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Huge Tumbling Satellite Could Fall to Earth Over US Tonight or Saturday, NASA Says (UPDATED)
Space.com ^ | 9/23/11 | Tariq Malik

Posted on 09/23/2011 10:07:53 AM PDT by Evil Slayer

A huge, dead satellite tumbling to Earth is falling slower than expected, and may now plummet down somewhere over the United States tonight or early Saturday, despite forecasts that it would miss North America entirely, NASA officials now say.

The 6 1/2-ton Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS) was expected to fall to Earth sometime this afternoon (Sept. 23), but changes in the school bus-size satellite's motion may push it to early Saturday, according to NASA's latest observations of the spacecraft.

"The satellite's orientation or configuration apparently has changed, and that is now slowing its descent," NASA officials wrote in a morning status update today. "There is a low probability any debris that survives re-entry will land in the United States, but the possibility cannot be discounted because of this changing rate of descent."

NASA expects about 26 large pieces of the UARS spacecraft to survive re-entry through Earth's atmosphere and reach the planet's surface. The biggest piece should weigh about 300 pounds. The spacecraft is the largest NASA satellite to fall from space uncontrolled since 1979.

(Excerpt) Read more at space.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Technical
KEYWORDS: deadsatellite; nasa; reentry; satellite; uars
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1 posted on 09/23/2011 10:08:00 AM PDT by Evil Slayer
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To: Evil Slayer

Bush’s fault.


2 posted on 09/23/2011 10:09:49 AM PDT by USNBandit (sarcasm engaged at all times)
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To: Evil Slayer

Dang, I thought it was gonna fall on China or India! Now we have to worry about this???


3 posted on 09/23/2011 10:09:49 AM PDT by ilovesarah2012
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To: Evil Slayer

Is it too early for me to start selling pieces of it on E-Bay?


4 posted on 09/23/2011 10:10:18 AM PDT by count-your-change (You don't have be brilliant, not being stupid is enough.)
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To: Evil Slayer
There is a pass over San Diego at 7:47 PDT tonight. It makes a beeline for my home in Idaho on that track as well.
5 posted on 09/23/2011 10:11:27 AM PDT by Myrddin
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To: Evil Slayer

OH NOES!, OH NOES!

THIS IS HUGH AND SERIES!

My BEEBER IS GONNA GET STUNED!


6 posted on 09/23/2011 10:12:42 AM PDT by roaddog727 (It's the Constitution, Stupid!)
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To: Evil Slayer

Odds of being hit by a piece of it 1 in 3200.

Seem kinda high to you?


7 posted on 09/23/2011 10:13:26 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Evil Slayer

Awesome! Fireworks at halftime of tonight’s homecoming game!!!


8 posted on 09/23/2011 10:14:26 AM PDT by Night Hides Not (My dream ticket for 2012 is John Galt & Dagny Taggart!)
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To: Evil Slayer
"I can't deal with this!......"
9 posted on 09/23/2011 10:15:43 AM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: Buckeye McFrog
Odds of being hit by a piece of it 1 in 3200.

Current odds in Vegas are 3150-1.

10 posted on 09/23/2011 10:16:21 AM PDT by Night Hides Not (My dream ticket for 2012 is John Galt & Dagny Taggart!)
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To: Evil Slayer

1600 Pennsylvania Avenue?


11 posted on 09/23/2011 10:17:29 AM PDT by silverleaf (Common sense is not so common - Voltaire)
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To: USNBandit

If it lands somewhere in Washington DC, after an earthquake, hurricane, floods, etc., I’d wonder if we’re being told something.


12 posted on 09/23/2011 10:18:33 AM PDT by COBOL2Java (Obama is the least qualified guy in whatever room he walks into.)
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To: count-your-change

Go ahead and put up an prank Ebay listing for pieces of the satellite and see how long it takes for Ebay to pull it!


13 posted on 09/23/2011 10:19:51 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: Jack Hydrazine

Not sure about you guys, but I’m gonna go take a shower.


14 posted on 09/23/2011 10:22:09 AM PDT by J. Worthington
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To: Myrddin

Where did you find the tracking? I wonder if it will be tracked here like the doomed shuttle was.


15 posted on 09/23/2011 10:22:37 AM PDT by IM2MAD
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To: Buckeye McFrog
Seem kinda high to you?

From the article...

"NASA officials have said the the chances that a piece of UARS debris hits and injures one of the nearly 7 billion people on the planet are about 1 in 3,200. However, the personal odds of you being struck by UARS satellite debris are actually about 1 in several trillion, NASA officials have said."

The 1 in 3,200 is not an individual risk. If it was, there would be a mass casualty event wherever it fell.

16 posted on 09/23/2011 10:23:04 AM PDT by whodathunkit
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Hmmm, 300,000,000 people in the USA so does that mean (300,000,000 / 3200) 93,750 people are going to be hit?

(hint trick question)


17 posted on 09/23/2011 10:23:04 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: Buckeye McFrog
Odds of being hit by a piece of it 1 in 3200.

Seem kinda high to you?

Ah, your statement would mean 2 million people will get clobbered by this thing.

Now, if that could be focused on San Francisco and Manhattan, that may not be such a bad thing...

...but I think NASA meant that there's a 1/3200 chance that ANYONE on the planet gets clobbered by this falling satellite.

18 posted on 09/23/2011 10:23:12 AM PDT by Yossarian ("All the charm of Nixon. All the competency of Carter." - SF Chronicle comment post on Obama)
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To: Evil Slayer

The newsies are pretty excited about this.


19 posted on 09/23/2011 10:23:44 AM PDT by Yardstick
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To: J. Worthington

And wash off all that sparkly, satellite-fairy dust off of you?


20 posted on 09/23/2011 10:27:31 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: Evil Slayer

Good!!!

As long as it falls on top of the WH, Captiol building, UN, or Mecca, and hopefully all four.

Bring it on.


21 posted on 09/23/2011 10:28:59 AM PDT by Gatún(CraigIsaMangoTreeLawyer)
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To: IM2MAD

“Where did you find the tracking?”

http://www.space.com/13018-falling-nasa-satellite-uars-complete-coverage.html


22 posted on 09/23/2011 10:30:54 AM PDT by READINABLUESTATE ((Most leftism can be traced to childhood birthday trauma))
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To: Jack Hydrazine

Not to mention the Feds come knocking on your door. It’s still government property..............


23 posted on 09/23/2011 10:33:14 AM PDT by Red Badger ("Treason doth never prosper.... What's the reason? Why if it prosper, none dare call it treason.")
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To: roaddog727

THAILAND?.............


24 posted on 09/23/2011 10:35:19 AM PDT by Red Badger ("Treason doth never prosper.... What's the reason? Why if it prosper, none dare call it treason.")
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To: USNBandit

Will there be ‘satellite chasers’ from the legal world? Watch out for lawsuits, NASA.


25 posted on 09/23/2011 10:35:23 AM PDT by ReneeLynn (Socialism is SO yesterday. Fascism, it's the new black. Mmm mmm mmm...)
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To: Night Hides Not

If it falls into my backyard, I’m sellin’ AND suin’.


26 posted on 09/23/2011 10:36:14 AM PDT by Scott from the Left Coast
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To: ReneeLynn

I wouldn’t mind if it hit my house, while I’m away. It’s in need of a remodeling............


27 posted on 09/23/2011 10:37:28 AM PDT by Red Badger ("Treason doth never prosper.... What's the reason? Why if it prosper, none dare call it treason.")
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To: Evil Slayer

"OH MY GOD....THEY KILLED KENNY!"

28 posted on 09/23/2011 10:37:35 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: Red Badger
Not to mention the Feds come knocking on your door. It’s still government property......

Then they can go to Admiralty Court and pay the prize amount. Salvage is salvage.

/johnny

29 posted on 09/23/2011 10:37:46 AM PDT by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: ilovesarah2012

seems like a wonderful opportunity to test strategic defense missiles.


30 posted on 09/23/2011 10:44:28 AM PDT by BillGunn (Bill Gunn for Congress district one rep. Massachusetts)
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To: JRandomFreeper

How much is a 300 lbs chunk of it worth?


31 posted on 09/23/2011 10:47:55 AM PDT by Lurkina.n.Learnin (The democratic party is the greatest cargo cult in history.)
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To: Buckeye McFrog; Myrddin

“Odds of being hit by a piece of it 1 in 3200.”

Really high - as in bad.


32 posted on 09/23/2011 10:48:30 AM PDT by patton
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To: Evil Slayer

If it lands in my yard they will pay dearly to get it back.

Wonder if there are any precious metals on board?


33 posted on 09/23/2011 10:50:05 AM PDT by wolfcreek (Perry to Obama: Adios, MOFO!)
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To: Lurkina.n.Learnin

That would be the physics package - what to you think a nuclear bomb is worth?


34 posted on 09/23/2011 10:52:33 AM PDT by patton
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To: Evil Slayer
If it came down sooner, it would be blamed on the expansion of the atmosphere due to Global WarmingClimate Change™.
35 posted on 09/23/2011 10:55:08 AM PDT by mikey_hates_everything
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To: Buckeye McFrog
Odds of being hit by a piece of it 1 in 3200.
Seem kinda high to you?

That's actually odds of one person out of 6+ billion being hit. Odds of YOU getting hit are more like 1 in 20 trillion (after doing some rough math).

36 posted on 09/23/2011 10:57:17 AM PDT by 6ppc (It's torch and pitchfork time)
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To: Evil Slayer

Not that I’m looking to leave this earth yet, but if I had to pick some accidental way to go I guess having a satellite fall on my head would be a pretty cool way to get your ticket punched.

You get your 15 minutes of fame, it would be quick, your life insurance would definitely have to cover the triple indemnity clause for accidental death, and it would be fun to have that on your tombstone.

Oh, and your name will be mentioned about 1000 times a day by the MSM for the next 100 years whenever another one of them comes down.


37 posted on 09/23/2011 10:59:30 AM PDT by Abathar (Proudly posting without reading the article carefully since 2004)
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To: Evil Slayer
Looks like three passes for UARS over the United States this evening. Starting on the east coast at roughly 6:00pm PDT The orbits may degrade as the satellite gets closer to the atmosphere .






38 posted on 09/23/2011 11:06:40 AM PDT by WSGilcrest (/s)
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To: WSGilcrest

BTW screen caps from free Orbitron software available here —> http://www.stoff.pl/


39 posted on 09/23/2011 11:08:59 AM PDT by WSGilcrest (/s)
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To: Red Badger

Am I a bad person for wondering if this would be excluded as an act of God under my homeowner’s insurance? Our upstairs bathroom could really do with the upgrade....


40 posted on 09/23/2011 11:10:25 AM PDT by Eepsy
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To: Evil Slayer
What are the odds of its crashing into a whale?

41 posted on 09/23/2011 11:10:59 AM PDT by I see my hands (Keep your sunny side up!)
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To: Jack Hydrazine

Prank? I could make the pieces in no time. A few pieces of scrap metal and a torch will do wonders! Each with a “Certificate of Authenticity”.

If someone really did (or tried) it wouldn’t surprise me.


42 posted on 09/23/2011 11:12:39 AM PDT by count-your-change (You don't have be brilliant, not being stupid is enough.)
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To: IM2MAD
I plugged my current San Diego coordinates into the Heavens Above site and updated the URL with my coordinates with their UARS tracker.
43 posted on 09/23/2011 11:14:51 AM PDT by Myrddin
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To: Night Hides Not
So whats the pay out if I bet $1000 that it won't hit me???

I don't want to bet all my money. What happens if I'm wrong? :)

44 posted on 09/23/2011 11:17:22 AM PDT by mountn man (Happiness is not a destination, its a way of life.)
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To: Evil Slayer

Fine with me . . .

. . . as long as the debris only rains down on Planned Parenthood Clinics and ACORN Offices.

(I know, I know, it won’t happen but just the thought of the lamestream media trying to explain it tickles me.)


45 posted on 09/23/2011 11:17:29 AM PDT by Petruchio (I Think . . . Therefor I FReep.)
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To: patton
It is supposed to leave a 500 mile long debris track on the way down. It is also supposed to have a nuclear power supply. Potentially a "dirty bomb" consequence if the contents leak as it breaks up.
46 posted on 09/23/2011 11:19:07 AM PDT by Myrddin
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To: count-your-change

That’s exactly what I was thinking. The CoA would be the icing on the cake! LOL!

Next thing you know NASA would send in its own SWAT team to recover it! LOL!


47 posted on 09/23/2011 11:19:34 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: JRandomFreeper

Not with Federal property. Try bringing up any piece of a sunken US Navy ship and see what happens.


48 posted on 09/23/2011 11:22:25 AM PDT by Locomotive Breath
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To: Myrddin

The 300-lb chunk (Guess what that is?) is expected to land intact.

I wonder why, now, the US Governemnt has announced that any piece hitting the ground is US government property, and they will rapidly collect it?

Yeah, there are some rare metals aboard. Plutonium, irridum ...

If it hits your land, take a photo and get out of dodge. Take your dogs with you - they will likely not survive the impending SWAT response.


49 posted on 09/23/2011 11:24:53 AM PDT by patton
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To: Jack Hydrazine

Why...that 6 1/2 ton satellite could actually gain weight after landing.


50 posted on 09/23/2011 11:25:35 AM PDT by count-your-change (You don't have be brilliant, not being stupid is enough.)
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