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Support for Herman Cain Surges with Texas Republicans-Cain 33% Perry 18%
Azimuth polling Company ^ | 101911 | Azimuth polling

Posted on 10/19/2011 7:52:37 PM PDT by Fred

Poll Date: 10/12-10/17, 2011
Poll Method: Direct Email and Automated Calls
Poll Sample: 844 Republican voters in Texas
Margin of Error: +/- 3%

Candidate Graph Percent

Herman Cain 33%
Ron Paul 19%

Rick Perry 18%

Mitt Romney 7%

Newt Gingrich 5%
Gary Johnson 3%
John Huntsman

3%
Michele Bachmann 1%

Rick Santorum 1%
Buddy Roemer

1%
Fred Karger 0%

Undecided 7%

The bar graph accurately reflects actual poll responses.

This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. Azimuth polling is a non-partisan polling company.


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: cain; formerdemocratperry; gardasil; larazarick; openborders; perry; rinos; romney; tx2012
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1 posted on 10/19/2011 7:52:47 PM PDT by Fred
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To: Fred

Perry comes in behind RuPaul? That’s just wrong.


2 posted on 10/19/2011 7:54:22 PM PDT by Jane Long (Soli Deo Gloria!)
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To: Fred

Can America scream any louder for what it wants?

It just keeps getting more interesting by the day....


3 posted on 10/19/2011 7:55:20 PM PDT by EagleUSA
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Oh, my!

It looks as though Texans really love their governor so much, they don’t want him to move to the White House.


4 posted on 10/19/2011 7:56:38 PM PDT by SatinDoll (NO FOREIGN NATIONALS AS U.S.A. PRESIDENT)
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To: Jane Long

Paulbot poll group, they solicit via email.


5 posted on 10/19/2011 7:57:47 PM PDT by Baladas ((ABBHO))
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To: Fred
"they no poll me, amigo! I want come to Texas for el trabajo and get gratis la educación for my los ninos! I also get EBT for gordo la esposa?"


6 posted on 10/19/2011 7:59:09 PM PDT by AdamBomb
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To: Jane Long

Yea...there’s something not right about this poll...the others I saw had differing percentages..but then that’s just how polls are...ya never know what you’re going to get from them.

But IF this is so...cain needs to calm down some or he’ll drop off like Backman and Perry did. Still time to level out for all who are running....I see Newt’s moving up steady and slow...interesting.


7 posted on 10/19/2011 8:01:42 PM PDT by caww
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To: Baladas

“Paulbot poll group”

If so, why do they show him losing by double digits?


8 posted on 10/19/2011 8:01:42 PM PDT by Grunthor (BEAT OBAMA WITH A CAIN!)
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To: Baladas

“Paulbot poll group, they solicit via email”

That makes sense of the poll.


9 posted on 10/19/2011 8:02:00 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: Fred

This is Perry’s post-debate revival time, y’all come.


10 posted on 10/19/2011 8:02:57 PM PDT by Rudder (The Main Stream Media is Our Enemy---get used to it.)
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To: Baladas

Who the heck is Gary Johnson? Polling ahead of the others....not to mention Backmans place...this is screwed up.


11 posted on 10/19/2011 8:04:16 PM PDT by caww
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To: Fred
So let me get this straight. The "frontrunner" is currently running a distant 4th in the largest Republican state.

Seriously, media?
12 posted on 10/19/2011 8:04:45 PM PDT by Antoninus (Take the pledge: I will not vote for Mitt Romney under any circumstances. EVER.)
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To: Baladas

“These results are from the final section of our recent pol of 10/12 to 10/17 which was conducted through automated phonecalls and direct email solicitations of 4372 Republican voters in the state of Texas of whom 832 responded to the poll. 56% of the responses came from direct email contacts and 44% from telephone responses. The pool consisted of active party members identified by association with clubs, groups and party organizations and voters who were identified from voter rolls as having voted Republican in 2008 and 2010. They were geographically distributed over most of the state, with clusters in Tarrant, Denton, Comal, Harris, Hays, Travis, Blanco, Collin, Llano and Montgomery Counties.”

Looks like they poll a couple of different ways. What’s your point? Paul and Cain both beat Perry in what should be his home ground (and this isn’t the first time Perry’s been behind Paul in the Texas polls). Even if they polled in just the most anti-Perry Texan communities, how could that be? Isn’t Perry the greatest campaigner since Hannibal and the bestest job creator ever? How could any conservative not love Perry, with all the work he’s done to create Hispanic votes for the GOP in Texas by sending illegals to school and doing nothing about sanctuary cities across the state of Texas during the last 10 years?


13 posted on 10/19/2011 8:07:15 PM PDT by LibertarianInExile (Rick Perry sweep the polls? Naw, the illegals he's coddled in Texas do all his sweeping.)
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To: Fred

Bullshite.


14 posted on 10/19/2011 8:09:08 PM PDT by jla (Who says Perry's a conservative? - Rush, Inhofe, Levin & Sowell do.)
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To: Antoninus
So let me get this straight. The "frontrunner" is currently running a distant 4th in the largest Republican state.

While I have my doubts about the poll, it wouldn't surprise me - lots of folks in Texas not too fond of Obama clones from Massachusetts. Plus being a Mormon ain't going to help him here given the whole FLDS thing.

If Romney got the nomination, he would have a helluva time winning Texas, since a lot of Texas know he's no better than Obama.
15 posted on 10/19/2011 8:10:22 PM PDT by af_vet_rr
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To: Fred

My friend is a die hard Texan and picks Cain over Perry, too.


16 posted on 10/19/2011 8:11:23 PM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (Never believe anything in politics until it has been officially denied.)
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Some Things In Life Are A Surprise


Click The Pic To Donate

Freepathons? Not So Much

Become A Monthly Donor

17 posted on 10/19/2011 8:14:17 PM PDT by DJ MacWoW (America! The wolves are here! What will you do?)
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To: caww; Fred

HeMan Cain is making progress, as is Newt.

HC is throwing up a platform for tax reform that is as good a starting point as any.

Newt has always been capable of delivering the most articulate message of conservatism.

Neither is my first choice but the message lives on and we should support it, as opposed to being grasshoppers chewing each other’s face off.


18 posted on 10/19/2011 8:15:27 PM PDT by One Name
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To: Jane Long

The best news of the day. Go Cain!!! Perry is flaming out which is so good for the country. God keep watching out for us and PLEASE don’t give us another RINO this election season. Romney and Perry are too liberal for the Presidency.


19 posted on 10/19/2011 8:18:59 PM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: Jane Long

Paul is quite popular in Tx.


20 posted on 10/19/2011 8:23:43 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (No Federal Sales Tax - No Way!)
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To: SatinDoll

The Palin vote has swung to Cain.

Palin was out-polling Perry in Tx all the way through. That was how I was able to predict Perry’s melt down way back in August. He can’t win without his own state.


21 posted on 10/19/2011 8:27:09 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (No Federal Sales Tax - No Way!)
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To: editor-surveyor
Paul is quite popular in Tx.

I'm in Texas and don't know anyone that Paul is popular with.

He's popular with PaulBots, tho. They're everywhere.

22 posted on 10/19/2011 8:27:15 PM PDT by Jane Long (Soli Deo Gloria!)
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To: Jane Long

Check his election percentages; they are the best in congress.


23 posted on 10/19/2011 8:28:57 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (No Federal Sales Tax - No Way!)
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To: SatinDoll

Pretty much.
He could be president...of Mexico.


24 posted on 10/19/2011 8:29:16 PM PDT by MrEdd (Heck? Geewhiz Cripes, thats the place where people who don't believe in Gosh think they aint going.)
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To: Fred
Sweet


25 posted on 10/19/2011 8:31:16 PM PDT by garjog
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To: editor-surveyor
But that is just a section in Texas,not the whole state.

That Paul is second, in this poll, makes this poll suspect!

26 posted on 10/19/2011 8:34:26 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: Fred

perry crapped all over himself last night.


27 posted on 10/19/2011 8:39:21 PM PDT by ken21
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To: Jane Long

LOL

Honestly Paul is a better conservative than Perry.

I must now go and get out my cat=o=9tails and purge myself.

BRB...


28 posted on 10/19/2011 8:41:42 PM PDT by Danae (Anailnathrach ortha bhais beatha do cheal deanaimha)
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To: Jane Long; All

“He’s popular with PaulBots, tho. They’re everywhere.”

Yeah, and those types scare me. It is really dishonest for Paul to be in the GOP primary. He is a Libertarian not a Republican. He should run as a Libertarian. The PaulBots will only vote for Paul and when he fails to get the nomination they will vote for the Libertarian candidate...which could be Paul. So, he is just a distraction that shouldn’t be allowed in the debates. All he is trying to do is pull more repubs to himself, which he won’t do, he is not interested in real conservatism....just his wacko libertarian views.


29 posted on 10/19/2011 8:55:32 PM PDT by Sola Veritas (Trying to speak truth - not always with the best grammar or spelling)
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To: Jane Long

“Perry comes in behind RuPaul? That’s just wrong.”

You got that right. What’s wrong with conservative Texans who like Ron Paul more than Perry? Probably has something to do with being conservative. Perry is no conservative. He talks the talk, but he doesn’t walk the walk. “Rupaul” talks the talk and walks the walk. So it’s likely a respect thing for someone who stands on principle, like it or not.

Sure, his foreign policy is lacking. I especially disagree with him that Iran is not a threat. Although, he has a point regarding their military capability. No threat. But let these bassturds get a nuke, and all hell will break loose. They will use them on Israel and the U.S. Why he insists on denying this potential is beyond me. Maybe his son Rand can wake him up.

“RuPaul” is also right about all these foreign involvements. I could give a crap less about Iraqi or Afghani freedom. Screw them. Once we leave, if EVER, they will crawl back to their sewers of bile.

It’s waste of precious lives, and money, for us to be involved in their internal affairs. Islam is not a free society. It will never be free. So the concept of Iraqi, and Afghani, freedom is a hoax. Won’t ever happen in the lands of Islam. No way no how. I know freepers get this.

Now we get to the part where “RuPaul” is dead on balls accurate. Domestic policy. No one candidate can touch him on this. He has been fighting this battle for decades. He has stood his ground alone. Til now, that is, since folks are finally waking up to listen. The fed is not our friend. Hello, “RuPaul” told us this decades ago.

I like freedom, and I like our Constitution. So does “RuPaul.” Heck, he even violated his own principle once when voting to “authorize” Pres Bush to send troops to Afghanistan. But they promised him OBL was there, and they would get him. Then he got fooled. It happens. But I think he is still PO’d about it. So maybe that is what drives him crazy on foreign policy.

Anyway, he doesn’t stand a chance to become President. But I hope he remains in congress to continue to fight the good fight. FREEDOM and the CONSTITUTION. I wholeheartedly support them both.


30 posted on 10/19/2011 9:05:12 PM PDT by takenoprisoner (Constitutional Conservatism is Americanism.)
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To: One Name

Well there is passion in politics and especially in elections...I think one has to learn to brush it off and realize everyone is going to have their favorite.....and then it’s here and we vote.....but the dialogues to get these candidates vetted...like it or not...is important. You just have to sift thru the “stuff” to get at the issue.

What I’m seeing are candidates who want to be President, this time around, who are trying hard to be Presidential when they come up lacking in far too many areas of importance to the American people. Just seems to me the really good ones don’t want the mess Obamas going to leave behind. ..and we know that’s not going to be pretty at all!


31 posted on 10/19/2011 9:09:40 PM PDT by caww
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To: Baladas
Paulbot poll group, they solicit via email.

Yep...this one's not exactly scientific. They've got the Paulbot mailing list.

Azimuth has had Paul unrealistically up in other polls as well.

32 posted on 10/19/2011 9:10:45 PM PDT by Allegra (Hey! Stop looking at my tagline like that.)
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To: takenoprisoner
But I hope he remains in congress to continue to fight the good fight.

Paul is not seeking re-election in 2012.

33 posted on 10/19/2011 9:12:23 PM PDT by Jane Long (Soli Deo Gloria!)
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To: editor-surveyor
Paul is quite popular in Tx.

Not really.

34 posted on 10/19/2011 9:13:14 PM PDT by Allegra (Hey! Stop looking at my tagline like that.)
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To: SatinDoll
It looks as though Texans really love their governor so much, they don’t want him to move to the White House.

I visited the mid-west for a couple of weeks & I met with a well connected man from Dallas. He stated that his group totally disliked Perry - not a true conservative. Take it for what it is worth.

35 posted on 10/19/2011 9:15:04 PM PDT by Digger (If RINO is your selection then failure is your election)
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To: Digger

I figured out that Perry wasn’t a real Conservative quite some time ago.

But Cincinatus’ Wife has been a dedicated booster of Gov. Perry, and I respect her zeal even though not her choice for Republican candidate.

There is no kindness in kicking someone when they’re down.


36 posted on 10/19/2011 9:18:17 PM PDT by SatinDoll (NO FOREIGN NATIONALS AS U.S.A. PRESIDENT)
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To: Fred; 2ndDivisionVet; cotton1706; Def Conservative; Deo volente; Gopher Broke; grumpa; ...
I had been wondering if the Cain surge seen in many (but not all) recent polls was real.

So I guessed that a ballpark confirmation could be done using this Texas poll, plus the six STATE polls that came this week. One could guess those might represent the country as a whole pretty well, since it included TWO super liberal BLUE states (NH and HI) four battleground purple states ( IA OH FL SC) and one red state (TX)
If anything, the rest of the country might even lean MORE toward Cain as a whole.



I averaged these latest state polls, as follows:

  Sample  Cain  Romney Gingrich Paul Perry Bachman Huntsman Santorum Spread
U.S. COMPOSITE 2606 RV 30.7 22.2 9.1 8.5 7.7 5.2 2.0 unknown Cain +8.5
TX 844 RV 33 7 5 19 18 1 3 1 Cain +14
OH 500 RV 34 19 14 7 5 6 1 1 Cain +15
HI 293 RV 36 24 8 4 8 6 1 1 Cain +12
SC 476 RV 32 16 8 6 12 6 1 NotAsked Cain +16
FL 505 RV 30.2 32.6 11.7 2.7 2.9 1.6 2 NotAsked Romney +2.4
IA 422 RV 26 18 12 10 6 11 1 NotAsked Cain +8
NH 409 RV 24 39 5 11 2 5 5 NotAsked Romney +15
 
  Sample  Cain  Romney Gingrich Paul Perry Bachman Huntsman Santorum
U.S. ZOGBY 1214 RV 45 21 6 8 7 1 3 3


I also show Zogby for comparison.... RealClearPolitics does not like them because they are an online poll.
But It looks like, for some reason, there are 10% fewer 'undecided's with the online Zogby. So it might even be more accurate than the telephone polls?

I also show a weighted 4-poll rolling average of recent national polls which also shows trend results similar to the 'composite' above.

Weighted 4-Poll Rolling Averages of the latest 20+ Polls listed at RCP [as of Oct 17]
plus the "YouGov" poll inserted chronologically


37 posted on 10/19/2011 9:19:04 PM PDT by Future Useless Eater (Chicago politics = corrupted capitalism = takeover by COMMUNity-ISM)
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To: Future Useless Eater

Great graphs


38 posted on 10/19/2011 9:24:40 PM PDT by therightliveswithus
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To: Future Useless Eater
Blacks in California in 2008, supported Obama by margins exceeding 97%. But just 2 years later 70% of them voted for Proposition 8, a simply worded initiative that says, "only marriage between a man and a woman is valid or recognized in California."

They are more conservative than most realize. I think Cain has a chance there especially when you consider blacks are disappointed with Obama and the dems.

39 posted on 10/19/2011 9:26:16 PM PDT by South40 ('Heartless' since 1957)
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To: caww

yeah!

What a mess. Hogan’s goat had a better landscape in front.
How do we get there from here?

Lesser of two evils only slows our descent.

I’m a believer and a patriot, can’t conflate the two but I am clinging to hope for the country of my birth.


40 posted on 10/19/2011 9:30:26 PM PDT by One Name
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To: All

How many people even knew who Herman Cain was 3 months ago?

It seems that the more people hear him, the more they like him.

He has backtracked on a few statements, but he’s a straight-shooter and he’s not a career politician, but a breath of fresh air.

He has a year to polish his style and not be so outspoken where he says things he later regrets, but overall, people like what Herman Cain has to say, and more importantly, what he has accomplished.

He’s much more than just a CEO of a Pizza Franchise.


41 posted on 10/19/2011 9:31:07 PM PDT by Rodney Dangerfield (To make a Conservative angry, tell him a lie. To make a Liberal angry, tell him the truth.)
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To: napscoordinator

Perry is flaming out which is so good for the country.


Perry spent a month in California 4 or so months ago trying to train them how not to lose what’s left of their business base from moving to Texas. They moved here anyway.

Next time Perry counsels California on how not to go completely tits-up, he will be POTUS and a position to do something about saving California.

As another FReeper noted, California and Texas have been dealt nearly the same deck since 1990, yet CA has failed and
TX has prospered.

Tell me again how Perry ‘flaming out’ is so good for the Country? You weasel?


42 posted on 10/19/2011 9:43:09 PM PDT by txhurl (Did you want to talk or fish? Or feed the fish?)
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To: Future Useless Eater

Hold on to your hat, With Perry bombing and Cain moving up Cain is getting lots of attention he didnt get before. He has to watch any questions he gets closely and study up for the next debate on foreign policy. That could be his Waterloo if not careful.

The rest of the field are duds (I do still like Bachmann though) and so Cain is really making it interesting, hope he doesnt blow it.


43 posted on 10/19/2011 9:47:16 PM PDT by sickoflibs (Cain :"My parents didn't raise me to beg the government for other peoples money")
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To: Fred

Bump


44 posted on 10/19/2011 9:48:20 PM PDT by tutstar
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To: Rodney Dangerfield

I can appreciate how Cain is seen and do think he’d be good in Washington...so does He for that matter! But I’m getting fibs he’d be willing to settle for less than the Presidency despite what he says otherwise.

I have no doubt he really didn’t expect to come this far so fast...and so he’s not been prepared with the ground crew needed to take him the rest of the way, and it hasn’t looked like he’s doing much in that area even now. He cannot win without it.

So then the question is what is reluctant Perry and Cain doing in this race? Not to mention Ron Paul who simply creates havoc and does nothing for this race...in fact hurts it as he always does. He won’t step down though...he likes stirring it up and feeling powerful by doing so. I detest him almost as much as Romney....he’s all about himself.

Then there’s Bachman who seemed to get more on her game this last debate. I was really irritated that the only way she seems to get her voice heard is to yell out for the attention...which no candidate should have to do...she has something to say which needs to be heard and they all should be heard... but of course the media has their darlings....and they are indeed pushing this election to the Obama drumbeat.


45 posted on 10/19/2011 9:52:04 PM PDT by caww
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To: Fred

Perry had to be taken out. All Cain ever wanted was to run interference for his friend, Mitt Romney. From the beginning, he was auditioning for VP, even said so. Anyone who wants him has to take Romney on top which will negate all Cain’s “when I’m President, I will fry Mexicans, etc. “ The catchy 9-9-9 battle cry will be silenced evermore. Probably the only way Romney wins that evangelical vote is with Cain by his side. I’ve said that since day one. Somehow I knew Fox had decided early on. Hume all but shut the door on everyone else. . I’m sticking with Perry because I believe in him. If he decides to leave the race, I’ll go with a rejuvenated Newt Gingrich. I hate political wrestling. I never liked tag teams even though I like the individuals okay. I’ll vote for the Republican ticket even though Romney is no conservative....and I don’t think Cain minds that.


46 posted on 10/19/2011 9:56:50 PM PDT by FryingPan101 (Perry/Palin (Just dreamin'))
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To: Antoninus
>>So let me get this straight. The "frontrunner" is currently running a distant 4th in the largest Republican state.
>>Seriously, media?

I assume by the "frontrunner", you mean Romney. He's from Massachusetts. Perry would not do well there so why assume Romney would do well in Texas? And Ron Paul is also from Texas, so no surprise he splits the centrist's voters with Perry.

  Sample  Cain  Romney Gingrich Paul Perry Bachman Huntsman Santorum Spread
U.S. COMPOSITE 3449 GOP 30.7 22.2 9.1 8.5 7.7 5.2 2.0 unknown Cain +8.5
TX 844 GOP 33 7 5 19 18 1 3 1 Cain +14
OH 500 GOP 34 19 14 7 5 6 1 1 Cain +15
HI 293 GOP 36 24 8 4 8 6 1 1 Cain +12
SC 476 GOP 32 16 8 6 12 6 1 NotAsked Cain +16
FL 505 GOP 30.2 32.6 11.7 2.7 2.9 1.6 2 NotAsked Romney +2.4
IA GOP RV 26 18 12 10 6 11 1 NotAsked Cain +8
NH 409 GOP 24 39 5 11 2 5 5 NotAsked Romney +15
 
  Sample  Cain  Romney Gingrich Paul Perry Bachman Huntsman Santorum
U.S. ZOGBY 1214 GOP 45 21 6 8 7 1 3 3


47 posted on 10/19/2011 9:59:06 PM PDT by Future Useless Eater (Chicago politics = corrupted capitalism = takeover by COMMUNity-ISM)
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To: Future Useless Eater

Cain is up by 14 in TX? Wow. That’s excellent news for the Cain campaign. There’s a good chance he’s leading in every Bush state save Utah.


48 posted on 10/19/2011 10:01:49 PM PDT by BenKenobi (Honkeys for Herman! 10 percent is enough for God; 9 percent is enough for government)
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To: FryingPan101

>>From the beginning, he was auditioning for VP, even said so.

Obama was auditioned to be Hillary’s VP, and look what happened there


49 posted on 10/19/2011 10:06:15 PM PDT by Future Useless Eater (Chicago politics = corrupted capitalism = takeover by COMMUNity-ISM)
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To: FryingPan101

This is state number 11 for Cain.

Tally is 19:19:11.

If Herman has Texas and Florida, what’s left for Perry?


50 posted on 10/19/2011 10:06:50 PM PDT by BenKenobi (Honkeys for Herman! 10 percent is enough for God; 9 percent is enough for government)
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