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Not So Safeway for This Market
Townhall.com ^ | September 29, 2011 | Crista Huff

Posted on 09/29/2011 6:20:23 AM PDT by Kaslin

There’s a supermarket anomaly near my home. Two supermarkets, a block apart: King Soopers (a Kroger store) and Safeway. In my town, everybody shops at King Soopers. Safeway is deserted. There are literally more employees than customers. Consequently, I get tremendous prices at Safeway, including a large percentage of my groceries at 50% off.

What’s up with that? For some reason, Safeway has made the corporate decision to keep the store open as a loss leader. Curious.

They stock all the normal foods, but then they have to get the food out of the store quickly at 50% off while it’s still fresh and appealing. It’s a massive relief to me as I budget for a household of six people!

How does Safeway stock look as an investment? Is it in financial shambles, based on my local experience, or do I have a warped view of the macro picture?

Safeway (SWY, $16.53) is a North American food and drug retailer, operating about 1700 stores. Sales were $41 billion in 2010, and net income was $589 million — it’s a low margin industry. Large supermarket chain profits tend to grow slowly, so I’m impressed that projected consensus earnings growth is 25% by the end of fiscal year 2013. The price earnings ratio (PE) is 9.7 based on 2011 projected earnings per share (EPS) of $1.70, and the dividend yield is 3.51%.

I like the earnings growth, I love the dividend, and I absolutely hate the share price. I rarely benefit from buying stocks with prices in the teens: I avoid them like the plague.

The stock chart is dismal. EVERYBODY who bought this stock in the last ten years has lost money. Wow. I never buy stocks that are reaching new lows or collapsing from established trading ranges, so this one’s out of the question.

What would I do if I already owned the stock? Well, I guess I’d stop cringing and start selling. It’s easy enough to take that money and put it into a growth stock with a good chart. With a little searching, I could even find a stock with a good chart AND a big dividend. In that vein, Kimberly-Clark (KMB, $69.82) is pretty attractive. You can review KMB on my website, which I wrote about on September 21, 2011.

I don’t look at owning a losing stock as a personal failure. I look at it as a chunk of money, and I say to myself, “Will this chunk of money grow more quickly if I keep this stock, or if I sell it and buy a better stock?” The answer is obvious: sell it and buy a better stock. If you cannot do that, you have too much emotion invested in your stock portfolio. Think of it more like math and less like ego. ALL stock investors pick stocks which go down. Your job as a stock investor is to make decisions which minimize losses and maximize gains.

Good luck, and good profits!


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Editorial
KEYWORDS: conglomerate; globalism; grocery; monopoly; safeway; starvation

1 posted on 09/29/2011 6:20:25 AM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

Is Safeway owned by the Mormon Church? That is the conventional wisdom here.


2 posted on 09/29/2011 6:27:04 AM PDT by yldstrk (My heroes have always been cowboys)
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To: yldstrk

IIRC Albertson’s was owned by Mormons, but it got swallowed by a competitor a good number of years ago. That ownership share may have gravitated to Safeway, but I would be surprised if it comprised more than an observable minority position.


3 posted on 09/29/2011 6:29:42 AM PDT by BelegStrongbow (St. Joseph, patron of fathers, pray for us!)
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To: Kaslin

Something is very wrong with your story.

If Safeway is selling all the same stuff as the food store you claim is getting all the business thn one of the greatest and most accepted way of moving retail merchandice has been totally blown away, that of “sale pricing”

Why in the world would anyone, much less the greater majority of people spend TWICE as much to buy food then they haave to spend? Does the Safeway store sit over a radioactive site? Is it in an area where there is constanr gang warfare, rabid animals or other such detriments to accessing the store?


4 posted on 09/29/2011 6:32:22 AM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: Kaslin

People in the retail business tend to try and be too smart by six and a half. For example, Jello makes 28 flavors that barely sell for the sole purpose of crowding Royal out of shelf space.


5 posted on 09/29/2011 6:32:29 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Kaslin

If I were getting the bargains that this woman claims, I wouldn’t be doing my best to ruin it for myself.


6 posted on 09/29/2011 6:38:21 AM PDT by trisham (Zen is not easy. It takes effort to attain nothingness. And then what do you have? Bupkis.)
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To: yldstrk

Could it be union involvement?


7 posted on 09/29/2011 6:43:17 AM PDT by Lilly Rose
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To: Kaslin

In the land of Giant, there is no Safeway.


8 posted on 09/29/2011 7:05:04 AM PDT by Dixie Yooper (Ephesians 6:11)
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To: yldstrk

no albertsons.

but albertson was mismanaged and bought out by supervalue.

yes, supervalue that owns those 99 cent food markets.


9 posted on 09/29/2011 7:11:56 AM PDT by ken21 (ruling class dem + rino progressives -- destroying america for 150 years.)
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To: Kaslin

this must be in colorado. king soopers has always been aggressive.

when i lived in austin there was a beautiful, new randall’s = safeway.

walmart wiped it out.

in california safeway = von’s. they’re currently in an upscale marketing niche.

but all’s not well. i think one of the three big supers will go broke nationally.

it will not be kroger = ralph’s in socal.


10 posted on 09/29/2011 7:16:19 AM PDT by ken21 (ruling class dem + rino progressives -- destroying america for 150 years.)
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To: 101voodoo

Maybe the Safeway store looked dirty. The one near me does and it is a real turnoff to shop there. I don’t feel safe buying the meat and veggies. Another store that looked like that was later accused of redating it’s meat. This could be a vicious cycle: few customers/fresh food stays on shelf longer and goes bad/fewer customers . . .


11 posted on 09/29/2011 8:46:31 AM PDT by sportutegrl
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To: sportutegrl

Maybe, but what about all the other things folks buy for the home at food stores such as canned and paper goods?

I’m just not buying this “50% cheaper” business. Besides if the store so filthy the health dept would be there and close them down.


12 posted on 09/29/2011 8:53:19 AM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: sportutegrl

Maybe, but what about all the other things folks buy for the home at food stores such as canned and paper goods?

I’m just not buying this “50% cheaper” business. Besides if the store so filthy the health dept would be there and close them down.


13 posted on 09/29/2011 8:53:19 AM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: sportutegrl

Maybe, but what about all the other things folks buy for the home at food stores such as canned and paper goods?

I’m just not buying this “50% cheaper” business. Besides if the store so filthy the health dept would be there and close them down.


14 posted on 09/29/2011 8:53:26 AM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: sportutegrl

Maybe, but what about all the other things folks buy for the home at food stores such as canned and paper goods?

I’m just not buying this “50% cheaper” business. Besides if the store so filthy the health dept would be there and close them down.


15 posted on 09/29/2011 8:53:26 AM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: sportutegrl

Maybe, but what about all the other things folks buy for the home at food stores such as canned and paper goods?

I’m just not buying this “50% cheaper” business. Besides if the store so filthy the health dept would be there and close them down.


16 posted on 09/29/2011 8:53:30 AM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: sportutegrl

Maybe, but what about all the other things folks buy for the home at food stores such as canned and paper goods?

I’m just not buying this “50% cheaper” business. Besides if the store so filthy the health dept would be there and close them down.


17 posted on 09/29/2011 8:53:30 AM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: sportutegrl

Maybe, but what about all the other things folks buy for the home at food stores such as canned and paper goods?

I’m just not buying this “50% cheaper” business. Besides if the store so filthy the health dept would be there and close them down.


18 posted on 09/29/2011 8:53:30 AM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: sportutegrl

Maybe, but what about all the other things folks buy for the home at food stores such as canned and paper goods?

I’m just not buying this “50% cheaper” business. Besides if the store so filthy the health dept would be there and close them down.


19 posted on 09/29/2011 8:53:30 AM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: sportutegrl

Maybe, but what about all the other things folks buy for the home at food stores such as canned and paper goods?

I’m just not buying this “50% cheaper” business. Besides if the store so filthy the health dept would be there and close them down.


20 posted on 09/29/2011 8:53:40 AM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: sportutegrl

Maybe, but what about all the other things folks buy for the home at food stores such as canned and paper goods?

I’m just not buying this “50% cheaper” business. Besides if the store so filthy the health dept would be there and close them down.


21 posted on 09/29/2011 8:53:43 AM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: sportutegrl

Maybe, but what about all the other things folks buy for the home at food stores such as canned and paper goods?

I’m just not buying this “50% cheaper” business. Besides if the store so filthy the health dept would be there and close them down.


22 posted on 09/29/2011 8:53:43 AM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: 101voodoo

We got it. We got it.


23 posted on 09/29/2011 8:59:45 AM PDT by AppyPappy (If you aren't part of the solution, there is good money to be made prolonging the problem.)
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To: 101voodoo

For me personally, I don’t like to go in a store that isn’t clean, even to buy toilet paper and stuff like that.


24 posted on 09/29/2011 9:06:43 AM PDT by sportutegrl
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To: 101voodoo

Boy, you can say that again! oh, okay, maybe not....


25 posted on 09/29/2011 9:07:19 AM PDT by TexasRepublic (Socialism is the gospel of envy and the religion of thieves)
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To: TexasRepublic

Maybe, but what about all the other things folks buy for the home at food stores such as canned and paper goods?

I’m just not buying this “50% cheaper” business. Besides if the store so filthy the health dept would be there and close them down.


26 posted on 09/29/2011 10:28:50 AM PDT by Lexinom
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To: Kaslin

Just before the financial crisis our Safeway store put an elegant hardwood floor and romantic mood lighting in the produce department — and jacked up prices throughout the store. They must have thought the good times were going to last forever.


27 posted on 09/29/2011 11:18:28 AM PDT by AZLiberty (No tag today.)
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To: TexasRepublic; AppyPappy

LOL, I swear I have no idea how that happened. I typed my posdt and double tsapped on the reply button and that was it. It didn’t take moe then the usual 5 seconds or so for the screen to flip and put me back in the thread.

If this appears more then once we’ll know there is a problem.


28 posted on 09/29/2011 12:14:04 PM PDT by 101voodoo
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