Skip to comments.If congressional redistricting fails, candidates can always run statewide, Stumbo says
Posted on 12/31/2011 12:47:31 PM PST by Republican Wildcat
Redrawing the congressional maps will likely produce a few headaches to start the session but gridlock could produce an interesting political result, House Speaker Greg Stumbo said.
Stumbo, a Democrat from Prestonsburg, said if the courts have to intervene over the new congressional maps, Kentucky could end up with all the congressional candidates running statewide and the top six vote-getters go to Congress. That happened in 1932 when lawmakers clashed over redrawing the lines.
What the court would do likely is require what they did once before is that there be an election this cycle and the top vote-getters in the congressional races just become the winners, Stumbo said (3:00 to 4:00 of the interview)
Find out what Stumbo says about potential changes to the 1st and 6th congressional districts after the 4:30 mark of the video.
On the state House redistricting map, Stumbo said he couldnt commit to whether the map would avoid pitting two incumbents against each other in the same district.
We dont know what map. Maybe yes and maybe no, he said.
But he acknowledged that Republicans have a bit of an advantage in redistricting because most of the population growth occurred in suburban areas (Northern Kentucky, Bowling Green, outside of Lexington and in the ring counties around Louisville) that have been more conservative.
Because of the growth, they are probably better situated to do that. That is likely. But they also are vulnerable in some of the seats they picked up last cycle, Stumbo said (2:15).
Stumbo predicted the chambers to successfully redraw their own maps.
The House and Senate plans likely will be done. Whether we can do something on the congressional map has yet to be seen, he said. (6:30)
(Excerpt) Read more at mycn2.com ...
Not sure how a scenario where all House members run at large would shake out...I have no doubt a Republican candidate would be the top vote getter, but how the others would place would be the question...wouldn't be a victory to be #1 while 2nd through 6th are all Democrats.
A key difference between multiparty European democracy and the American system is that third parties basically have no chance in a winner-take-all system unless they can replace one of the two major parties.
If all of Kentucky's congressional candidates were running on a single ballot, it would be within the realm of possibility for a “Tea Party” conservative running as an independent (or for that matter, a Libertarian, Green, or some other party) to place in the top six.
Again, I'm a Republican and do not favor the creation of a third party because I believe it is unnecessary. Also, I am not a fan of massive change merely for change’s sake without good reason, but I am in favor of state's rights and the local experimentation that allows. An at-large congressional election in Kentucky, given current political dynamics in the Republican Party, could have some very unexpected consequences.
I guess that Stumbo has never heard of Baker v. Carr and how elections where legislators all run statewide violates “one man, one vote.”
1932 or not, what Stumbo said will never happen in 2012. If the KY legislature and governor deadlock on redistricting, a federal judge will draw the lines long before they have statewide, at-large congressional elections.
In 1992, KY Dems, who had a 4-3 advantage in the state’s House delegation, got greedy and tried to draw 6 winnable districts for them (the state lost a CD after the 1990 Census). They extended Hubbard’s KY-01 to the SE to protect Natcher’s KY-02 for when he retired (instead of adding Daviess County); took out Republican East Louisville from Bunning’s KY-04 (adding it to Mazzolli’s KY-03) and added historically Dem counties from Eastern KY; and redistricted Rogers in with Perkins in a new KY-05 that combined GOP counties in southern KY with heavily Dem Coal Country counties. Far from getting a 6-0 Dem delegation, KY had a 5-1 GOP delegation from 1996-2006. Had the Dems drawn über-Republican districts for Bunning and Rogers, they could have had a 4-2 Dem delegation at least prior to Natcher’s death, and maybe afterwards as well. Now, they’re whining that Republicans have a marked advantage in 4 CDs and the Dems have a precarious hold on the other 2. Stupid, greedy Democrats.
Right - these are there gerrymanders that have essentially remained intact.
It’s too bad we could not get control of the state House - adding Oldham County to the 3rd Congressional district would have really changed things.
Too bad, it would be fine with me for Kentucky since we’d win all 6 seats.