is starting to look good to me. He seems to be the most level headed and statesman like in every debate I have seen. The baggage of his personal life is terrible, but of the current field I like several candidate and dislike several...but when I honestly think about it....he is the only one I really believe has the “gravitas” to be an effective POTUS. It amazes me that I am saying that.....
I agree with your assessment of Newt in the debates to date and with your concern for his personal baggage. It all makes for tough choices.
Obama has no chance: Check out 270towin.com and thanks for playing. Obama is toast and cannot even cheat enough to win. However, we should run like we are 10 points behind even though Obama will be hard pressed to get 220 Electoral votes.
Good strategy if you want to help Obama.
270towin.com
I flipped the following states from Blue to Red (Dem to GOP)
To me, these seem to be certain flips
Florida
North Carolina
Virgina
Indiana
Nevada
That leaves Obama up 285-253
Then some interesting choices out there
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
Colorado
Ohio is the obvious one. Seems to be trending red again. If you add Ohio, then GOP wins 271-267, without getting anything else out there.
But there are ways to win without Ohio
Among them: Pennsylvania state legislature and Republican Gov. adopt plan to switch electoral votes from winner-take-all to a plan that gives a candidate 1 electoral vote for each congressional district won.
So lets go back to a non-Ohio scenario, in which Obama wins
285-253
If GOP splits the 20 in Pennsylvania, then that’s Obama winning, 275-263
So — excluding Ohio — that leaves Wisconsin and Colorado.
Either of those flipping, even without Ohio, gives the GOP a win — so long as Pennsylvania vote goes through and you get that hypothetical split of the 20 EVs in Pennsylvania
By next Labor Day, if the economy stays roughly where it is — 9 percent or more jobless rate, endless drifting with little progress in creating new jobs — the president is one and done.
The last unemployment report before the election will be Nov. 2, just 4 days before people vote. So there could be one last major dose of bad news to send Obama to his political doom.
The big caveat: FDR won re-election twice , in 1936 and 1940, before the war started — even with virtually no progress on improving the jobless rate.
Any challenger will have an uphill battle to unseat an incumbent. Even Ronald Reagan did. Carter only knew the Saturday before the election that he was toast. Until then, Reagan typically had a tiny lead, 1-3 points, but close to the margin of error. That became a landslide only in the final days.
-George
That is an interesting tool which really helped me to know Obama has no chance. I think the Repubs are starting with the 2004 model and will build from there. I do not see Obama getting over 220 no matter who they choose. Obama has a bill but now is tied up with scandal you cannot make this stuff up. Anyway no candidate the Repub choose will lose any state McCain carried and it will get better from there on.
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