Skip to comments.Down the Newt Chute [New Iowa Poll]
Posted on 12/21/2011 11:13:47 AM PST by freespirited
Its becoming all too predictable.
As soon as a GOP presidential candidate gains traction in Iowa, the bright lights hit him/her and they melt down like a cheap candle. The latest to follow the pattern is, of course, Newt Gingrich. Just 15 days ago, we measured Newt with a robust 30 percent. But everyoneincluding the merry elves at We Ask Americawarned that Gingrich could soon travail down the Newt Chute due to the cyclical habits exhibited by GOP frontrunners and the former Speakers penchant for provocative barbs.
Sure enough, Gingrich appears to be fading badly, but those who have dumped him seem to have spread their new affections more evenly than others have reported. While Ron Paul has picked up a bit more of Newts castoffs, the field is starting to look like a real horse race. Heres our latest numbers from last night and a tracking comparison of the last five polls we conducted in the Hawkeye State:Type of Poll: Automated - Date of Poll: 12/20/2011 - Participants: 1,250 GOP voters - Margin of Error: ± 2.77%
|Candidate||Aug. 16*||Nov. 6||Nov. 28||Dec. 5||Dec. 20|
The results for Ron Paul in last nights poll may actually be a couple of points better than it shows here among the general electorate due to his strength in the 35-44 & 45-54 age brackets, but the Iowa caucuses skew older so were not ready to grant him the Clear Leader Status yet. However, Paul reportedly is the only candidate who has the ground troops to put a live body in each of the 1,700+ Iowa precincts an impressive feat to say the least. In addition, Congressman Paul has been among the most consistent performers in Iowa and elsewhere. Combine those facts with the quirkiness of Iowa caucus system and its impossible to not put him at the top of the heap for now.
But perhaps Paul would be better off NOT being looked at as the Big Kahuna given the fate of the last few players who occupied the top of the leader board. Like the Greek legend of Icarus, every Republican who flies too close to the sun in an attempt to escape the surly bonds of the pack ends up melting his/her wings in the blazing heat of the sun.
With President Barack Obama reportedly regaining some lost ground, can the Republicans finally find someone who can take the heat?
Everyone except Romney gets this treatment
... I wonder why?
After all, he is the only candidate the democraps tell us will beat their guy, and gosh they are so afraid of him
Usually just when they tell us not to throw them in dat ol’ briar patch too
Romney is definately behind this. I hate the man more every day. I will join the non participants if Romney wins. And it is looking like his pack of RINO Washington operatives are making it happen. The RNC won’t get another dime from me.
Aww, buck up, there, little soldier!
Just think: Only 11 more months to go, and we will either save the country or flush it.
See? I'll bet you're feeling better already.
They are overjoyed at the chaos they have and are causing. And Romney is behind it. He also has Bachmann helping him.
The GOP elite is behind it. They’ve already decided who the nominee will be. One of these days they’ll tell us who it is.
See my tagline.
Seriously, it’s time to get real. Romney is stagnant at the 20% level, Gingrich is (unfortunately) imploding as we speak, and is plainly untelegenic and unelectable in the general, Paul is all but a joke, and unless we have a new candidate coming in, the horse race is between Perry, Bachmann, and Santorum.
I’m making preparations for exactly that. The country is as good as down the tubes, unless a miracle happens and Newt does manage to take it. But I am not holding my breath out of experience.
people here say Freep this poll well I say Fu.. these polls
LOL! Not one of the three wannabes you mentioned has even a speck of a chance against the Obama meat grinder!
It will be a slaughter. The Romney machine is making it a reality.
1980 — George Bush /Not The Nominee
1988 — Bob Dole/ Not The Nominee
1996 — Bob Dole/The Nominee
2000 — George W. Bush/The Nominee
2008 — Mike Huckabee/ Not The Nominee
Paul winning this one doesn't mean anything unless he has New Hampshire or South Carolina wrapped up.
I long for the good old days.
Scott Brown for President!!! Wooo Wooo.
People, either vote your conscience or stay home. Voting for anyone but the other guy has got us to this point. If we don’t have the courage of our convictions then we will never save the Republic.
If you keep giving the public polls attention they will keep leading you around by the nose. TNSTAAFL. Polls = Free Advice on who to vote for...
I received 8 calls last night in about an hour; made the mistake to pick up 2 which were of course polling or political.
So my questions is; who is answering these calls? Who is the polling sample??
Newt is seen for what he really is...a progressive. This is good news for conservatives.
Ron Paul doesn't, either. But that isn't surprising.
It's time conservative candidates or organizations in Iowa took Paul out by distributing photos of him with former KKK Grand Wizard Don Black:
AND, Romney can win Iowa and NH, but still lose big time in SC and Florida. Newt is still in better shape than Romney,who I still predict will not win any Southern primaries. So my take is unless Newt decides to drop out he’s going to win this thing. Especially if he picks Rubio as his running mate.
Welcome to Free Republic.
Of course...Romney is the DNC/media candidate. They know he won’t embarrass Obama by asking him about his non functional birth certificate, or his social security card originally issued to someone born in 1890. Gingrich might, and Paul would.
There’s lots about Obama the libs need to hide.
OK- then who do you think has a chance!
IMO.. It's more the other way around. The weather controls the wind.
My point: Whatever way the wind blows is secondary to YOUR feelings about the Weather, or in this case... the candidate.
The polls are used primarily to steer the non-thinking sheeple.
As long as Newt comes in in the top 3 in Iowa he’s fine. If he places high in NH and takes SC and FL he will be on fire again.
BS I have watched all the debates, heard all the arguments for and against and I have decided without a shred of doubt that Gingrich is the right man for this particular point in time.
In fact, Gingrich might just be the only man alive that can fix the mess that we are in.
But regardless I won’t vote for Romney in the general, no matter what, so push that liberal on us at your peril RNC!
neither Romney nor Gingrich “needed” Iowa. Sure it would be nice, but New Hampshire is Romney’s must win, and South Carolina is Newts.
Florida will be the tie breaker, and will set the winner up for a sweep of the super Tuesday states.
who cares about an Iowa straw poll(that’s what a caucus really is) where a bunch of busybodies get up after their coffee and cake and BS for 2 hours?
the real test isn’t in N.H.(a tiny state where Romney lives part of the year)either it’s in S.C where Gingrich presently is stomping everybody.. if you look at history you win S.C. you win the nomination
“Florida will be the tie breaker, and will set the winner up for a sweep of the super Tuesday states.”
yeah I guess since Obama declares he ended the war in Iraq(that ended when Bush was in office) because he brought all of the troops home he can take credit for ending WW2 if he closes all the bases we now have in Germany and Japan and brings all of those troops home.. then he can take credit for ending the Korean War if he brings home all of those troops home.. the guy is really an amazing man,, truly one of the 4th best ever at his job.. just ask him.. LOL
Translation: Every leading Republican gets the press axe, and the public buys it.
Oh, except Romney, that is. But, then, he’s not really a Republican, is he.
Beat the elite at their own game—vote for whomever you want—I will. No one is going to tell me who to vote for.
See my tagline. For quite some time we haven’t had a second party.