“I think it will pass by at least the low 60s, if not higher, in that state.”
I bet NC goes higher. Va’s(my state) only passed by 57% in 2006 if I recall, but I think that was only because of the strict nature of the Va amendment(maybe a little too strict in my opinion) plus northern Va. Now NC did go for pres O last election, but they don’t have Northern Va to deal with, so I guess it passes in the 65-75% range. SC passed theirs also in 2006 by 78%.
Most of the polls are worthless when it comes to this issue, either they are merely “internet polls” where young people who don’t vote are more represented or folks just lie to the polsters because they don’t want to come of as harry or sally homophobic.
Just curious, what was “too strict” about the VA marriage amendment? I didn’t think it contained anything that most states don’t include in theirs.
Yes, from what I hear, Virginia has the deleterious “D.C.” effect in the northern areas that probably skews results from what is otherwise a very conservative state. I’m sure proximity to urban areas of Maryland doesn’t help, either. North Carolina does seem to be free from these influences, other than the centers of “education” in the larger urban areas. If these interlopers (many out-of-staters) could be discounted, I’m sure amendment passage would be in the high eighties or higher.