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Breaking the Back of the GOP Base
Townhall.com ^ | November 18, 2011 | Hugh Hewitt

Posted on 11/19/2011 3:30:19 AM PST by Kaslin

There are three "keystone deductions" in the IRS code that matter more than all others to Americans who itemize deductions.

They are keystone deductions because they help the middle and upper middle class and they promote extraordinarily important social policies which have long been at the center of the traditional values held by most Americans.

The first is the deduction for contributions to qualified charities, such as hospitals, high schools and colleges, charities serving everyone from children to the homless to the old and infirm, and of course churches of every denomination.

The second keystone deduction allows homeowners with mortgages to deduct the interest on that mortgage from their income before calculating the ta they owe. This deduction encourages people to buy houses and is in fact a key component of the value of every house in America. The deduction is a valuable part of every home. If it is ended or limited, the value of every house in America falls, even if that home has no mortgage on it. The same downward pressure on home values occurs even if the deduction is only limited for some houses or some owners --say second houses or homes costing more than $500,000. The housing market doesn't distinguish between who owns what, but cares mostly about what buyers are willing to pay, and a lower or eliminated deduction means fewer buyers which means falling house values.

The third deduction allows taxpayers to deduct from their income before calculating their federal tax all the state and local taxes they paid in the previous year. Americans in high tax states, already staggering along under punitive tax regimes, would be smashed by any limit on this deduction. Some would call such a move a last straw, and leave the already reeling states like California, but most would simply be trapped where their jobs and (suddenly less valuable) homes are, paying higher and higher taxes.

Thus a Pennsylvania family of six with two kids in college, with a mortgage that has been refinanced to help pay tuition, but which still makes a tithe to their church is looking at a triple whammy tax hike if these deductions go away or are limited. So would millions of other Americans.

Which is why reaction ranged from shock to anger when two Republicans on the so-called Supercommittee proposed attacking those very deductions this week. Pennsylvania's Senator Pat Toomey and Texas Congressman Jeb Hensarling, both credentialed conservatives, stunned their center-right supporters and Republicans across the country by proposing a plan to raise hundreds of millions of dollars of new revenues financed by the assault on these keystone deductions.

The AP's Stephen Ohlemacher described the Toomey-Hensarling ta hikes this way:

A GOP plan to raise taxes by $290 billion over the next decade would limit deductions for mortgage interest, charitable donations and state and local taxes as part of a deficit-reduction deal. Some workers could also see their employer-provided health benefits taxed for the first time, though aides cautioned that the plan is still fluid....

The top income tax rate would fall from 35 percent to 28 percent, and the bottom rate would drop from 10 percent to 8 percent. The rates in between would be reduced as well. A GOP congressional aide said the plan is designed to raise taxes on households in the top two tax brackets. That would affect individuals making more than $174,400 and married couples making more than $212,300.

The plan has already split the Congressional GOP, but its dire consequences are just beginning to be felt across the country. I have spent much of this week's radio shows talking to experts and callers about the Toomey-Hensarling tax hikes, and while an occasional supporter will speak in favor of all or part of its provisions --former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman for example-- the vast majority assailed the plan as bad policy, horrible politics and, crucially, a breach of faith with voters who sent the GOP back to Congress in November 2010 with a mandate to cut spending, not raise taxes and in the process of raising taxes, changes many of the crucial rules by which the country has operated for decades.

On my show Rick Santorum called the proposed package another "Read my lips" moment, harkening back to the promise which the first President Bush made and then disastrously broke in a "big deal" with Democrats 20 years ago.

Callers were fuming. One retired sheriff living in Calfiornia berated me for leading him to contribute to Pat Toomey's 2010 Senate campaign. Many others simply stated they would lose their house to which they were barely hanging on if the deduction was lost. A wise accountant friend laughed at the idea that slashing the charitable deduction wouldn't dramatically impact high income giver's giving. And when contributions fell, so would the services delivered by those groups and employment within the vast not-for-profit sector.

Where could such a horrific idea have come from? Why, from three economists of course, all from the National Bureau, and beloved by the purists at the Wall Street Journal and the Club for Growth.

Good for them. Let them put their plan before the GOP Convention and have it adopted as a platform.

Let them ask Speaker Boehner to amend, republish and then campaign on a revised Pledge to America, because the 2010 version said nothing about these radical measures.

That is the biggest problem with the plan: The new Congress was sent to D.C. to represent the cut spending/shrink government movement in the country, and it instead has produced a secret committee that is hurtling towards a massive tax hike --authored by Republicans!

Some Republicans argue it is either this or the automatic "sequestration" built into last summer's debt ceiling deal which would hammer defense spending with an unimaginable $600 billion in more cuts on top of the hundreds of billions already unwisely slashed from DoD's funding.

But the sequestration doesn't take effect until 2013, and there is an election between now and then which could empower a new president, with a new GOP majority in the Senate working alongside a the GOP majority in the House, to actually reform entitlements and control spending without raising taxes or slashing defense.

If the GOP that is already inside the Beltway embraces tax hikes, especially this ruinous trio of deeply damaging hikes, the message will be clear to many millions of voters: You cannot trust Republicans who promise to cut spending and keep a lid on taxes.

Not even for one year.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Editorial; Government
KEYWORDS: deductions; irs; rino4nogrowth; rinos4taxes; rinosvsamerica; taxcode; taxes
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1 posted on 11/19/2011 3:30:19 AM PST by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

It must be in the drinking water, that’s the only way to explain it.


2 posted on 11/19/2011 3:37:13 AM PST by SatinDoll (NO FOREIGN NATIONALS AS U.S.A. PRESIDENT)
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To: Kaslin

Increasing taxes on the American people is not the way to grow the party, let alone the economy in a recession.

If the GOP hasn’t learned that by now, then its learned nothing.


3 posted on 11/19/2011 3:41:19 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop

Close the Departments of Education and Energy. Cut every other agency in government by 10 percent. Stop all foreign aid.


4 posted on 11/19/2011 3:47:26 AM PST by Eric in the Ozarks
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To: Kaslin

I know Pat Toomey.

This is a public relations move to show that the GOP was willing to go along with “revenue enhancements” but the liberals still would not make a deal.

Toomey and others know the Dems will not take the deal. Instead, John Kerry and others will blame the Republicans on the committee for blocking everything (in keeping with Obama’s campaign theme).

Don’t confuse ideology with playing politics.


5 posted on 11/19/2011 4:10:19 AM PST by Erik Latranyi
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To: Erik Latranyi

Here they go again being snookered. The stupid Republicans selling out the store thinking the libs will reciprocate. What lousy card players or should I use the right term: “traitors,” who are complicit with the Socialists in taxing the hell out of use to destroy our society and economy. Enough is enough.


6 posted on 11/19/2011 4:19:41 AM PST by iontheball
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To: Kaslin
It was strategery -- a trial balloon designed to fail. DUms should have called the bluff, because the GOP is going to be able to flood the zone with the plethora of details they were willing to put on the table every time Bobo raises his main raison d'etre for re-election -- which was a horribly awful gambit to begin with from Axelrot and deserves to be rammed right back at 'em.

That said there are only a handful of Congressmen that are both smart enough to make hay and clever enough as extemporaneous speakers to toss said hay over Bobo's head.

7 posted on 11/19/2011 4:20:46 AM PST by StAnDeliver (/)
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To: Eric in the Ozarks

“Close the Departments of Education and Energy. Cut every other Agency by 10 percent. Stop all foreign aid.”

The Republican House has the power to do all of these things but it’s leadership lacks either the courage to take a stand or the desire to really stop socialism. It is clear the Democrats have no intention of slowing spending except for the military. They are cleverly framing the debate in a way that forces the Republicans to take the blame if the budget talks fail or force the Republicans to abandon core principles in order to strike a deal. The Democrats are playing to win while the Republican leadership, as usual is playing a defensive game. Unfortunately politics as usual is destroying the nation. So far I haven’t seen that we are better off with a Republican House given the way Boehner is conducting himself. All we seem to have accomplished in 2010 is giving Obama a “Republican Congress” to run against in 2012. I’m beginning to believe the Dems have a winning strategy to retake the House in 2012’ keep the Senate, and return Obama to office.

You can’t win if you don’t fight. I see little fight in the Republicans against a Democrat Party prepared to do anything to control the levers of power.


8 posted on 11/19/2011 4:23:31 AM PST by Soul of the South (When times are tough the tough get going.)
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To: Eric in the Ozarks

“Close the Departments of Education and Energy. Cut every other Agency by 10 percent. Stop all foreign aid.”

The Republican House has the power to do all of these things but it’s leadership lacks either the courage to take a stand or the desire to really stop socialism. It is clear the Democrats have no intention of slowing spending except for the military. They are cleverly framing the debate in a way that forces the Republicans to take the blame if the budget talks fail or force the Republicans to abandon core principles in order to strike a deal. The Democrats are playing to win while the Republican leadership, as usual is playing a defensive game. Unfortunately politics as usual is destroying the nation. So far I haven’t seen that we are better off with a Republican House given the way Boehner is conducting himself. All we seem to have accomplished in 2010 is giving Obama a “Republican Congress” to run against in 2012. I’m beginning to believe the Dems have a winning strategy to retake the House in 2012’ keep the Senate, and return Obama to office.

You can’t win if you don’t fight. I see little fight in the Republicans against a Democrat Party prepared to do anything to control the levers of power.


9 posted on 11/19/2011 4:23:31 AM PST by Soul of the South (When times are tough the tough get going.)
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To: Kaslin

I guess this is coming from the Supercommittee, but I wouldn’t worry about it right now.

The Super-Commottee was formed to fail anyway, so it won’t come from there.

The whole idea was unConstitutional and stupid to begin with.


10 posted on 11/19/2011 4:23:42 AM PST by Venturer
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To: Kaslin

they must want CWII


11 posted on 11/19/2011 4:27:57 AM PST by tgusa (gun control: deep breath, sight alignment, squeeze the trigger .......)
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To: Kaslin

Well, I am suprised it came from Republicans, but I am not surprised at this move. Cpmmunists always wipe out the middle class. That’s just what Communists do.


12 posted on 11/19/2011 4:31:25 AM PST by Paperdoll (On the cutting edge)
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To: Kaslin

a vote for GOP is a vote for progressives

the DNC and the GOP are the problem. progressives run them both


13 posted on 11/19/2011 4:32:52 AM PST by sten (fighting tyranny never goes out of style)
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To: StAnDeliver
This is why the ‘class warfare’ works so well for the RATS, even the majority of Republicans aren't willing to go along with tax reform if it effects them.

That only leaves the very poor and very rich in small enough groups to heap the cuts on. We all know which of those two it is acceptable to attack.

That is why I think that only a flat tax with a high personal exemption has any chance of ever passing.

14 posted on 11/19/2011 4:34:46 AM PST by Beagle8U (Free Republic -- One stop shopping ....... It's the Conservative Super WalMart for news .)
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To: sten
a vote for GOP is a vote for progressives

So, for whom would you vote?

15 posted on 11/19/2011 4:40:18 AM PST by foxfield (Sarah Palin, America's "girl next door".)
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To: Kaslin

The mortgage deduction should only be there for mortgages below $500K. There already is a terrific incentive for people to buy homes - - mortgage interest at 4%.

When we built our home ourselves - as in manual labor - in the 80’s, the mortgage rate was 13 1/2%. We never made enough money to qualify for a deduction. As soon as rates dropped we refinanced down to 11 1/2%, then 9%. We wound up paying off the $25K in less than 20 years. In that time we had two sons at Penn State, but they lived at home and went to a satellite campus for the first two years and worked summers and got their degrees with student loans that amounted to the price of a small car at that time - - $6 and $8K and paid them off. One is now a Ph. D. and the other a PE and PLS.


16 posted on 11/19/2011 4:43:39 AM PST by finnsheep
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To: Erik Latranyi
Instead, John Kerry and others will blame the Republicans on the committee for blocking everything (in keeping with Obama’s campaign theme).

Of course, it's never their fault. Last night on his show Bill O'Reilly showed a clip with Barney Frank blaming the Republicans for the Fannie Mae and Freddy Mac scandal

17 posted on 11/19/2011 4:43:46 AM PST by Kaslin (Acronym for OBAMA: One Big Ass Mistake America)
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To: goldstategop

Remember the other day, when some of us were in a big disagreement over whether this was a tax increase, or just increased revenues through lowering overall taxes but cutting out “loopholes” so more could not get out of paying their “fair share”?

It was amazing, listening to he rank ignorance from some, who kept claiming that this would be a very good thing. That it would reduce our taxes, reduce the deficit and make more pay who were supposedly getting out of it currently. You know, like those who get deductions for mortgage, charity and deductions for State and local taxes.

But more astounding was the fact that these people kept insisting that this was not a tax increase, it was just a way of increasing revenue while at the same time reducing taxes.

This is like cattle, being fattened for the slaughter house, commenting on how good the food is and how much they have to eat.


18 posted on 11/19/2011 4:50:41 AM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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To: Kaslin
Wow. Even RINOs like Hewitt are upset.

I have to point out at least one deeply ironic line from this piece:

...Pennsylvania's Senator Pat Toomey and Texas Congressman Jeb Hensarling, both credentialed conservatives...

Which begs three questions:

1. Credentialed by whom?

2. What are these so-called "credentials"?

3. Just what is their definition of "conservative"?

19 posted on 11/19/2011 4:58:43 AM PST by EternalVigilance
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To: Kaslin

Eliminating the deductions for state and local taxes would help kill the blue states even faster.... For that matter, since Blue states tend to have higher real-estate prices than red states, capping the home mortgage deduction would disproportionately affect them, too.

I don’t like the idea of a stealth tax increase, but I can see the method to the madness.


20 posted on 11/19/2011 4:59:10 AM PST by I Shall Endure
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