"Blah Blah Blah..."
Posted on 12/28/2011 2:29:52 PM PST by TBBT
You know who this benefits?
*snip*
So there’s the long-awaited Santorum surge among social cons, who are finally giving him a first look at the perfect moment after flirtations this fall with Bachmann, Perry, Cain, and Gingrich. Two caveats, though, one minor and one major. The minor: PPP’s poll published this morning found Santorum stuck at 10 percent, still behind Gingrich and Bachmann. Are their numbers the outlier or are CNN’s? The major: According to the crosstabs, CNN only polled … registered Republicans in Iowa. That means they’re badly underestimating support for Paul, who’s cleaning up among Democrats and independents who are planning to vote in the caucuses.
Update: WaPo quantifies the flaw in CNN’s poll: “in early Dec. Post-ABC Iowa poll, registerd GOP were 83% of potential caucusgoers, with Paul about 2X better among non-Reps.” And PPP notes that if they made CNN’s sample mistake, they’d also have had Romney ahead of Paul.
*snip*
Philip Klein also imagines Romney gleefully rubbing his hands at the new dynamic. Santorum’s been following the same underpants-gnome strategy in Iowa as Huntsman has in New Hampshire:
Step one: Camp out there and become the de facto hometown favorite/Not Romney
Step two: Win
Step three: ????
Step four: Nominee!
Step three, I guess, is “momentum,” but momentum works a lot better when you have money and organization to help carry it forward.
*snip*
You know who this benefits?
Romney.
Whoa Santorum. 16%. You go guy...
Little ray of sunshine...
Can’t wait to get the voting started. Let’s go.
If not Santorum, it will be Romney. lol (where have I heard an ultimatum like this before?)
Finally, a decent coservative I don’t have to hold my nose and vomit before pulling the lever for.
The SoCons in IA will see the CNN split, get scared, and rally behind one or two of the real conservatives.
whatever
people will notice him if he wins iowa. Winning in iowa is more publicity than any amount of campaigning he can do in any state.
Santorum couldn't win a national election. All he can do is clear a path to the nomination for Mitt. Santorum has spent his entire campaign in Iowa he has no ground game in any other state, will not be able to capitalize on any expected benefit from a top three finish in any other state, is taking votes from the only two conservatives with a chance of winning the nomination Gingrich and Perry. Santorum is in it for himself.That is a fact. But why let facts get in the way?
I WISH Conservatives weren’t splitting their vote. That is the ONLY thing that will nominate RINO Romney.
Santorum’s surge provides me with a little hope where I had none.
"Blah Blah Blah..."
“people will notice him if he wins iowa. Winning in iowa is more publicity than any amount of campaigning he can do in any state.”
Just like nominees with momentum:
Mike Huckabee
Or Pat Buchanan
Or Pat Robertson
Or George Bush in 1980?
It’s a state of saps playing to the tune of the MSM, all the while Rick’s FR supporters are grateful for the manufactured “surge”....as well as Romney.
The only thing this shows is that Newt Gingrich is falling like a rock, as well he should be. And for those unable to cope with that basic fact, they fall into the delusion that this somehow benefits Romney. It doesn't. However, it does benefit candidates who are actually conservative. Imagine that.
Santorum has also spent a lot of time in New Hampshire and South Carolina.
Romney walked away with it in 2008? Gee, the things you learn here on Free Republic.
I don’t see any similarities between this election and the last republican primary. You are full of it.
winner winner chicken dinner
Beyond the fact Santorum is absolutely DESPISED by the major media.
And by “Despised, I mean actual, spitting, vehement HATE, on a scale that would astound you, if you walked in to a major media newsroom.
I’m glad to see Santorum rising and hope it continues. He’s invested the time, and his heart and soul and his conservative credentials are, IMHO, better than Romney, Gingrich or Paul.
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