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Race to Replace Frank Could Be Competitive
RCP ^ | 11/28/11 | Sean Trende

Posted on 11/28/2011 11:12:20 AM PST by freespirited

Rep. Barney Frank announced Monday that he will not seek election to a 17th term. While the seat will definitely lean toward the Democrats, the election to replace Frank will likely be somewhat competitive.

Massachusetts lost a seat in the 2010 decennial redistricting. In addition to eliminating that seat, state Democrats wanted to shore up the party’s performance in the former 10th district, in southeastern Massachusetts. As such, Frank's district was changed fairly dramatically, and about half of it would have been new territory for him. In particular, the district lost some white working-class towns in the southern portion of the state to the 9th district (based on the old 10th), while adding some suburban territory.

This doesn't make much difference at the presidential voting level. Massachusetts suburbanites tend to dislike the social conservatism of the national Republican Party and cast their votes accordingly for Democrats. But at the state level, these suburbanites held the key to the Republican gubernatorial wins from 1990 through 2002, and for Scott Brown’s Senate win in early 2010.

And so, Frank’s would-be Democratic successor will find him- or herself running in a district that barely went for Democrat Deval Patrick (who won statewide by six points) in 2010 and that gave Republican Brown a 10-point win. The district has also added the hometown of Richard Ross, Scott Brown’s successor in the state Senate, while retaining the home of Sean Bielat, who last year gave Frank his only truly difficult race in decades.

The Democrats should win this race, but if Republicans field a solid challenger, they’ll have a shot at picking off the seat.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: barneyfrank; barneyfrankelection; barneyfrankgone; fwank; massachusetts10th; seanbialek
First Kennedy. Now Frank. Let's flip this seat, folks!
1 posted on 11/28/2011 11:12:34 AM PST by freespirited
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To: freespirited

Go to your nearest toilet.

Don’t flush.

Look down.

There’s Barney’s replacement.

(It’s Massachusetts, that’s what they elect.)


2 posted on 11/28/2011 11:14:10 AM PST by Da Coyote (Liberalism - when you absolutely, positively have no ability to produce wealth.)
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To: freespirited
***First Kennedy. Now Frank. Let's flip this seat, folks!***

Barney would approve of the last sentence....

3 posted on 11/28/2011 11:14:46 AM PST by goat granny
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To: freespirited

The age old question...WHO WANTS TO FILL BARNEY FRANK’S SEAT?


4 posted on 11/28/2011 11:15:10 AM PST by jessduntno ("They say the world has become too complex for simple answers... they are wrong." - RR)
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To: freespirited

Who will fill his seat?


5 posted on 11/28/2011 11:15:18 AM PST by SpaceBar
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To: freespirited

Frank to flee office before real FNMA GNMA hearings begin. Chris Dodd left early as well!


6 posted on 11/28/2011 11:15:18 AM PST by stocksthatgoup (Common sense although common knowledge is seldom common practice.)
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To: SpaceBar

His seat is up for grabs.


7 posted on 11/28/2011 11:17:10 AM PST by rightwingintelligentsia (Be careful of believing something just because you want it to be true.)
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To: SpaceBar

Sean Bielat, his opponent in 2010. Bahney got only 54% of the vote, which apparently blew his mind.


8 posted on 11/28/2011 11:18:19 AM PST by freespirited (Every great cause begins as a movement, becomes a business & degenerates into a racket. -- Hoffer)
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To: freespirited

THUFFERIN THUCKATATH! NOT THE BANKING QUEEN!


9 posted on 11/28/2011 11:23:15 AM PST by WOBBLY BOB (Congress: Looting the future to bribe the present.)
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To: Da Coyote

Cue up “Banking Queen” on the turntable...


10 posted on 11/28/2011 11:23:48 AM PST by Eric in the Ozarks
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To: freespirited

How can we force him to pay for his crimes, the majority of congress is corrupt with only a few exceptions. Fire all of them.


11 posted on 11/28/2011 11:27:27 AM PST by boomop1 (term limits is the only way to save this country.)
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To: freespirited

Even if the entire cost of disinfection and purification (preferably by fire) of his office in DC must be borne by the taxpayers, I will consider it money well spent.


12 posted on 11/28/2011 11:33:23 AM PST by WayneS (Comments now include 25 percent more sarcasm for no additional charge...)
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To: freespirited
Competition is evil and the Honorable Mr. Frank wants nothing to do with it. Perhaps he can set up some sort of small business in his basement.
13 posted on 11/28/2011 11:37:58 AM PST by DanMiller (Dan Miller)
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To: Da Coyote

I wouldn’t have put it exactly that way but yes, this is MA and you should expect more of the same esp from his district. The elected correctly reflect the electorate.


14 posted on 11/28/2011 12:05:55 PM PST by 556x45
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To: All
I have no idea where RCP operates out of but declaring that losing a few ‘ working class ‘ towns will hurt Frank's district is laughable.

Its not the working class towns that come out in support of him so much as the wealthy towns in the northern section of his district: Brookline, wellesley, Newton,Dover and so on. Lots of wealthy pissed off liberals in those towns. They vote for that clown over a Republican any day of the week.

That district didn't lose any of those towns that I know of so any Republican is still going to have a hard time of it. In anything its working class people who continue to wake up to the fact that Democrats are not their friends. If I recall correctly the ultra-wealthy towns in Massachusetts voted overwhelmingly for Obama in the primary. The working class towns voted for Hillary.

15 posted on 11/28/2011 12:12:30 PM PST by warsaw44
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To: rightwingintelligentsia
His seat stool is up for grabs. There, fixed it
16 posted on 11/28/2011 12:57:58 PM PST by Seattle
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To: freespirited

It’s difficult to be optimistic about taking Barney’s seat. How can the voters in that district gave him 16 terms?


17 posted on 11/28/2011 1:46:47 PM PST by kenmcg (How)
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