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Newt Gingrich carries slight lead over Mitt Romney among likely voters in Michigan's Feb. 28 primary
MLive.com ^ | 12/9/11 | Jim Harger

Posted on 12/09/2011 9:31:01 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009

GRAND RAPIDS – GOP presidential candidate Newt Gingrich has pulled slightly ahead of favorite son Mitt Romney among voters likely to participate in Michigan's Feb. 28 presidential primary election, according to a poll released today.

Gingrich was the choice of 30.75 percent of likely voters, passing Romney, the choice of 28.74 percent, according to the survey of Michigan voters likely to participate in the open primary, said John Yob, CEO of Strategic National, a Grand Rapids political consulting firm.

BY THE NUMBERS

Republican Newt Gingrich has a slight lead over Mitt Romney among Michigan voters likely to participate in the Feb. 28 presidential primary.

Partisan Identification Republican: 68.01% Independent: 31.99%

Likely Voter Screen Strongly Intend to vote: 84.13% Somewhat Intend to vote: 15.87%

Presidential Primary Ballot Test Bachmann: 6.32% Gingrich: 30.75% Huntsman: 4.02% Paul: 7.47% Perry: 2.59% Romney: 28.74% Santorum: 3.16% Undecided: 16.95% TOTAL: 100.00%

SOURCE: Strategic National

“If Newt Gingrich wins Michigan, the contest will be over and he'll win the nomination,”

(Excerpt) Read more at mlive.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Michigan
KEYWORDS: 2percentperry; hillbuzz; ineligibleromney; kevindujan; larazarick; lastplaceperry; mi2012; michigan; mittromney; newt; newtgingrich; patriotgingrinch; poll; rinoromney; singledigitsperry
ROFL

Romney is even losing his home state!

Go Gingrich!

1 posted on 12/09/2011 9:31:13 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009
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To: TexasFreeper2009

There are a lot of older people here that still feel some sort of loyalty to his dad. We get like that here sometimes.

But it is great news that Newt has pulled ahead in what was supposed to be a safe state for him!


2 posted on 12/09/2011 9:36:32 AM PST by VanDeKoik (1 million in stimulus dollars paid for this tagline!)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

"It's OK, Karl! I hear my brother's hiring."


3 posted on 12/09/2011 9:37:43 AM PST by COBOL2Java (Obama is the least qualified guy in whatever room he walks into.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
So the choices are either:

the corrupt incoherent crony capitalist, the plastic fake corrupt crony capitalist, the whiner in chief, the uber mom, the crazy uncle, the standard issue GOP Establishment Liberal, the Libertine or Newt.

Not really much of a choice.

4 posted on 12/09/2011 9:39:29 AM PST by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

There is little I’m positive about these days politically speaking, but this is pretty good news. Everyone knows he sure won’t carry Mass. in the general either.


5 posted on 12/09/2011 9:40:28 AM PST by MachIV
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To: MNJohnnie

You could always vote for the communist obama.


6 posted on 12/09/2011 9:41:59 AM PST by swampfox101
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Open primary, dems will turn out to give MittWitt the win here.


7 posted on 12/09/2011 9:42:31 AM PST by Bobalu (even Jesus knew the poor would always be with us)
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To: COBOL2Java

I just heard a news clip of Rove - practically crying - saying it was “too late, too late” to go negative on Newt. It sounded like he was saying it was all over, lol!


8 posted on 12/09/2011 9:43:09 AM PST by miss marmelstein (Still heartless after all these years...)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

If Romney cant win his own home state of Michigan, where his Daddy was governor, then he is a complete loser.


9 posted on 12/09/2011 9:44:03 AM PST by CGalen
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To: TexasFreeper2009

This isn’t Mitt’s home state but he will win it anyway. Michigan liberals have perfected the art of playing electoral games so don’t be surprised when that curtain is pulled back.


10 posted on 12/09/2011 9:45:37 AM PST by cripplecreek (Stand with courage or shut up and do as you're told.)
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To: MNJohnnie
the corrupt incoherent crony capitalist, the plastic fake corrupt crony capitalist, the whiner in chief, the uber mom, the crazy uncle, the standard issue GOP Establishment Liberal, the Libertine or Newt.

...brought to you by the Bitter Whining FReeper.

11 posted on 12/09/2011 9:46:33 AM PST by ez ("Abashed the Devil stood and felt how awful goodness is." - Milton, "Paradise Lost")
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Wow.


12 posted on 12/09/2011 9:47:15 AM PST by Grunthor
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To: cripplecreek

what?

Mitt was born and raised in Michigan, in fact his father was governor.


13 posted on 12/09/2011 9:49:04 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Newt Gingrich 2012!)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

“Romney is even losing his home state! Go Gingrich!”

Read the comment from someone in Michigan at this first link:

Great Merciful Zeus: Longtime Romney Supporters Abandoning Him in Chicago. Is His “Inevitable” Victory Now Impossible?
December 8, 2011 by Kevin DuJan
http://hillbuzz.org/great-merciful-zeus-longtime-romney-supporters-abandoning-him-in-chicago-is-his-inevitable-victory-now-impossible-70104

<><><><><>

Some other interesting links:

Larry J. Sabato’s Crystal Ball
12/08/2011

2012 Republican Race: The Field May Not Be Closed

Conventional wisdom is that the Republican presidential field is set, and that it is much too late for a new candidate to enter the race.

In years past, that would be absolutely correct. Over the last few decades, dozens of primaries and caucuses have been shoe-horned into the opening weeks of the election year, with the tendency on the Republican side for the front-running candidate to score a quick knockout.

But next year, the arrangement of the primary calendar is much different. It is less condensed at the front, much more loaded with events at the back, with the prospect of a viable, late-starting candidate quite real.

[snip] Continue reading here: http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/

<><><><><>

Could Sarah Palin Still Get in the Race?

“.....Feb. 14 is the last day that a late entrant could enter the race and reasonably be expected to do well in subsequent races.

The scenario looks something like this: http://voices.yahoo.com/could-sarah-palin-still-race-10634503.html?cat=9


14 posted on 12/09/2011 9:49:12 AM PST by Matchett-PI ("One party will generally represent the envied, the other the envious. Guess which ones." ~GagdadBob)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
Romney is even losing his home state!

The last time that happened in a race for POTUS was in 2000 when Gore lost Tennessee, it hadn't happened in like the previous 80 years or something. Gore lost the gun & tobacco vote in TN. Now it's becoming a bit more common. Good, this "favorite son" crappola flies in the face of sanity.

15 posted on 12/09/2011 9:49:26 AM PST by ExSoldier ("Life without God is like an unsharpened pencil: It has no point.")
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To: TexasFreeper2009
I don't think Newt is the flavor of the week, a candidate who will disappear as we get to know him or as scandals leak. Most of his "supporters" already know him well and don't particularly like or trust him. We all know so many of his personal and professional scandals that none of us respect him. The difference is that Obama and Romney are both so much worse that we'll crawl through broken glass if necessary to vote for Newt. Whether we can just stroll in on a beautiful day and cast an easy vote in minutes, or we have to crawl through broken glass for hours though, we'll vote Newt with a frown. If it could have been Cain, DeMint, Bachmann, or Palin, we would have smiled and voted with enthusiasm, but the alternatives to Newt are so terrible that no American can afford to let the election pass without voting. If we lose, 2012 will mark the last free election in a country recognizable as the United States of America.

Our highest priority for 2012 must be to get conservatives on the ballet for Congress, and to elect as conservative a Congress as possible to restrain whomever occupies our White House on that glorious day when the communist leaves. Obama is the greatest danger to America in our country's history and is taking us down the road to socialism rapidly. Romney would follow that road more slowly, and Newt might follow just about any path from time to time. In any case, we need a conservative Congress to keep the President on track.

16 posted on 12/09/2011 9:49:33 AM PST by Pollster1 (Natural born citizen of the USA, with the birth certificate to prove it)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
Gingrich: 30.75%

Romney: 28.74%

Paul: 7.47%

Bachmann: 6.32%

Huntsman: 4.02%

Santorum: 3.16%

Perry: 2.59%

Undecided: 16.95%

TOTAL: 100.00%

17 posted on 12/09/2011 9:50:25 AM PST by trisham (Zen is not easy. It takes effort to attain nothingness. And then what do you have? Bupkis.)
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To: MNJohnnie

Ever notice that the media lies.....unless it tells the Newticles what they want to hear?


18 posted on 12/09/2011 9:54:00 AM PST by cripplecreek (Stand with courage or shut up and do as you're told.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

I actually grew up here myself and trust me, few Michiganders see Mitt Romney as a native. It must be nearly 40 years since he last lived here.


19 posted on 12/09/2011 9:56:53 AM PST by cripplecreek (Stand with courage or shut up and do as you're told.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Gingrich is eligible.

The carpetbagger Romney is Mexican, but claims all states.
New Hampshire. California. Michigan.
Utah. Massachusetts.

Romney is an ineligible Mexican (which is why
he and Rove defend Obama).


20 posted on 12/09/2011 10:04:46 AM PST by Diogenesis ("Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. " Pres. Ronald Reagan)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

"You Democrats are "MY PEOPLE".

21 posted on 12/09/2011 10:07:34 AM PST by Diogenesis ("Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. " Pres. Ronald Reagan)
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To: cripplecreek

Nice try to weasel out of getting caught BSing again.


22 posted on 12/09/2011 10:13:57 AM PST by traderrob6
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To: TexasFreeper2009

This would be an upset victory but the margin is razor thin and the advantage is still to Romney. Still, it’s encouraging to see Romney will not walk to the nomination.


23 posted on 12/09/2011 10:41:16 AM PST by newzjunkey (Republicans will find a way to reelect Obama and Speaker Pelosi.)
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To: cripplecreek; grellis

Guess we’ll see how closed our “Closed Primary” is. My gut says Mitt will win by 30+ points.


24 posted on 12/09/2011 10:51:41 AM PST by Springman (Rest In Peace YaYa123 and Bahbah.)
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To: Pollster1

Sure ! Newt will loose by a landslide ! We go search for candidates all over the place and ignore tea party candidates like Rick Santorum ! I went to all the tea party gatherings and now I am going to end up voting for Newt who was not a great fan of tea party! God, why are we just throwing this election?


25 posted on 12/09/2011 10:56:16 AM PST by Ranjit
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To: cripplecreek

“This isn’t Mitt’s home state but he will win it anyway. Michigan “

it sort of is because of his father


26 posted on 12/09/2011 11:07:44 AM PST by ari-freedom
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To: Springman

I say Mitt wins by 10%.

Personally I don’t intend to vote for either one of them.


27 posted on 12/09/2011 11:22:17 AM PST by cripplecreek (Stand with courage or shut up and do as you're told.)
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To: Liz

LMAO! Perrywinkles in LAST PLACE, even behind Huntsman/Santorum/Paul!!

What a great “comeback” all the Perrybots scowled about!


28 posted on 12/09/2011 12:59:54 PM PST by PAConservative1 (Heartless.)
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To: traderrob6; cripplecreek

I’ve lived all of my 42 years in Michigan and I’ve followed mitten politics since junior high. Nobody here in Michigan—not even some of our most liberal press—considers Mitt a “Michigan native,” regardless of his family ties. He’s too closely associated with Taxachusetts for us to have—or want—any claim on him.


29 posted on 12/09/2011 5:29:20 PM PST by grellis (I am Jill's overwhelming sense of disgust.)
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To: Springman; sergeantdave; cyclotic; netmilsmom; RatsDawg; PGalt; FreedomHammer; queenkathy; ...
MICHIGAN PING LIST

Please freepmail me if you wish to be added or dropped from the mitten ping.

30 posted on 12/09/2011 5:30:51 PM PST by grellis (I am Jill's overwhelming sense of disgust.)
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To: Springman; sergeantdave; cyclotic; netmilsmom; RatsDawg; PGalt; FreedomHammer; queenkathy; ...
MICHIGAN PING LIST

Please freepmail me if you wish to be added or dropped from the mitten ping.

31 posted on 12/09/2011 5:32:13 PM PST by grellis (I am Jill's overwhelming sense of disgust.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

It is amazing and terrifying to witness how much power the Left has.

Here they have successfully boiled down the Republican candidates to two RINOs, effectively destroying all of the conservatives (Palin, Bachmann, Cain) so that they determine who the next president will be: a Progressive with a (D) after their name or a Progressive with an (R) after their name.

We have GOT to fight back and take control from these tyrants.


32 posted on 12/09/2011 6:08:21 PM PST by Ghost of Philip Marlowe (Prepare for survival. (Karl Denninger has jumped the shark. Do not visit his blog.))
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To: ExSoldier

No, George Stanley McGovern lost SD in 1972.


33 posted on 12/09/2011 7:47:52 PM PST by Theodore R. (I'll still vote for Santorum if he is on the March 6 ballot.)
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To: Theodore R.
I stand corrected, sir! How long was it before that?
34 posted on 12/09/2011 8:01:44 PM PST by ExSoldier ("Life without God is like an unsharpened pencil: It has no point.")
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To: MNJohnnie

Is this the best the GOP can come up with these days?
Newt or Mitt....what a choice.


35 posted on 12/10/2011 3:10:56 AM PST by Yorlik803 (better to die on your feet than live on your knees.)
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To: swampfox101
So the conservatives should have to compromise rather than have a person that reflects their beliefs. It has come to this? Two people who are either beltway wonks or closest liberals. Shame on the GOP...
36 posted on 12/10/2011 3:13:45 AM PST by Yorlik803 (better to die on your feet than live on your knees.)
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To: grellis

That was not my point but I disagree with your statement nontheless.

I happen to be from Michigan too and most people over 45 remember George Romney well and hence his son Mitt, both were/are considerered favorite sons.


37 posted on 12/10/2011 4:44:12 AM PST by traderrob6
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To: MNJohnnie

“So the choices are either:
the corrupt incoherent crony capitalist, the plastic fake corrupt crony capitalist, the whiner in chief, the uber mom, the crazy uncle, the standard issue GOP Establishment Liberal, the Libertine or Newt.

Not really much of a choice. “

Well, Newt’s managed to get the GOP establishment into a panic at the thought of him being the nominee, so he can’t be all bad...


38 posted on 12/10/2011 5:13:03 AM PST by lquist1
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To: MNJohnnie

I believe if Ronald Reagan was one of the GOP candidates in this field, there would be MANY people on here ridiculing him and calling him all sorts of names.


39 posted on 12/10/2011 6:40:34 AM PST by TMA62 (Al Sharpton - The North Korea of race relations)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
I don't like either of them, but this is absolutely true:

“If Newt Gingrich wins Michigan, the contest will be over and he'll win the nomination"

40 posted on 12/10/2011 6:44:25 AM PST by rintense (You do not advance conservatism by becoming more liberal.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

A lot of folks here don’t support Romney.


41 posted on 12/10/2011 6:44:25 AM PST by Darren McCarty (Anybody but Romney or Obama)
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To: Yorlik803

NO. Newt’s voting record is very conservative and second to none.

If you think Newt is liberal, you know very little bout politics.


42 posted on 12/10/2011 8:39:04 AM PST by swampfox101 (I)
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To: MNJohnnie
So the choices are either: the corrupt incoherent crony capitalist, the plastic fake corrupt crony capitalist, the whiner in chief, the uber mom, the crazy uncle, the standard issue GOP Establishment Liberal, the Libertine or Newt. Not really much of a choice.

Certainly isn't much of a choice, and I fail to see how Newt advancing on Romney in any state is a triumph for conservatives, at least in the long term. I see no viable path to the Presidency for Gingrich, and probably none for Romney, either. If someone can posit such a scenario, I'd like to hear it. I don't understand the glomming on to a high-handed, erratic candidate just for the sake of taking down another.

Each to his or her own, but it's a disastrous situation all the way around, if you ask me.

43 posted on 12/10/2011 8:46:52 AM PST by Calliecat
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To: miss marmelstein

Karl, what’s left to ‘go negative on Newt’ with?

Not as if he hasn’t taken it from all sides for decades now. Remember “The Gingrich Who Stole Christmas” Newsweek 1994 cover? His affairs and questionable personal background are a secret? I especially love reading on here that a) he’s the ultimate insider; AND b) no insiders like or will support him.

By now Newt has grown a thick hide that he’s gonna need in the coming year. No more “BOO HOO” headlines. In fact, he may soon enough be flying in the very front of AF1. He who laughs last ...

But anything that makes Karl unhappy is just fine by me.


44 posted on 12/10/2011 8:52:54 AM PST by EDINVA
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To: Ranjit

I feel the same about Rick Santorum as I did about Fred Thompson four years ago. I liked Fred’s values, and I liked some of what he did in debates, but he put me to sleep with his speeches. Even if I like a candidate with single-digit support for the office, I don’t want that person as my nominee unless I see the potential to inspire enthusiasm in voters. I don’t see Santorum doing that - yet.

Note: I am not permanently dismissing Rick Santorum. That’s what the pre-election process is for. If Santorum starts to connect with more voters emotionally, then we can talk, and I will enthusiastically jump from leaning Newt to supporting Rick Santorum. I don’t love Newt, but I see him as a viable and effective candidate who would at least be be an adequate president.


45 posted on 12/10/2011 9:52:17 AM PST by Pollster1 (Natural born citizen of the USA, with the birth certificate to prove it)
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To: grellis; AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; ...

Thanks TexasFreeper2009. By Feb 28th, Newt could easily have faded out like Cain and Perry and Bachmann have each in their turn.


46 posted on 12/10/2011 12:06:32 PM PST by SunkenCiv (It's never a bad time to FReep this link -- https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: SunkenCiv

so who will be left when it is all over?Bachmann,Perry,Santorum?

http://www.nationalenquirer.com/celebrity/exclusive-newt-gingrich-secret-mistress


47 posted on 12/10/2011 3:28:58 PM PST by Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!
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To: SunkenCiv

Let me put that another way.

Which story will make the MSM news?

http://www.nationalenquirer.com/celebrity/obama-secret-life-exposed

http://www.nationalenquirer.com/celebrity/exclusive-newt-gingrich-secret-mistress


48 posted on 12/10/2011 3:38:15 PM PST by Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!
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