Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan
Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.
Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.
We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.
My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:
Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1
Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.
No. It is not a primary, it is a caucus. That means that Republicans choose, not Democrats or independents.
Democrats and independents can switch their registration, of course, in order to participate, but would you really want to prevent that? Some of them are fed up with Obama.
CBS projecting based on entrance interviews while 40% say they haven’t made up their minds yet.
This is by some number Democrat cross over night, we just don’t know how large that number is. Paul will be the beneficiary of such shenanigans, but with open voting allowed it works.
RitaOK, I am with YOU. Fox is no friend of the conservatives. Rove the rino lover plays such a major role as a political analyst along with that shrill shill Coulter. I am watching cspan. Hell with Faux
The Millennial vote went overwhelmingly for Paul - 58 percent to 10 percent for Santorum. The Gen X vote is masked by its inclusion with Boomers under 60.
This only goes to show what I have been saying all along: it is old people who think Ron Paul is crazy. The people who have to fight the foreign wars and who are expected to pay for them voted 58 to 10 against Rick Santorum.
What is Iowa going to look like 4 years from now? 8 years from now?
“We’re looking at a 2 man race going forward. Perry vs Romney.”
I think there may be another chance for Perry after he blew it the first time around.He has been improving on the stump. Of all the candidates that have cycled to the top and fell I think Perry has a good chance to recycle to the top again if he can get his act in order on these last 2 debates in the next week or so. If he has another brain freeze then we will be looking at Romney vs Santorum.
I want to boycott FOX tonight. How’s that for resisting the Romney Regime at work?
+++++++++++++
Me too, but that’s what I do every night. Too much Newt bashing. Too much Romney swooning. A big turn-off for me so I gave up on Fox. With FR who needs Fox News anyway
The fact is that CNN generally has better election coverage than Fox. That’s what the family is watching.
Me? Im splitting my time betwee FR and The Rise and Fall of the Third Reich on my iPad.
Thanks Pappy Smear.
That’s what happens when you spend our money. Why is anyone surprised?
Oh how I would love that to be the result!!
58% of under 30 vote goes to Dr. Paul
15% to Romney
show that Old Media is no longer relevant.
Brought us "cool" Obama in 08.
Now going for cult-like Ron Paul?
What's with this seemingly dyfunctional group of young people?
just heard Bachmann is finishing last
Oh, goodie, I’m not odd duck out! Glad you aren’t watching FAUX.
YES!
"Voters" can sign up (register) to caucus and vote at the door, including democrats and independents.
Move along.... so much for an "Iowa Republican" Primary.
I voted about 5 times for Santorum if that tells you anything.
My guess from my precinct___They are counting votes now. Paul santorum perry newt romney bachmann. I base that on stickers signs and people vathering together.
Fox News is trying SO HARD to dissuade Iowa voters from voting for Newt Gingrich. I am actually going to change to CNN.
These Romneyites are ridiculous.
Dr. Paul is only Repub who can whup Obama.
WHOO HOO. I like good news even in small doses! Thanks for posting.
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