Romney has clear lead among Republicans

Reuters (via Yahoo) ^

[Solaia]

Mitt Romney has a growing lead in the race for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, and almost half of the party's voters expect him to be the nominee, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll.

Twenty-eight percent of Republicans backed the former Massachusetts governor, giving him a lead of 8 percentage points over his nearest challenger Herman Cain in the poll, taken November 10-11.

[no dems]

I’m thinking that since it’s 51 days (counting today) until the Iowa Caucuses, anything can still happen. 51 days in politics is an eternity. After the Iowa Caususes, I think you will see 4 candidates still in the race and polls will start to mean something then, and only then. I predict the survivors of Iowa will be: Romney, Gingrich, Cain and Paul. Possibly one more; who might do better in Iowa than people think he will, Rick Santorum. Then, NH and SC will weed out all but two. From there, I’m thinking it will be Romney and Newt or Romney and Cain. Paul will still be a player, but an insignificant one. Then, polls will take on a new meaning.

Comments? Anyone?

[TexasFreeper2009]

yep, everyone just needs to sit tight till Monday when the real polls get released again.

Monday is the critical day, since the full affect (if any) to Cain from that last bimbo will be seen in the Monday polls.

What I will be looking for:

does the gap between Romney and Cain shrink or even worse do they switch positions... this is far more important than the raw numbers since different polls use different methodologies.

Thus, if polls on Monday show Cain at 20 ...

That would be fine if Romney is at 16 and Gingrich at 12
But if Romney is at 25 and Cain 20 that's an entirely different.

That Marist Poll on Friday was garbage (polled non republicans) and this is just an online poll, which is also garbage.

[Jemian]

Pish tosh.

[mountainlion]

It appears to me that the demoRats have chosen Romeny as the republican candidate. He would be a good RINO candidate. We have a year to watch this soap opera.

[Jemian]

Are you a concern troll?

[Usagi_yo]

Don’t care. I will *never* vote for Romney. I’m rooting for Cain or Gingrich.

[bossmechanic]

Consider the source - Reuters.
They are nothing but Obama pimps so they minimize Cain and attack Romney or any other running RINO competition.
BTW, I’m banned from Reuters posting so you know where I’m coming from.
Cain/Gingrich ‘12

[Toadman]

Nice try Rueters.

[TexasFreeper2009]

I think Perry will stick with it at least until South Carolina, but if he doesn’t win anything by Florida he is out.

It would be VERY good if Perry dropped out before Texas votes, because Cain could pick up more delegates here than all the previous likely primary wins of Romney combined, and Romney polls really bad here low single digits.

[Solaia]

I tend to think your analysis is spot on. I would add that I’d like to see Newt stick around a while, but I wonder where his money will be coming from.

The other thing is, when people DO start dropping out, where does there money go? And of course, the wild card is Palin. If she supports anyone, what effect will that have.

I wonder, since she ran with a Rino, will she support another Rino. If she were to endorse Romney, I wonder what impact that would have? (besides causing a few vessels to burst!)

[Cato in PA]

If online polls were worth a damn, Ron Paul would have a double-digit lead in almost every state.

[pcottraux]

Romney is in the same spot that Giuliani was in during the 2008 race. AND Hillary Clinton. And Howard Dean in the ‘04 Democrat primaries.

Don’t worry about it. These races are volatile and anything can change between now and the first voting.

[deport]

A simple answer, Yes or No.

Do you support Romney for the GOP Primary nomination?

[Solaia]

Not at all. But I am a realist.

I think the problem is real. I think saying “Romney sucks” is fine, but not realistic. I think saying “polls suck” is fine, and may be right, but also is not realistic.

Romney isn’t going anywhere. He has an endless stream of money. It takes money to win.

[aruanan]

Romney has clear lead among Republicans

Except for most of the polls where he doesn't.

2) Obama seems to ignore Cain despite polls providing evidence that he should not. Why?

Because, like other potential threats (Hillary and those in Illinois), he plans to knock them off, one way or another, before crunch time. There is NO way in the world, in the small, dark, devious world of what passes for his mind, that he's going to have to run against a 100% black guy from a whole family who's also an American success story who wants to dismantle everything Barry has stood for and then have voters say, "Why did we try the dietetic version first instead of the real thing? Diet versions of the real thing suck."

He doesn't want to see, "As Carter was to Reagan, so Obama was to Cain." He will do literally anything to prevent this, whether at his own hand or that of a Chicago subordinate. Does anyone really think that the administration that deliberately put thousands of guns into the hands of the Mexican criminal drug cartels, that hires tax cheats in violation of their own professed ethics rules, that shovels billions of dollars of taxpayer money into the hands of political cronies will hesitate to try to eliminate the threat Cain poses, and that gets House and Senate leaders to pass bills unread and undebated? And who knows how many other Penn States they have at their fingertips to clutter the news cycle with chaff to obscure what they're up to?

[USS Alaska]

The poll results are from an online survey of 461 Republican registered voters.

Because this was an online poll, typical margins of error do not apply. Despite that, various recognized methods were used to provide a representative sample and weighted results.

It's a bullshit on-line poll, they all are.

Some even count multiple votes from the same computer.

I voted yesterday for Herman Cain and the flawed poll counted multiple votes.

My personal voting drove his results from 47.5 to 50.5 and I got tired of the silly game and left the site.

Even if the poll only counts your vote once, there is no way to prove the a "registered pubbie" is really one, if they ever voted or intend to vote.

On line polls are just the media's attempt to use a technique to shape the news.

[Solaia]

“Do you support Romney for the GOP Primary nomination?”

No, not at all. Honestly, right now I lean Cain, but I’m really not thrilled with any of them. And that’s what stinks.

[Diogenesis]

Gov. Palin endorses her own backstabber, Milt?

IN YOUR DREAMS, RomneyBOT.

"Peeking Out From the McCain Wreckage: Mitt Romney"

"Someone's got to say it: IS MITT ROMNEY RESPONSIBLE FOR OBAMA'S VICTORY?"

"Vanity: Team Romney Sabotaged Palin and Continuing to Do So?"

"Romney Supporters Trashing Palin"

"Romney advisors sniping at Palin?"

---

Poor sport spoiler Romney doing what he does best:

Novak: "Fred Thompson drop-out rumors traced to Romney campaign"

Said Novak: "The rumors were traced in part to Mitt Romney's campaign,
trying to stir up strife between McCain and Thompson."

---

"Despite outspending his rivals by huge margins throughout the primaries,
(Mitt Romney, Carpetbagger UT,CA,MA,NH,Mexico) lost Iowa, South Carolina, Florida and California.
The only primaries he won were in Michigan, where Dad was governor; LDS states;
and a few states on Super Tuesday in which his California-obsessed rivals
couldn't spare the cash to advertise.
Only John Connolly in 1968 had a worse cash-to-delegates ratio.
And John McCain rightly did not like Romney's tactics during the primaries.
(W)hen (Romney's early leads) started slipping away, he resorted to unfair,
distorted, scorched-earth negative ads, betting that his opponents couldn't
afford to spend enough for the truth to catch up to his charges."
[Romney: A Mistake for McCain, 7/23/2008, Dick Morris]

[bigdirty]

Don’t believe anything that promotes Romney as the inevitable choice. This is what the Dems, RINOs and MSM all want. They never have a good thing to say about any candidate but Romney because they want to demoralize you into believing their lies.

Repeat the lie of Romney being inevitable enough times and they are hoping people will believe it and either vote for him or stay home.

DON’T BELIEVE IT.

[MNJohnnie]

You mistake is beliving a Reuters poll. Returers has a long history of push polling.

Here is a more accurate image of the race

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/republican_presidential_nomination-1452.html

In addition, the reason 0 does not attack Cain is he knows Karl Rove and the GOP Establishment Media is all ready doing his job for him in regards to Cain