You are one of the posters who knew this was coming. Both of us have been minorly flamed suggesting that beating Obama will be a huge challenge.
At this point, if I was handicapping, I’d make Obama 3:2 favorite.
Thanks.. and I agree on those 3:2 odds.
I agree with those of you who think Hussein will pull this off and it might not even be close.
We have weak GOP candidates, Bam is the incumbent with available opportunities to lie and cheat his way to victory again, he has the MSM in his pocket and many voters are dumber than boxes of rocks.
There just aren’t enough of us who understand the implications and we will be powerless to stop the insanity.
Pray for our Republic.
At this point, if I was handicapping, Id make Obama 3:2 favorite.
Been trying to tell people the same thing. Yet it seems like the majority here on FR have managed to convince themselves Obama could not be re-elected - even though polling actually shows him faring remarkably well considering what a terrible job he has done. This absurd, echo chamber fantasy that Obama is going to be so easy to beat that we can just run anybody is absolute foolishness. Obama will be extremely difficult to defeat, he will get no less than 45% of the vote and is more likely to get closer to 50% of vote. IF we win in 2012, it will probably be by a very slim margin.
At this point people are used to a bad economy.
I am sorry, but anyone who thinks we will just coast to taking him down are ridiculous.
People are only just begging to get a tinge of paying attention and won’t really until May or so...many even later.
I am not surprised Obama is improving a bit, though I would be surprised if he improves a lot here.
It would seem to depend on the campaigning skill of the Republican nominee and how vulnerable he is to Cigago style dirt and excrement digging and flinging. These are not quantifiable factors at this stage. But a successful campaigning history in the nominee is the most likely factor to even the odds and even tip them against the One.
I’ll take your odd.
I think you’re right. When I saw Obama sworn in back in early ‘09, my gut told me right then and there he’s a two-termer.
Same as my gut told me the same with G.W. Bush and Clinton.
So far, I’ve been right. All my friends back stateside laughed at me when I said W was going to have two terms.
I made a total of $400 off that little bet. :)