Skip to comments.GOP View Of Mitt Romney's Electability May Get Him Past Rivals In End(BARF ALERT!)
Posted on 11/07/2011 11:04:04 AM PST by mdittmar
ABC News/Washington Post poll data point released Monday out to one of the more interesting ironies facing Republican voters as the time for really choosing the GOP presidential nominee draws ever nearer.
A third of Republican and GOP-leaning voters, 33 percent, said Romney was the most electable of the choices now before them for the Republican presidential nomination. That was far and away the highest percentage for any of the candidates. Herman Cain came in at 21 percent on the electability question.
Thus, if more Republicans were more like Romney, or at least their perception of him as a politician from the realpolitick school, Romney would likely be in the lead. That's because their candidate preference would be largely based on which one would most likely put Republicans back in the White House.
Unfortunately for Romney, a lot of Republicans aren't operating from pragmatism as much as ideology. That's why only 24 percent said in the same poll that he's their candidate, putting him in a statistical tie with Cain at 23 percent.
The good news for Romney is that some political scientists have found evidence that electability does matter to greater or lesser degrees in presidential primaries. Mark Wattier, a political scientist at Murray State University studied the results of the 2000 Republican presidential primaries and concluded that the notion of electability played a role in gaining the nomination for George W. Bush.
Political scientists Jill Rickershauser of American University who studied at Duke University and John H. Aldrich of Duke said their research which drew on the 2004 Democratic primary found that the candidates' issue positions and voter perceptions of their electability both factored into voters' decisions. They found voters to be strategic in their final decisions, however. In other words, when push came to shove, voters definitely factored in electability.
So while Romney may not be a clear frontrunner in overall support, the fact that he is in electability could very well prove to be decisive once the caucuses and primaries roll around.
We have enough rinos,Frank James,but thanks for your input.
Which is why Romney’s fading in the polls is good news for Conservatives
Romney is strong in the GOP machine because of his polling.
If we can get his numbers down lower then third place a lot of his support is going to migrate to other candidates.
Romney is the true flavor of the month candidate since most of his support is Establishments GOP voters who only want to win in 2012. The GOP machine is telling them he can win so that is who they are for.
If Romney starts looking like a loser a good chunk of Romney support in the GOP will jump ship. That will be very good news for Conservatives.
Well then we´ll all hang separately.
I don't see how Romney could win against Obama.
Romney is the true flavor of the month candidate since most of his support is Establishments GOP voters who only want to win in 2012
The fact that the other guy is driving us towards the cliff at 100 mph is not sufficient reason to vote for the guy who will only drive toward the cliff at 80 mph.
Or if it will even make a noticeable difference.
Mitt’s not electable.
This dead snake of a candidate is really being pushed by the media today, and that includes Fox News.
Get ready for Obama’s second term. And I hope he takes the shirts off Karl Rove’a and Bill Kristol’s backs and gives them to “deserving” Democrat voters.
We know that. The GOP Establishement is too stupid to learn that fact. They think he can
it’s so nice to have NPR’s concern for our best candidate.
What happens when Republicans play defense, paying more attention to what they're voting against than what they're voting FOR?
It is frightening that so many Republicans are so cowed that in the name of voting against the man Obama, they will vote for all the statist principles they reject. Republicans are poised to reap all the rewards of of a coward's victory.
I watched Fox this morning for a while, long enough to hear Bill Kristol say that Herman Cain didn’t have a chance to be elected, then Brit Hume came on and agreed with him.
We no longer have a news outlet that can be considered conservative. Brit Hume is a big disappointment.
Not electable to many here on freerepublic, but I see people out there who would be willing to vote for the guy.
Kristol and Brit are hired to give their opinion, not report the news. You’re not always going to hear what you want to hear from people when state their opinion. They could be wrong, or they could ultimately end up being right, time will tell.
It may get Romney past his rivals. It won’t get Romney past me.
It’s NPR. It’s Frank James.
Nobody should take either seriously.