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In the Race for the Senate, Democrats Show Signs of Life
Center for politics ^ | 120111 | Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley,

Posted on 12/01/2011 8:43:07 AM PST by Fred

The Senate’s curious and byzantine rules and traditions are well explained in Robert Caro’s Master of the Senate, part of his sprawling, multi-volume biography of Lyndon B. Johnson (the fourth volume is scheduled to be released next year). Johnson, through his own cunning and ruthlessness, was arguably the most powerful Senate leader ever, as he bent the supposedly uncontrollable upper chamber to his will.

In one anecdote from the book, Johnson — characteristically — split the difference between liberals and conservatives in the Senate by ramming through a modest increase in the minimum wage. Johnson got the bill passed by holding a vote when the bill’s biggest opponents — liberals who wanted a bigger increase and conservatives who wanted no increase at all — weren’t on the floor. After the bill passed, one absent senator, Florida Democrat Spessard Holland, raced up to LBJ, demanding to know what happened. “Well, Spessard, I had a little vote. If you fellows aren’t on the job around here, I’ve got legislation to pass,” Johnson said.

As the Crystal Ball takes a fresh look at the race for control of the Senate, Republicans, unlike some of their predecessors during that sudden Senate vote in LBJ’s Senate, need to stay on the job, lest their seemingly inexorable march to a Senate majority be derailed.

For months, Republicans have been the ones to expand the playing field of competitive Senate seats this year, most notably thanks to the retirements of Democratic Sens. Jeff Bingaman (NM) and Herb Kohl (WI), which turned safe Democratic seats into toss ups.

(Excerpt) Read more at centerforpolitics.org ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: New Mexico; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: congress; dems; gop; senate
Article has tables for all the competitive senate races
1 posted on 12/01/2011 8:43:13 AM PST by Fred
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To: Fred

With Obama running Florida will likely go Connie Mack.


2 posted on 12/01/2011 8:52:23 AM PST by scooby321
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To: Fred; Clintonfatigued; Impy; AuH2ORepublican; fieldmarshaldj; no dems; Kaslin; ...

Democrats may keep Senate ping.


3 posted on 12/01/2011 8:52:56 AM PST by randita (I'm not a percentage. I'm a free person.)
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To: Fred

They’ve been trending toward D over the past few months. It’s a shame NE is at best a tossup and MI will probably stay with that reprehensible with Stabenow.

By sheer numbers, the GOP still has a shot at getting 50 or 51, hopefully.


4 posted on 12/01/2011 8:56:14 AM PST by ScottinVA (I miss America.)
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To: Fred

Sad part is, I don’t think the establishment GOP is all that energized about winning back the Senate. To me, they seem somewhat comfortable with minority status.


5 posted on 12/01/2011 8:57:37 AM PST by ScottinVA (I miss America.)
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To: randita

Or not

http://nationaljournal.com/columns/against-the-grain/democrats-losses-could-grow-in-2012-20101110

http://www.newsmax.com/InsideCover/US-Democrats-2012/2010/11/09/id/376537

http://www.usnews.com/news/slideshows/vulnerable-senate-seats-held-by-democrats


6 posted on 12/01/2011 9:03:34 AM PST by 101voodoo
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To: Fred
Oh bull... Americans may dislike the republicans but they have learned to HATE the evilcrat monsters.

LLS

7 posted on 12/01/2011 9:05:06 AM PST by LibLieSlayer ("Americans are hungry to feel once again a sense of mission and greatness." Ronaldo Magnus)
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To: ScottinVA
We will take the Senate and there will be many dims and many republican incumbents losing their jobs.

LLS

8 posted on 12/01/2011 9:07:14 AM PST by LibLieSlayer ("Americans are hungry to feel once again a sense of mission and greatness." Ronaldo Magnus)
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To: randita

I’m not buying it. The only question in my mind is whether there will be 51, 54 or 57 Republicans in the Senate in 2013.


9 posted on 12/01/2011 9:31:38 AM PST by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll protect your rights?)
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To: Fred

Interest.

Dick Morris’s lunch alert seems to paint a better picture for GOP.

http://www.dickmorris.com/blog/race-to-sixty-senate-picture-brightens-dick-morris-tv-lunch-alert/

We will only know for sure on election day. Fingers crossed.


10 posted on 12/01/2011 9:50:31 AM PST by NEWwoman (God Bless America)
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To: Fred
Very frustrating for us in Pennsylvania's "T" that Bob Casey, Jr., Obama puppet and dumbest male member of the U.S. Senate, is expected to win reelection. For the most part, he is a cardboard cutout who doesn't say anything to get anyone really mad and makes few public appearances except to pre-screened crowds of sycophants.
11 posted on 12/01/2011 9:54:10 AM PST by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: Fred
Very frustrating for us in Pennsylvania's "T" that Bob Casey, Jr., Obama puppet and dumbest male member of the U.S. Senate, is expected to win reelection. For the most part, he is a cardboard cutout who doesn't say anything to get anyone really mad and makes few public appearances except to pre-screened crowds of sycophants.
12 posted on 12/01/2011 9:54:44 AM PST by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: LibLieSlayer

Just get to work and make it happen, cocky is what has gotten us into the nightmare...


13 posted on 12/01/2011 9:54:56 AM PST by Fred (Obamacare=Romneycare=Newtcare all are BigGovt)
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To: ScottinVA

Oh yes they are, they have a solid chance of doing it...


14 posted on 12/01/2011 9:56:32 AM PST by Fred (Obamacare=Romneycare=Newtcare all are BigGovt)
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To: Fred
You are mistaking righteous anger for cockiness.

LLS

15 posted on 12/01/2011 10:04:49 AM PST by LibLieSlayer ("Americans are hungry to feel once again a sense of mission and greatness." Ronaldo Magnus)
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To: Fred

I believe the deep, deep anger at Pelosi & Obama over the healthcare throat-cram has been simmering for 3 +years. The voters aren’t done taking Barry to the woodshed.

Just a gut feeling, but I think we are going to witness a never-before-seen THROW THE BUMS out in 2012... including the Communist in the oval office.

Americans don’t take kindly to being hoodwinked (Obamacare) and being told what to do. And we sure don’t like our heath care being messed with. And we certainly don’t like high unemployment and high gas prices while the first “lady” flaunts her status in our faces time after time after time.

And we really don’t like being told what to eat ... while the first “lady” flaunts her binge-ing in our faces time after time after time.

I think the Communist-in-Chief’s day of reaconing is approaching.

2012 CAN NOT COME SOON ENOUGH AND GOD HELP OUR COUNTRY.


16 posted on 12/01/2011 10:18:43 AM PST by Reagan69 (I supported Sarah Palin and all I got was a lousy DVD !)
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To: AuH2ORepublican

Agreed. The GOP will take the Senate as well.

Even here in the People’s Republic of Massachusettstan, Scott Brown is going to get reelected (FWIW).


17 posted on 12/01/2011 10:23:25 AM PST by GOPsterinMA (And who doesn't have baggage?)
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To: Fred

Mo = Toss up? McCaskill, is in a weak position here, and her being out front, early and often for Obama in 08, has not been forgotten by the voters here.


18 posted on 12/01/2011 10:23:43 AM PST by WILLIALAL
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To: LibLieSlayer

Exactly right!!!

“We Suck Less Than They Do” should be the motto for 2012.


19 posted on 12/01/2011 10:27:12 AM PST by GOPsterinMA (And who doesn't have baggage?)
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To: Fred

I think Sabato’s Crystal Ball needs a tune up.


20 posted on 12/01/2011 10:38:50 AM PST by ExCTCitizen (Cain/West 2012....what would the RACISTS LIBERALS say???)
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To: NEWwoman

PLEASE don’t link to articles blocked by register popups.


21 posted on 12/01/2011 10:54:05 AM PST by pabianice (")
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To: NEWwoman; Fred
Dick Morris’s lunch alert seems to paint a better picture for GOP.

I heard a bombshell yesterday.

Mrs WBill informed me that her mother, a life-long Southern Dem who still introduces me (after 10+ years) as "That Yankee Republican" ....

....will NOT be voting for any of the incumbents in 2012. I said, "Does that include Obama and (our current resident idiot governor) Bev Perdue?".

She said "Especially them." Apparently, my M-I-L took a look at her 401K and wasn't all that happy about what's been happening to it over the past 2-3 years. Between that and her real estate investments, and all of the ObamaCare falderol, she's been taking a real beating.

She still has time to change her mind. But knowing her as I do, I don't see that happening. I figure that the Devil is getting fitted for ice skates about now. Good news, IMO. If that's not a good sign for the GOP, I dunno what is.

22 posted on 12/01/2011 11:51:59 AM PST by wbill
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To: pabianice

Did not know Dick Morris lunch alerts were a such problem, especially since I’ve seen them posted in main news articles on FR.


23 posted on 12/01/2011 11:56:10 AM PST by NEWwoman (God Bless America)
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To: wbill

There is hope for a change if GOP does not get the blame for the financial woes. But a good sign.

Merry Christmas!


24 posted on 12/01/2011 12:24:15 PM PST by NEWwoman (God Bless America)
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To: randita; Fred; AuH2ORepublican; Clintonfatigued; GOPsterinMA; fieldmarshaldj; BillyBoy

Signs of life? We always knew Massachusetts rats would challenge Brown, this is not a fresh development Larry! I still expect him to win. Warren doesn’t seem particularly threatening to me. MA and NV are our only seats in tangible danger.

And North Dakota? Heidi Heitkamp? Holy crap, I’m shaking in boots! She hasn’t been on the ballot since 2000. Sabato even admits she won’t “likely” win. ND is still the easiest Gain. Even money one whether she’ll even outpoll Obama in the state.


25 posted on 12/01/2011 5:23:59 PM PST by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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To: Fred; LegendHasIt; Rogle; leapfrog0202; Santa Fe_Conservative; DesertDreamer; OneWingedShark; ...

NM list PING! Click on the flag to go to the Free Republic New Mexico message page.

(The NM list is available on my FR homepage for anyone to use. Let me know if you wish to be added or removed from the list.)

26 posted on 12/01/2011 5:33:53 PM PST by CedarDave
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To: Impy; randita; Fred; AuH2ORepublican; Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj; BillyBoy

“I still expect him (Brown) to win.”

Me too. Warren makes Marcia Coakley look like a super-friendly lapdog.


27 posted on 12/01/2011 7:33:40 PM PST by GOPsterinMA (And who doesn't have baggage?)
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To: Fred

And it goes double for the Wisconsin State Senate since the Dems keep trying to recall the Pubbies.


28 posted on 12/02/2011 6:12:00 PM PST by afraidfortherepublic
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