Skip to comments.Obama SURGES In New Polls (Uh, oh)
Posted on 11/10/2011 9:09:51 AM PST by SeekAndFind
President Barack Obama is now polling even with a generic Republican candidate in a new Gallup poll a measure by which he was down by eight percent in recent months a sign that he is turning his presidency around after a miserable few months.
Incumbents running for reelection underperform in this sort of poll, which allows voters to imagine their ideal candidate running against Obama. When placed in a head-to-head match-up with the GOP field, Obama performs even better.
Obama has also gained tremendously among swing voters who favored the generic Republican by over 20 points in September, but now are split between Obama and the dummy candidate.
In a separate poll from Quinnipiac University, Obama ties GOP front-runner Mitt Romney in the key swing states of Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania, and leads the rest of the Republican field.
His strategy of putting the screws to Congress for failing to pass his jobs bill and the lack of enthusiasm for his Republican opposition are certainly contributing to the bump. While by no means assuring him victory in 2012, the polls indicate that Obama has succeeded turning around months of bad poll numbers.
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
1. This is an outlier as many other polls don’t look great for him.
2. If it is true, I’m *this close* to just giving up on the whole effing thing, as the entire country, no, the entire world, is too stupid not to eat it’s own sh&t anymore, and there isn’t much point.
Odd that Gallup still uses this obsolete polling standard.
He won the first time by exploiting anger and is aimed at doing the same thing again
Irrelevant. Just wait.
I remember watching a sporting match once where the “better” team looked like they were not doing so well. I made a comment about it to a guy who really knew the teams. He said, “yeah, that’s because they are playing their third string right now.”
Not that anybody is “third string”, but strategies and rhetorical “guns” will be pointed in a very different direction in a few months.
I personally know people who love this president. What’s worse, some of them are in the extended family.
Yep! He is going to be reelected and complete his “Dream” to kill America.
Last time he tapped into it. This time he’s creating it.
I wouldn’t worry about it.
This Poll menas nothing in 2011. Wait til January of 2012 when we add another $4trillion in Debt because of Obamacare.
Or wait til March when our 1q debt to gdp ratio makes the Eurozone look like a checking account overdraught.
I can’t see what the Obama Campaign selling point will be.
Maybe: “We’ll get it right this time... you’ll see?”
or - “Hey - we lead in the polls in November of 2011, thats all that counts”.
He loses in 2012 with a greater margin than Jimmy Carter.
Do you own shares of Business Insider?
How sad.Do they have a lick of intelligence?
I wonder how Cain musters up to the Independent vote?
If this ridiculous idiot gets re-elected...goodbye America!
RE: Do you own shares of Business Insider?
Are they public traded? If so, what symbol? :)
The Dems have a built in base regardless of what they do or don’t do, unlike Repubs. Always hard to beat that.
Freepers dont realize that 1 year is an eternity in politics, and that the economy was bound to have some kind of turn around, just because. So we shall see what happens. One thing I’ll bet, it wont be like anyone is predicting.
I’d prefer a President Barak Ubama gridlocked and investigated by a Republican congress to a President Myth Romneycare with a green light from a Republican congress.
His improvement in the polls is more a sign that the Republicans are foolishly playing along with his “divide and conquer” strategy.
We actually got in an argument with one of these people at dinner. Out of the clear blue sky, this woman said she had seen obama's speech earlier that day, and agreed with everything he said.
This woman has an excellent job working for a huge corp. When I asked her how she got to be such a big liberal, she looked at me and said she's an independent.
She watches MSNBC every night.
The “Republican Establishment” would rather 0bama win than to give up their control of the party to a conservative.
The best data comes from polls of likely voters (LVs) - but typically one cannot determine who is truly likely to vote until somewhere around 60 days before an election.
I certainly would avoid hyperventilating about Gallup or anyone else's poll right now. They really are meaningless in predicting the outcome of an election one year away, especially when the potential opposition lacks a viable candidate, and the incumbent is intensely disliked by a large segment of the voting population.
I'm thinking we might get obama again, but I don't know about the Republican congress. In my area, a lot of democrats were elected yesterday.
gernally= generally (damned arthritic fingers!)
What a load of crap. I remember the liars in the press telling us that Mondale was “surging” against Reagan. We see these lies from the propaganda press every election.
Can’t we just ignore these BS stories?
How about we quit with all the stupid happy talk about how Obama can’t win or is going to drop out. He is polling remarkably well considering what an awful job he is doing and the terrible state of the economy. The public WANTS to like him, and his class warfare shtick looks like it is helping him among the ignorant masses.
This is going to be a very close election and whoever we nominate better be capable of running an excellent campaign.
Nonsense! But still, I will work harder to defeat him.
Such polls are absolutely meaningless.
Well, if they didn't use that standard, Obama wouldn't look as good. Do we really need to ask why?
Well I guess we should just all give up then.
My fear is that if the masses don’t get it now, what’s another $4T? They only see that which directly relates to themselves. Elderly will be receiving a small increase in social security next year, and Obama will play it up to somehow get the credit???? If unemployment drops to 8.5%, the dumb asses will think it’s Obama’s plans that are working.
And never under estimate his rhetoric. He’s great at the blame game for those who take him at face value and don’t think on their own.
Bottom line....I’m worried about the poll.
Once he starts his media blitz on the major networks flooding the airwaves with his message about how...."I'm going to give to you out of the kindness of my heart ..... and the Evil Republicans want to take my gifts away from you so their rich friends can prosper while you suffer" .... it will be very difficult to counter. The GOP are going to be portrayed as the evil people that want to take the candy from the poor suffering babies. And my guess is that the GOP will counter the emotional plea from the left and exhaust most of the campaign funds responding with the tired old phrase of "Giving candy to the baby Kills Jobs!"
Sadly and unfortunately the electorate is becoming increasingly complacent and are beginning to enjoy having their meals and expenses paid for by others and will be happy to receive it as long as possible. With that mindset they will gladly vote for whomever will keep the Dole coming in.
Hussein has made up 20 points in ONE MONTH? Color me skeptical.
Said it before , saying it again,
Obama will be VERY hard to beat and if Romney is the nominee Obama wins, easy.
Not me. zero will cement and further his policies via executive order. We will also have no prospect of destroying the monster of 0bamacare because of zero’s veto.
romney sucks, but not as much as zero. The only way a zero presidency could possibly be neutered is by a 2/3 conservative over-ride in the House AND Senate (that will never happen). Remember, impeachment would only yield Prez Biden (or other to be named zero VP).
Unfortunately he is not running against Ronald Reagan and we could count on that type of result. I fully do not expect any republican to win like that. There are just too many illegals who will vote, cheating, etc., that will go on to keep this piece of garbage in office. I fully expect ANY republican victory to be like 51-49 or 50.5 to 49.5. It is going to be like Bush v. Gore. Obama could lose the election like Gore and lose the total vote. I fully expect a razor close election.
Maybe she was referring to herself as an “independent” moron.
“What a load of crap. I remember the liars in the press telling us that Mondale was surging against Reagan”
I remember the 1984 election very well and don’t remember any claim.
There was a point after the first debate were RR didn’t do very well were Mondale got a boost but the 1984 election was over before it started.
By summer of 1984, there was no doubt who was going to win that election
This is going to be a very close election and whoever we nominate better be capable of running an excellent campaign’
Besides, incumbents are hard to beat despite the state of the country and BHO still has a large, unquestioning following
Of course he is. That is because the Republican candidates are making asses out of themselves with these ridiculous, childish debates. They are laughable and they stand there like excited beauty pageant contestants waiting for their fishbowl question. Same questions, same answers, different ties.
Based on the republican candidates, who appear to have all exited the same clown car, this is expected.
Come on, people! This is ONE poll one full year before the election, for crying out loud. In the latest Rasmussen poll of LIKELY voters, Obama is polling at 45% job approval which is nothing for a sitting president to jump up and down about.
When I see the huge amount of hand-wringing and doom-and-gloom thinking here on Free Republic, it makes me wonder sometimes if we aren’t our own biggest enemy! If fear helps motivate you, then do whatever you have to do to stay motivated for November 2012. But let’s not keep cutting off our noses to spite our faces in the process!
You see hapless Republicans losing the Presidency but winning the Senate? That seems a stretch, to me. If Obama wins, he'll have coattails.
Which of our candidates beat him, then?
There is a conspicuous segment of conservative rugged individualists that panic and fall apart upon unexpected, bad news.
If Myth is the nominee, I don't see them winning the Presidency.
This is going to be a very close election and whoever we nominate better be capable of running an excellent campaign.
Truer words never spoken. Obama will be a very dangerous opponent, just like last time. We write him off at our peril. He lives for campaigning, and is just getting started. The media will move Heaven and Earth to get him re-elected, and destroy and potential Republican candidate (look what they did to Palin, and are now doing to Cain).
Just as dangerous will be the annual conservative circular firing squads, that are already being formed. We'd better support our candidate if for no other reason than Obama represents an unprecedented threat to the future of the Republic. He's going to spend this country into oblivion if he gets a second term.
I'm with you on this. With the economy in this country pretty much gone to hell in a handbasket, I cannot for the life of me understand how this worthless piece of crap could ever poll over the 30% or so of true believers.
The MSM will never be on your side- you have to seize the discourse and pound it home...
Canada...socialized medicine, $hitiest internet on planet earth (massive throttling/30gig download caps with EVERY provider, liberal hell
Mexico...drug cartels. No 2nd amendment rights
Europe...socialism hell (see Greece)
New Zealand...see Canada
It isnt the national debt that will kill obama. its jobs, and nothing else. when people cant work, they cant live, period.
Jobs are everything