Skip to comments.Will Perry Make It?
Posted on 09/17/2011 10:23:58 AM PDT by T.L.Sink
The serious problems Rick Perry faces in the primary and potential general election, outlined by Dick Morris in this video clip, are self-explanatory.
(Excerpt) Read more at dickmorris.com ...
Ask me in a year.
Well at least we’re making headway. At least you now admit that Perry will be the nominee.
Perry leads in nearly every state polls taken to date, Romney has no path to the nomination what so ever, and everyone else is in the low single digits.
Morris is in the tank for the Romney/Bachmann tag team, no doubt.
But of course Romney has a path to the nomination. NH’s pretty much assured for him, he’s got a chance with the Mormon vote in NM to win 2 of the first 4 states, and then he’s in pretty good shape in FL.
Polls 5 months ahead of the first vote don’t really count for much.
and Romney is winning:
california - one poll has Romney slightly ahead (but within the margin of error) and a 2nd poll has them tied there.
And you can probably put Texas in Perry's corner and Massachusetts in Romney's even though neither have been polled.
So how is Romney going to win? where is his path to the nomination with almost every state with an early primary is polling for Perry, as Perry starts racking up wins, the momentum and money will shift further and further towards him.
Now you are projecting. The question is a what if.
Can someone please summarize what are Perry’s biggest failings according to the architect of the Great Clinton’s “Comeback Kid”?
Nope. Palin will take it.
You still blindly follow the lil Martian tootin his Pan pipe playing ya the libertarian lullaby?
“Nope. Palin will take it.”
I bet she won’t.
New Mexico is one of the last primaries along with California on June 5th. And their haven’t been any state polls of it anyway to know which way it’s leaning. And Perry is ahead by 9 in Florida.
But I have a hard time imagining anyone in New Mexico finding a yankee from Mass. compelling.
[At least you now admit that Perry will be the nominee.]
That may be, but if he is forced down our throats by insiders a lot of us will stay home. Perry’s biggest problem is he looks a lot like Bush 3.0
Have you ever looked at where primary polls were five months before the first vote in previous elections? Even just back to 2008 is a good example.
And you would prefer Obama 2.0?
Perry sucks. Romney sucks worse. The fact that these 2 are the frontrunners shows me that Conservatives are the Blacks of the GOP. We complain then get right back on the plantation come election time and vote for whoever the Masters decide should be our nominee. The did it with Dole, they did it with McCain and now we’re getting it again.
2008 is a horrible example, because all the choices bit, and no serious contender from the South.
This would be far more comparible to the 2000 primary with Bush and McCain.
He forgets about the Trans Texas Corridor issue, which turns off property rights and local control advocates.
This isn’t 2008! Everyone was caught up in the Hope and Change delusion. This election is about removing the psychopath in chief from office. It’s also about the economy and jobs.
Dick Morris predicted that Hillary will be president.
Florida will likely be quite a battle, with the SS issue probably giving Mitt a slight edge. On immigration, Perry’s positions are more aligned with Rubio’s and Jeb’s. Those two endorsements may be decisive in Fla.
All good points. As a newly committed Perry supporter, I agree with Morris that bringing these issues up is a healthy part of the vetting process
Dick Morris must be reading the anti-Perry posts on FR — same ridiculous issues, that will have no impact on the election.
There are a lot of FReepers who support Perry and are not "insiders". Besides, the "insiders" guy seems to be Romney.
Stay home = give the Supreme Court nominations away to the Rats.
“As a newly committed Perry supporter, I agree with Morris that bringing these issues up is a healthy part of the vetting process”
Sure, let’s do Obama’s job for him, bash Perry, make sure Romney will be the nominee — yes, I can tell that’s what Perry supporters do. (/sarc)
Dick also said it was a “brilliant decision” at the time McRino suspended his campaign to go to DC and vote for TARP.
From where I sit (fully clothed), Bachmann & Perry are going to split up the tea-party/staunch conservative votes.
In 2000 against Bush in the primaries McCain won:
and AZ his home state.
substitute Utah for AZ because of Romney being Mormon and you have the probable outcome of the 2012 primary. This will be a near repeat of the 2000 primary.
I notice nobody want’s to address your comment on how we snivel about who is in office yet we are the problem . The lesser of 2 evils will not cut it with me anymore . This beloved nwo Mr. Perry can stay in Tejas with his deficits and his open borders .
Huckabee was a serious contender from the South.
Perry is up by 9 in FL (29 vs 20 for Romney). Poll was taken day after last debate.
So somehow primary polls five months before the first primary votes will dictate who wins this cycle? I’m missing your logic.
To say however that Romney has “no path” to the nomination is just delusional, however.
Then stay home. The only people that can force him down your throat are voters in Ia, SC, NH, and Nv, and somewhat Fl. The nominee is usually chosen at that point. But, like 2008, it wasnt some insider trickyness that did it. It was the actual voters. Blame them, not some secret backdoor boogeyman.
Florida wont be close at all, Perry is up by 9 there in the most recent poll.
Morris is also wrong about Gardisil. Virginia requires it, although anyone can opt out.
Here’s another side of that story in Texas.
Santorum’s languishing with 1% in the polls. The Huckster came in second in, I forget which, either votes or delegates.
LOL! Wouldn't surprise me, he's really a Democrat after all. He and Bob Beckel are made for each other. :)
Short of Perry dying of a heart attack, he will be our nominee.
Not only is Perry way ahead in polling everywhere but in the New England states and Michigan (just like McCain in 2000 primary) but think about it... as each of the other candidates drops out.... who are their supporters going to flow towards Perry or Romney?
Perry will get supporters from everyone that drops except Huntsman. So add 1% to Romney’s current numbers and add another 20% to Perry’s already 20 point lead and you get a wipe out of 2000 primary proportions.
Because unless Perry comes back, that is who our nominee is going to be.
Don’t take Perry’s good polls too seriously. He’s the latest newcomer to a big crowd of candidates, most people nationally never heard of him and he’s just begun to be vetted - and what’s come out thus far is only good ammunition for the Dems in a general election. He’s just a McCain-lite.
It’s hard to understand if your not from the south, but people from the south prefer to vote for people from the south.
If Perry wasn’t in the race and Santorum was from the south we would be Huckster 2.0
Why don't you take a look at my posting history before making stupid comments.