Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

U.S. third-quarter growth revised down to 2.0% (Down from an already pathetic 2.5%)
Marketwatch ^ | 11/25/2011 | Jeffry Bartash

Posted on 11/26/2011 8:17:31 AM PST by SeekAndFind

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — The U.S. economy grew at a slower pace than originally estimated in the third quarter, mainly because companies reduced inventories and did not invest as much.

The Commerce Department cut its estimate of gross domestic product to 2.0% from a first reading of 2.5%. Government’s second revision of GDP includes data not fully available earlier, such inventory levels and trade data. As a result, it paints a more accurate picture of U.S. growth.

Economists surveyed by MarketWatch expected the government to trim its estimate to 2.3%.

Still, the 2.0% growth rate was the fastest since the fourth quarter of 2010. The economy only grew at a 1.3% rate in the 2011 second quarter and 0.4% in the first quarter.

And most economists predict the U.S. will grow even faster in the final three months of this year — 2.5% based on the latest MarketWatch forecast.

The main reason: consumer spending has accelerated. In the third quarter, real final sales were left unchanged at a healthy 3.6% increase. Spending was also up sharply in the first month of the fourth quarter.

Real final sales, which excludes imports, is viewed as the best indicator of economic activity in the GDP report because it measures domestic consumer demand. Consumer spending accounts for as much as 70% of all U.S. growth.

What’s more, a decline in inventories is often followed by an increase. That suggests fourth-quarter GDP could get a boost from rising inventories.

Yet while the economy accelerated since late summer, the U.S. is still not growing fast enough to put most Americans who want a job back to work. The unemployment rate stood at 9.0% in October.

“The surprises were not really much of a surprise and really are not to the main GDP components that determine trend growth,”

(Excerpt) Read more at marketwatch.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: collapse; economy; gdp; growth; obamanomics; preppers; recovery; shtf; teotwawki

1 posted on 11/26/2011 8:17:35 AM PST by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Must be those EEEVIIIL 1%ers doing their work again. /s


2 posted on 11/26/2011 8:25:08 AM PST by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
The GDP using a deflator that reflects the cost of a set standard of living (blue line), not the CPI which reflects a declining standard of living (red Line):



And this is without removing government spending!
3 posted on 11/26/2011 8:27:28 AM PST by algernonpj (He who pays the piper . . .)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: EGPWS

This coming week’s headlines are already written....

Best Black Friday Ever!

Best Cyber Monday Ever!
(but they’ll tell us we MUST Tax online sales)

Unemployment WAY down!
(Thanks to the 3 day work week)

Heil Hussein!


4 posted on 11/26/2011 8:35:44 AM PST by treetopsandroofs (Had FDR been GOP, there would have been no World Wars, just "The Great War" and "Roosevelt's Wars".)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Funny how all these pundits and politicos say obammy is so damn smart.
His policies are driving us to the poor house, cept for those who give him big campaign bucks.


5 posted on 11/26/2011 8:38:18 AM PST by Joe Boucher ((FUBO) obammy is just a quota boy)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Frankly, based on an average of the last ten or so quarterly GDP revisions, I’m surprised it wasn’t revised downward .7% to just under 2.0%


6 posted on 11/26/2011 9:13:32 AM PST by servantboy777
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
And just to remind everyone, that 2% growth is really quarterly growth of .5%. The government multiplies the quarterly result by four and calls it "annualizing".

1/2% is the size of a rounding error -- We are dead in the water; and that's by the gov's most generous lies estimates.

7 posted on 11/26/2011 9:28:13 AM PST by BfloGuy (The final outcome of the credit expansion is general impoverishment.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

“The U.S. economy grew at a slower pace than originally estimated in the third quarter, mainly because companies reduced inventories and did not invest as much.”

No. The U.S. economy grew at a slower pace than originally estimated in the third quarter, mainly because any economist thinking 2.5% was either lying or insane.


8 posted on 11/26/2011 9:30:01 AM PST by jiggyboy (Ten percent of poll respondents are either lying or insane)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

With what Obama and the socialist libs in this country our doing it’s a miracle we have anything close to 2 percent growth.


9 posted on 11/26/2011 10:16:11 AM PST by Secret Agent Man (I'd like to tell you, but then I'd have to kill you.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

With what Obama and the socialist libs in this country our doing it’s a miracle we have anything close to 2 percent growth.


10 posted on 11/26/2011 10:16:15 AM PST by Secret Agent Man (I'd like to tell you, but then I'd have to kill you.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

I believe this has been revised down so that if it goes to 2.5% next year they can claim that Obama has succeeding in “improving growth 25%” or some such nonsense.


11 posted on 11/26/2011 11:00:00 AM PST by Siena Dreaming
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
So they were wrong about their forecasts all year, including the 2.5% they projected for Q3 and yet they're saying - oh we're going to hit it for sure in Q4!

Everyone who wants a job should be able to get a job. Maybe not they job they dream about, but a job.

12 posted on 11/26/2011 12:15:07 PM PST by newzjunkey (Republicans will find a way to reelect Obama and Speaker Pelosi.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: treetopsandroofs
"This coming week’s headlines are already written.... "

This coming week?

Rounding Up Another Week Of Great Economic Data

Oh yeah, vote for Obama.

13 posted on 11/26/2011 12:29:09 PM PST by blam
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson