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How to Topple Iran's Ayatollahs
Real Clear World ^ | Jamsheed Choksy

Posted on 11/25/2011 2:14:44 PM PST by nuconvert

Why, despite the growing danger posed by Iran's nuclear program, have the United States and other nations restricted themselves to negotiations, economic sanctions and electronic intrusions? None of those tactics has been particularly effective or produced enduring changes.

The main argument against military action is that it would set Iran's nuclear program back only a few years, and that Tehran would retaliate directly and via surrogates, drawing the U.S. into another unwinnable war. Many fear also that Iranians will rally behind their regime with nationalist fervor, dashing hope of regime change for decades and turning Iran's largely pro-Western population against the West once again, to the mullahs' great benefit.

These concerns are based on worst-case scenarios that assume Iran has the resources to rebuild quickly, to retaliate without being thwarted, and to get the average Iranian to rally behind a regime hated for its violent oppression of dissent, stifling social codes, economic failures and isolationist policies. Yet Iran's government is already weakened by very public infighting between its much disliked ruling factions.

We should not conclude that a nuclear Iran is inevitable. Instead we should think about another way of confronting the threat. The real goal of air strikes should be not only to target Iran's nuclear facilities but to cripple the ayatollahs' ability to protect themselves from popular overthrow.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearworld.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bomb; economy; facilities; iran; oil; regime

1 posted on 11/25/2011 2:14:55 PM PST by nuconvert
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To: nuconvert

I’m more interested in toppling the Ubama Regime.


2 posted on 11/25/2011 2:18:26 PM PST by Howie66 (I can see November (2012) from my house.)
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To: nuconvert

Sounds good but NOT going to happen with this marxist moose limb loving punk in office.


3 posted on 11/25/2011 2:20:21 PM PST by Joe Boucher (FUBO ya quota boy ( Real conservative or go fish, Sooo, that leaves you out Mitt))
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To: nuconvert

something is up ...

http://seeker401.wordpress.com/2011/11/25/americans-to-leave-syria-immediately-cvn-77-george-h-w-bush-moves-alongside-syria/


4 posted on 11/25/2011 2:21:33 PM PST by SF_Redux (Sarah stands for accountablility and personal responsiblity, democrats can't live with that)
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To: SF_Redux

Yes, I’ve read about that. I’d like to think something is up with Syria, but I’m not holding my breath that this isn’t all some scare tactic to get Assad to back down.
btw- it doesn’t seem to be working.


5 posted on 11/25/2011 2:26:01 PM PST by nuconvert ( Khomeini promised change too // Hail, Chairman O)
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To: nuconvert
The main (liberal) argument against military action is that it would set Iran's nuclear program back only a few years, and that Tehran would retaliate directly and via surrogates, drawing the U.S. into another unwinnable war. Many (liberals) fear also that Iranians will rally behind their regime with nationalist fervor, dashing hope of regime change for decades and turning Iran's largely pro-Western population against the West once again, to the mullahs' great benefit.
Paragraph fixed.
We should not conclude that a nuclear Iran is inevitable
Why not?
The mass uprisings in 2009 - known as the Green Revolution - have dissipated because few protesters saw any hope of mustering the force necessary to defeat the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and Basij paramilitary forces who brutally enforce Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's authority
No . . . they dispersed because the USA didn't support them materially and fell silent while the paramilitaries cracked down on those who were protesting. Besides, the vast majority of the Iranian population supports the Mullahs.

The rest of this article has liberal-sounding solutions. No sale.
6 posted on 11/25/2011 2:29:45 PM PST by Olog-hai
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To: Olog-hai

“Besides, the vast majority of the Iranian population supports the Mullahs.”

Really? Who told you that? The vast majority of the population is under the age of 30 and does NOT support the mullahs.

“We should not conclude that a nuclear Iran is inevitable
Why not?”

Because to assume that it’s inevitable means that you stop trying to prevent it and all you do is think about how to live with it. And that’s Wrong.

I wish inserting the word ‘liberal’ made your paragraph accurate, unfortunately, it doesn’t, as there are plenty of conservatives who seem convinced of those arguments as well (though, I don’t necessarily agree with them)


7 posted on 11/25/2011 2:37:27 PM PST by nuconvert ( Khomeini promised change too // Hail, Chairman O)
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To: nuconvert

All you have to do is get a list of the 100 top officals in Iran and park a cruise missle in their bedroom at 3 am on the same night. It would save tens of thousands of life’s over time.


8 posted on 11/25/2011 2:54:46 PM PST by Plumres
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To: nuconvert
Via air strikes
1. Destroy the Revolutionary Guards ability to communicate and retaliate and at the same time kill as many of them as you can. These are the same guys that took our embassy hostage in Tehran.
2. Decapitate the civilian government (actually dictator government)
3. Only the bad guys in Iran have weapons, send weapons and give air support to the good guys.
4. Strike nuclear installations that are part of the program to develop nuclear bombs.
The above 4 are what we did in Libya but it remains to be seen if the good guys in Libya are good guys. I do not think they are.
5. Tell the UN and Jimmy Carter to kiss your ass.
9 posted on 11/25/2011 2:58:47 PM PST by cpdiii (Deckhand, Roughneck, Mud Man, Geologist, Pilot, Pharmacist. THE CONSTITUTION IS WORTH DYING FOR!)
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To: SF_Redux

There is more up with this. Review the map and legend below it from this thread.

Only two of our 11 CVN carriers are deployed. The rest are in home port.

Three of our 9 LDH assault ships are not in home port. Two of those are on port call, Bali and Pearl Harbor so only one is on deployment. The three ships on deployment are all in the middle east.

That means a single tactical nuke attack at Hampton Roads would virtually wipe out our Atlantic fleet. A coordinated attack on San Diego and we would be left with only four CVN’s and only the three LHD’s that are out of port.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/2811726/posts


10 posted on 11/25/2011 3:00:02 PM PST by mazda77 (and I am a Native Texan)
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To: Plumres

Sounds good to me


11 posted on 11/25/2011 3:14:03 PM PST by nuconvert ( Khomeini promised change too // Hail, Chairman O)
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To: cpdiii

I like your plan


12 posted on 11/25/2011 3:15:04 PM PST by nuconvert ( Khomeini promised change too // Hail, Chairman O)
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To: mazda77

I was just talking to someone about this yesterday. We were both surprised that so few were out to sea.


13 posted on 11/25/2011 3:18:20 PM PST by nuconvert ( Khomeini promised change too // Hail, Chairman O)
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To: nuconvert

The author ignores or doesn’t know about what is really containing Iran

Stuxnet, assassinated nuclear scientists, missile viruses, blown up missiles and missile generals have slowed and perhaps severely wounded the program

No one has claimed credit. They don’t know who to attack


14 posted on 11/25/2011 3:31:25 PM PST by bert (K.E. N.P. +12 ..... Crucifixion is coming)
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To: nuconvert
The Mad Mullahs MUST be toppled.
15 posted on 11/25/2011 3:55:52 PM PST by TBP (Obama lies, Granny dies.)
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To: nuconvert

The vast majority of the population is under the age of 30 and does NOT support the mullahs
AIUT, that does apply in the city, whereas the countryside is another story.

Because to assume that it’s inevitable means that you stop trying to prevent it and all you do is think about how to live with it. And that’s Wrong
No, that's only one side of that coin. The other side is you actually stopping it before it gets any further, so as to change the course.

I wish inserting the word ‘liberal’ made your paragraph accurate, unfortunately, it doesn’t, as there are plenty of conservatives who seem convinced of those arguments as well (though, I don’t necessarily agree with them)
They're not conservatives. There are quite a few libertarians on this board, with extremely varied views on foreign policy from individual to individual; however, those that sympathize with Ron Paul are isolationists and regrettably naïve on foreign policy. The rest are CINOs who for some reason wish to appear conservative but are truly liberal.
16 posted on 11/25/2011 4:24:33 PM PST by Olog-hai
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To: nuconvert

Iran’s oil facilities should be bombed. That would end the excuses against doing anything real about Iran’s nuclear weapons facilities.


17 posted on 11/25/2011 4:37:33 PM PST by familyop (We Baby Boomers are croaking in an avalanche of rotten politics smelled around the world.)
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To: nuconvert
Just don't ask our closet moslem to attack his brothers in Iran. It's no coincedink that Ubama warned Israel not to overfly Egyptian, Syrian, Lebanese airspace along the way.

How Israel reacts now will determine their survival. If the IAF doesn't attack they'll get nuked within 12-18 months. It's fortunate that Zero has behaved as badly as he has toward BiBi, because Israel knows it can't rely upon the USA to enforce real punitive embargo's, or an effective attack upon Iran's extensive nuclear facilities.

18 posted on 11/25/2011 5:08:16 PM PST by STD (Cut Taxes, Cut Spending Stupid!)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Thanks nuconvert.
These concerns are based on worst-case scenarios that assume Iran has the resources to rebuild quickly, to retaliate without being thwarted, and to get the average Iranian to rally behind a regime hated for its violent oppression of dissent, stifling social codes, economic failures and isolationist policies. Yet Iran's government is already weakened by very public infighting between its much disliked ruling factions.

19 posted on 12/01/2011 4:57:57 PM PST by SunkenCiv (It's never a bad time to FReep this link -- https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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