Skip to comments.Will Demography Defeat Democrats?
Posted on 11/23/2011 5:22:50 AM PST by Kaslin
If demography is destiny, the Democratic Party could be facing big trouble. A growing contrast between the two major parties centers more and more on stark differences in marital status and religious involvement distinctions that should give substantial advantages to Republicans and place Democrats increasingly outside the American mainstream.
New polling from the Gallup Organization includes striking details that ought to alarm the administration and its allies. For the first time, substantial majorities of those who describe themselves as Democrats in the age of Obama say they are unmarried and irreligiousin a nation that overwhelmingly values both marriage and religion.
Between June and August, 2011, Gallup interviewed more than 78,000 adults, evenly divided between the two parties. Among Democrats, 52 percent say they seldom or never attend religious services; among Republicans, 61 percent go to church or synagogue once a month or more.
Even more surprisingly, 54 percent of Democrats say today they are single; up sharply from the 48 percent of the donkey party who counted as unmarried before Obamas election. For the GOP, on the other hand, the great bulk of its support (62 percent) continues to come from married adults.
As a party overwhelmingly comprised of church-goers and married people, the Republicans not only mirror the nation at large (where solid majorities are currently married and attend religious services at least monthly) but, more importantly, connect to nearly-universal American aspirations.
The most recent figures from the Census Bureau show that in 2010 more than 83 percent had been married at least once by age 40, while surveys suggest that the biggest groups of single adults (the never-married below 25 and widows above 65) would personally prefer to be part of marital relationships. Few people who currently hold the status of husbands and wives nourish a burning desire to live as singles (if they did, theyd divorce) but huge proportions of those who remain unmarried wish they could marry (or, in some cases, marry again).
On a similar note, even those Americans who may attend church services less regularly than Republicans express strong positive feelings toward religion, while few among the great bulk of Americans who say that they pray regularly would endorse the attitudes of the irreligious majority in the Democratic Party. A typical recent poll (from CBS News in 2009) showed 59 percent of all respondents saying they pray often and an identical percentage agreeing that religion is very important in their daily lives. Among the 40 percent in that survey who said that they go to services nearly every week its safe to say that few believe they should worship less frequently, but among the 39 percent who admitted they attend less often many would no doubt acknowledge that they wished they could participate on a more regular basis. Only 20 percent flatly declared that they never go to services the position that currently dominates the Democratic Party.
In other words, the United States not only remains a nation where the bulk of the populace attends religious services regularly and most adults go home each night to a husband or wife, but big majorities still believe that marriage and faith are positive influences in our national life. For all the misleading talk about the imminent collapse of marriage, the 2010 Census brought the surprising news that among all children under age 18, nearly 70 percent live with both biological parents.
In this regard, the Democratic Party faces an obvious challenge with its majorities of the unmarried and the irreligious. The broader public (and even prominent Democratic leaders) express strong support for lasting marriage and dynamic faith communities as beneficial to the nation. President Obama has spoken frequently to encourage religiosity (giving some of his most eloquent addresses at various prayer breakfasts and church services) and passionately makes the case for responsible fatherhood and stable families.
By promoting such sentiments, dont Democrats unwittingly acknowledge that they want more people to resemble Republicans and fewer Americans to be like them? Dont they implicitly endorse GOP values over their own?
The reason that married, church-going people disproportionately develop Republican affiliation has less to do with conservative convictions on divisive social issues (like abortion, guns, or gay marriage) and more to do with distrust of big government and preferred reliance on intimate arrangements. The great conservative philosopher and parliamentarian Edmund Burke emphasized the importance of the little platoons of civil society family, church, community, business above centralized institutions of government. People who can count on religious involvement and family support networks to help with the basic needs of existence (from childcare to elder care) will feel less call for costly, intrusive, bureaucratic programs to satisfy daily demands. On the other hand, the unmarried and the un-churched count as far more likely to feel alone and unprotected, supporting expansive, activist government to address their urgent needs.
By most measures, Republicans exemplify values and behavior that most Americans want for themselves, since those affiliated with the GOP are more likely to be committed to long-term marriages, active in their churches and synagogues, achieving financial success (with 23 percent earning above $90,000 compared to 18 percent in the nation at large), and far less likely to experience (or support) reliance on government welfare programs.
The minority communities that today provide Democrats with their most unshakably reliable supporters (with 36 percent of Democrats identified as non-white compared to only 26 percent in the general public) most emphatically share the positive view of faith and family thats so disproportionately displayed in the Republican Party. A fresh push among black and particularly Hispanic voters should portray the GOP as the natural home for all those who want their kids to grow up to lasting marriages and life-long religious commitmentschipping away at that near monolithic minority support that sustains Barack Obamas increasingly forlorn hopes for re-election.
If the right side of the political spectrum can persuade the public that the embrace of conservative ideas and candidates will reliably help more people live like Republicans, they could make significant progress toward that dream of a durable GOP majority thats eluded them for more than 80 years.
It's all about appearances. The dems want to appear to support stable families and responsible fatherhood, but the mother's milk of liberalism is dependence upon big government. Stable families and responsible fathers are anathema to the true goals of liberals: substitution of government for "Daddy" and "husband."
To the liberal, “religion” is supported by four pillars:
1. The democrat party is the mosque of worship.
2. All ideology springs from the sharia of marxism.
3. There is no god but the State.
4. Obama is its prophet.
One minor correction; the RATS' mascot is not a donkey, it's a jackass.
Homosexuality, abortion, putting career above motherhood, etc.
That explains why they target our children as early as kindergarten and why they have to bribe women to have children with welfare, food stamps and other goodies to have kids.
Thanks for the post. I knew that Lib Dems (and all Marxists/Communist/Fascists/Socialists) produce nothing, only destroy. But I had never seen expressed the link to the "kiss of death" from the Dem base. The Dem base: feminists, gays, pro abortionists, Leftists. None of them "build" things, only destroy. The question is how they "reproduce". Lies, Deception and Dependency.That is why they have to blame others for their failures. Unfortunately we are along for their destructive ride until we can extract them from our government.
God Bless the United States and heal our nation. And our friends in Israel.
The argument is often made that immigrants have a stronger commitment to traditional family values than do native-born Americans. However, birth records show that about one-third of births to both groups are now to unmarried parents. Moreover, unmarried immigrants are significantly more likely than unmarried natives to give birth. Illegitimacy may be especially problematic for children of immigrants because they need strong families to adjust to life in America.
America is committing demographic suicide. Third World immigration must stop.
As long as those from south of the border continue to come here and breed like the vermin they are, the Right is finished in the US.
Typical wishful thinking. Nonwhites vote overwhelmingly Demonrat, and the nonwhite population continues to grow as deliberate policy decisions by the Demonrats pump the country full of millions of Third World immigrants.
Unfortunately, you are correct.
Take a look at the electoral college map and show me how you are going to elect a Republican President if Texas flips to the D column due to the growth in the Hispanic voting population in that state. Ditto AZ, CO, NV and NM. We’ve had a taste of that in 2008 and the prospects down the road do not look favorable.
Unless, of course, we can bring more of the Hispanics to their senses. That seems like a long shot to me.
A core group of evangelical Christians might be small in number, but their offspring tend to be higher than average, more motivated than average, and of a lot higher “caliber” than average,
and especially higher in the caliber and motivation category than the hoards of intentionally demotivated and dumbed down democrat vote-slaves.
There are churches that are extremely liberal, and there are a lot of them.
Exactly. That’s why Christians need to take their kids out of government run schools unless they know without a shadow of doubt that their kids are able to withstand the onslaught of demonic influences they will encounter.
Someone once said “statistics are for losers”.
I hope that in this instance that person was wrong.
All learned behaviors. All taught by TV, the internet, schools, and other forms of mass media.
This article is bogus, and is not seeing the forest for the trees.